Could digital diplomacy, science, and stats bring peace to Ukraine?
Two Spanish scientists challenge the pro-West or pro-Russian Ukraine narrative by analyzing data on violent events in 2021. Conflict triggers are complex beyond East-West perspectives, warning against splitting Ukraine. Lack of reliable social and political data complicates using statistical models in diplomacy. Obtaining timely, quality data is a major hurdle. Visit Phys.Org for more on data, statistics, and digital diplomacy.
Two Spanish scientists question the thesis of ‘two Ukraine’: pro-West or pro-Russian by analysing a data set on violent events in Ukraine since January 2021.
The analysis shows that conflicts can arise from many factors beyond simple East-West binary optics and the solution is not to split Ukraine in two.
According to the authors, lack of data is the greatest problem in this scientific method.
As opposed to other fields, like engineering, obtaining reliable and high-quality data about social and political events is a major challenge.
The greatest challenge to using statistical models and scientific methods in diplomacy will be finding timely, reliable, and usable data.
Source: Phys.Org
For more info on the use of data and statistics visit our digital diplomacy page.
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DW Team
The GIP Digital Watch Observatory team, consisting of over 30 digital policy experts from around the world, excels in the fields of research and analysis on digital policy issues. The team is backed by the creative prowess of Creative Lab Diplo and the technical expertise of the Diplo tech team.