Washington’s latest restrictions on semiconductor exports to China have heightened trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies, fueling concerns about potential Chinese countermeasures. Beijing, which has vowed to protect its interests, possesses several tools to retaliate against US firms, including tightened security reviews and trade restrictions.
China has already wielded security reviews against US companies, such as barring government purchases of Micron products in 2022. Analysts warn Intel, a significant player in China’s chip market, could face similar scrutiny. Additionally, US firms have historically reported bureaucratic hurdles like customs delays and intensified inspections during strained relations, underscoring the broader risks of doing business in China.
Beijing also maintains its ‘unreliable entities list,’ targeting foreign companies that are seen as violating Chinese interests. Actions under this framework include probes into firms like PVH Corp for compliance with US restrictions on Xinjiang cotton. Meanwhile, export controls on critical minerals, such as gallium and graphite—key to chipmaking and electric vehicles—are emerging as another leverage point in the escalating trade conflict.
China’s expanded oversight of dual-use technologies, effective December 1, adds another layer of control. By regulating items with civilian and military applications, Beijing aims to monitor US reliance on its supply chains. As tensions rise, both sides face economic and technological repercussions that could redefine global trade dynamics.
Chinese semiconductor firms targeted by new US export controls are doubling down on localising their supply chains and leveraging stockpiled resources to maintain production. The restrictions, the third major US crackdown in three years, impact 140 companies and focus on chipmaking equipment, software, and high-bandwidth memory. Despite the curbs, Chinese chip stocks saw slight gains as analysts noted the measures were less severe than expected.
Key companies like Naura Technology and Empyrean have vowed to accelerate domestic technology development. Some, such as Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology, reported fully localised supply chains. While the measures hit China’s reliance on foreign manufacturing equipment, imports of semiconductor machinery surged by a third this year, showing resilience in the face of external pressures.
The exclusion of ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), a major AI chip component maker, surprised analysts. The move eased concerns for South Korean suppliers reliant on Chinese revenue, with shares of key partners like Jusung Engineering and Mirae Corp rebounding. The latest curbs reflect ongoing efforts to balance US security goals with the global semiconductor market’s interdependencies.
The United States has imposed its third major round of export controls on China’s semiconductor industry in three years, targeting 140 companies with restrictions on chipmaking equipment, software, and advanced memory chips. Among those affected are prominent firms like Naura Technology, ACM Research, and SiCarrier Technology, as well as entities linked to Huawei, a key player in China’s chip advancements.
The measures, aimed at stalling China’s progress in AI and military technologies, also introduce new licensing requirements for US and foreign companies shipping equipment with US components to China. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated the restrictions are intended to block China’s military modernisation. Despite the sanctions, Chinese officials condemned the move as “economic coercion” and vowed countermeasures.
The rules also impact allies, with restrictions extending to chipmaking equipment from countries like Singapore and South Korea, while Japan and the Netherlands are exempt. Some global players, including Dutch firm ASML, downplayed the immediate impact but acknowledged potential long-term effects. These actions come as China accelerates efforts toward self-sufficiency in semiconductor production, though it remains years behind industry leaders like Nvidia and ASML.
This latest crackdown follows the sweeping 2022 curbs on high-end chips and manufacturing tools under the Biden administration, reflecting a sustained US effort to curtail China’s access to critical technologies.
The United States will implement sweeping new restrictions on semiconductor exports to China starting Monday, targeting 140 Chinese firms to curb Beijing’s technological advancements, especially in AI and military applications. The measures, part of the Biden administration’s continued crackdown on China’s chip industry, include export controls on high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, 24 chipmaking tools, and advanced semiconductor equipment manufactured in countries like Singapore and Malaysia.
Among the companies affected are major Chinese chip equipment makers such as Naura Technology Group and Piotech, alongside firms tied to Huawei, which remains central to China’s chipmaking ambitions. Nearly two dozen additional semiconductor and investment firms will be added to the US Entity List, severely restricting their access to American technology. In response, Chinese officials criticised the move, claiming it undermines global trade and supply chains while vowing to protect their firms’ interests.
The restrictions also expand the foreign direct product rule, giving the US authority to regulate exports to China of equipment containing even minimal American technology. This move could disrupt global suppliers, although Japan and the Netherlands are exempt due to their collaboration with the US on similar controls. The crackdown follows a broader US strategy to limit China’s ability to compete in advanced technologies, building on export curbs introduced in 2022.
Despite China’s efforts to become self-reliant in semiconductors, it remains years behind global leaders like Nvidia and ASML. Meanwhile, the restrictions are expected to hit companies such as Lam Research, Applied Materials, and Samsung, which derives a significant share of its HBM chip revenue from China. With the upcoming administration of Donald Trump expected to maintain a hardline stance on China, the latest measures underscore ongoing US efforts to preserve its technological edge.
Industry group SEMI Europe has urged the incoming European Commission to adopt a more unified industrial strategy and expand on the existing European Chips Act. The group highlighted the importance of Mario Draghi’s recommendations, including a centralised EU budget and expedited approvals for strategic high-tech initiatives, to maintain competitiveness against the US and China.
