Two Spanish scientists question the thesis of ‘two Ukraine’: pro-West or pro-Russian by analysing a data set on violent events in Ukraine since January 2021.
The analysis shows that conflicts can arise from many factors beyond simple East-West binary optics and the solution is not to split Ukraine in two.
According to the authors, lack of data is the greatest problem in this scientific method.
As opposed to other fields, like engineering, obtaining reliable and high-quality data about social and political events is a major challenge.
The greatest challenge to using statistical models and scientific methods in diplomacy will be finding timely, reliable, and usable data.
For more info on the use of data and statistics visit our digital diplomacy page.