SEMI emphasised the need for additional funding to bolster Europe’s semiconductor ecosystem, particularly in light of global export restrictions on chip technology and critical minerals. Quick action on EU export policies is vital to protect strategic interests and strengthen Europe’s global influence, the group said.
While the Chips Act focuses on attracting new manufacturing, SEMI and other industry voices, like ESIA, have called for broader support. This includes incentives for ‘legacy and foundational’ chip production and innovations essential for Europe’s green transition. Together, SEMI and ESIA represent leading players such as ASML, Infineon, and STMicroelectronics.
A revamped Chips Act would not only counter state-subsidised competition from China but also enhance Europe’s semiconductor supply chain resilience, crucial for its economic and technological independence.
The German government is preparing substantial investments to strengthen its semiconductor industry, aiming to reduce reliance on Asian suppliers and foster local innovation. Subsidies are expected to reach approximately €2 billion, although the Economy Ministry has described the figure as ‘low single-digit billions’. Funding applications for projects contributing to a sustainable microelectronics ecosystem have been invited following the European Chips Act.
The European Chips Act, a broader EU initiative, promotes local semiconductor production by subsidising advanced chip factories. Germany‘s funding prioritises modern production capacities that surpass current technological standards. Officials hope the move will bolster both national and European resilience in semiconductor manufacturing.
Efforts reflect a growing urgency to diversify the global semiconductor supply chain. Germany’s strategic push aligns with wider EU goals to establish a competitive, sustainable microelectronics industry capable of reducing dependence on foreign suppliers.
China has issued a strong warning against potential new US export restrictions on semiconductor technology, signalling it could take ‘necessary actions’ to safeguard its firms. The warning follows reports suggesting the Biden administration may expand its trade blacklist, potentially adding up to 200 Chinese chip companies to the list. Such measures would limit US suppliers from trading with these firms.
Chinese commerce ministry spokesperson He Yadong condemned the US for what he described as overreach in the name of national security. He argued the proposed controls destabilise global trade and harm bilateral cooperation in the semiconductor sector. He emphasised China’s determination to defend its companies’ rights if the US persists with its actions.
Reports indicate that the Biden administration is mulling restrictions on semiconductor equipment and AI memory chip sales to China. These measures may target firms like Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp., a Huawei ally, while sparing ChangXin Memory Technologies, a rising AI memory chip developer.
The tensions come as the outgoing Biden administration faces domestic and international scrutiny over trade policies. Meanwhile, there is concern that President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on Chinese goods could further inflame trade relations, with Beijing warning that such measures would fail to address US domestic issues effectively.
European chip equipment stocks surged on Thursday following reports that upcoming US restrictions on China’s semiconductor industry might be less stringent than anticipated. Shares of ASML, a leading supplier of semiconductor tools, rose by 4.3%, while competitors BE Semiconductor and ASM International climbed 5% and 2.9%, respectively, outperforming the STOXX 600 index.
According to Bloomberg, the US may exclude Chinese memory chipmaker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) from its trade restrictions, though details remain uncertain. The US Commerce Department, which oversees export rules, is expected to release updated guidance after Thanksgiving.
ASML, which has seen a sharp decline in sales to China over recent quarters, declined to comment. The company previously projected that sales to China would shrink to 20% of its revenue by 2025, down from nearly half in the last 18 months. Other global semiconductor equipment suppliers, including US-based Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron, are also closely monitoring the situation.
Intel has secured a $7.86 billion subsidy from the US Commerce Department to bolster its domestic semiconductor production. The revised figure is lower than the $8.5 billion initially announced in March, following Intel’s receipt of a $3 billion Pentagon award. The funding will support key projects in Arizona, New Mexico, Ohio, and Oregon, advancing the nation’s chip-making capabilities.
Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo highlighted the deal as a step towards revitalising US manufacturing. She emphasised the importance of having American-designed chips produced domestically, benefiting national security and economic growth. Intel will receive at least $1 billion of the subsidy by the year’s end, having met key project milestones.
The grant is part of a broader $52.7 billion initiative under the 2022 CHIPS Act, aimed at strengthening the US semiconductor industry. While Intel declined an $11 billion low-cost loan offered earlier, the company plans to leverage a 25% Treasury Investment Tax Credit for investments exceeding $100 billion. Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger noted bipartisan support for the sector’s growth, calling it vital for America’s future.
The award comes with strict conditions, including a five-year prohibition on stock buybacks and requirements to share excess profits. Raimondo reassured that these safeguards are designed to protect taxpayers, with additional awards expected in the coming weeks.
The United StatesCommerce Department has announced nearly $60 million in subsidies for BAE Systems and Rocket Lab to boost semiconductor production crucial for aerospace and space technologies. BAE will receive $35.5 million to quadruple the production of chips used in F-35 fighter jets and satellites, cutting its modernisation timeline significantly.
Rocket Lab’s SolAero Technologies will receive $23.9 million to expand solar cell production by 50% over three years. These space-grade semiconductors power key missions, including NASA’s Artemis programme and the James Webb Space Telescope.
The investments are part of the Biden administration’s $52.7 billion ‘Chips and Science‘ programme aimed at bolstering domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
