The global regulatory landscape of crypto: Between innovation and control

Blockchain and cryptocurrencies: transformative forces in modern economies

Blockchain is a digital ledger technology that records transactions securely, transparently, and immutable. It functions as a decentralised database, distributed across a network of computers, where data is stored in blocks linked together in chronological order. Each block contains a set of transactions, a timestamp, and a unique cryptographic hash that connects it to the previous block, forming a continuous chain.

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The decentralised nature of blockchain means that no single entity has control over the data, and all participants in the network have access to the same version of the ledger. This structure ensures that transactions are tamper-proof, as altering any block would require changing all subsequent blocks and gaining consensus from the majority of the network. Cryptographic techniques and consensus mechanisms, such as proof of work or proof of stake, secure the blockchain, verifying and validating transactions without the need for a central authority.

Initially introduced as the underlying technology for Bitcoin in 2009, blockchain has since evolved to support a wide range of applications beyond cryptocurrencies. It enables smart contracts—self-executing agreements coded directly onto the blockchain—and has found applications in industries such as finance, supply chain management, healthcare, and voting systems. Blockchain’s ability to provide transparency, enhance security, and reduce the need for intermediaries has positioned it as a transformative technology with the potential to reshape the way information and value are exchanged globally. Cryptocurrency is a form of digital or virtual currency that relies on cryptography for security and operates on decentralised networks, typically powered by blockchain technology. Unlike traditional currencies issued and regulated by governments or central banks, cryptocurrencies are not controlled by any central authority, which makes them resistant to censorship and manipulation.

At its core, cryptocurrency functions as a digital medium of exchange, allowing individuals to send and receive payments directly without the need for intermediaries like banks. Transactions are recorded on a blockchain, ensuring transparency, immutability, and security. Each user has a unique digital wallet containing a private key, which grants them access to their funds, and a public key, which serves as their address for receiving payments.

Cryptocurrencies often rely on consensus mechanisms like proof of work or proof of stake to validate transactions and maintain the integrity of blockchain. Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, was launched by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto, to create a decentralised and transparent financial system. Since then, thousands of cryptocurrencies have emerged, each with its own unique features and use cases, ranging from smart contracts on Ethereum to stablecoins designed to minimise price volatility.

MicroStrategy now holds 244,800 bitcoins, worth roughly $9.45 billion, after recent large-scale purchases.

Cryptocurrencies can be used for various purposes, including online payments, investments, remittances, and decentralised finance. While they offer benefits such as lower transaction fees, financial sovereignty, and global accessibility, they also face challenges like regulatory uncertainty, price volatility, and scalability issues. Despite these challenges, cryptocurrencies have become a transformative force in the global economy, driving innovation and challenging traditional financial systems.

Regulation necessity

The need for cryptocurrency regulation arises from the rapid growth and widespread adoption of digital assets, which present both opportunities and risks for individuals, businesses, and governments. While cryptocurrencies offer numerous benefits, such as financial inclusion, decentralised finance, and cross-border transactions, their unique characteristics also create challenges that necessitate oversight to ensure the integrity, stability, and safety of financial systems.

One primary reason for regulation is to protect consumers and investors. The crypto market is highly volatile, with prices often experiencing extreme fluctuations. This instability exposes investors to significant risks, and the lack of oversight has led to numerous cases of fraud, scams, and Ponzi schemes. Regulation can establish safeguards, such as requiring exchanges to implement transparency, security measures, and fair practices, which help protect users from financial losses.

Another critical driver for regulation is the need to combat illicit activities. The pseudonymous nature of cryptocurrencies can make them attractive for money laundering, terrorist financing, tax evasion, and other illegal purposes. By enforcing Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) requirements, regulators can minimise these risks and ensure that digital assets are not exploited for unlawful activities.

Regulation is also necessary to enhance market stability and confidence. The crypto space has seen incidents such as exchange hacks, sudden bankruptcies, and the collapse of major projects, which have caused significant disruptions and undermined trust in the ecosystem. Regulatory frameworks can help ensure the resilience and security of the infrastructure supporting cryptocurrencies, fostering a more stable environment.

Furthermore, as cryptocurrencies increasingly integrate into the global economy, regulation is vital to maintain financial stability. Unregulated digital assets could potentially disrupt traditional economic systems, challenge monetary policies, and create systemic risks. By introducing clear rules for the interaction between cryptocurrencies and traditional finance, regulators can prevent market manipulation and mitigate risks to the broader economy.

Finally, regulatory clarity can encourage legitimacy and adoption. A well-regulated crypto market can attract institutional investors, foster innovation, and create opportunities for businesses while addressing the concerns of sceptics and governments. Clear and consistent regulatory frameworks can also ensure fair competition and enable the crypto industry to coexist with traditional financial systems.

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Cryptocurrency regulation is necessary to protect users, prevent misuse, stabilise markets, safeguard economies, and promote broader adoption. Striking the right balance is essential to supporting innovation while addressing risks, enabling cryptocurrencies to realise their full potential as a transformative financial tool.

The future of crypto regulation worldwide

Global crypto regulation is a complex and evolving landscape, as governments and regulatory bodies around the world approach the issue with varying degrees of acceptance, restriction, and oversight. Cryptocurrencies, by their nature, operate on decentralised networks that transcend borders, making regional or national regulation a challenging task for policymakers. Governments worldwide are introducing rules to govern digital assets, with organisations like the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) and the World Economic Forum (WEF) emphasising the need for consistent global standards. IOSCO has outlined 18 key recommendations for managing crypto and digital assets, while the WEF’s Pathways to the Regulation of Crypto-Assets provides an overview of recent regulatory developments and highlights the necessity of international alignment in overseeing this rapidly evolving industry.

Although regulatory discussions around crypto assets have been ongoing for years, recent crises, including the collapse of crypto-friendly banks and platforms like FTX, have heightened the urgency for clear rules. These incidents have accelerated the drive for stricter accounting and reporting standards.

Some countries have adopted pro-crypto stances, recognising the technology’s potential for economic growth and innovation. These nations often implement clear regulatory frameworks that encourage blockchain development and crypto adoption while addressing risks such as fraud, money laundering, and tax evasion. For instance, countries like Switzerland, Singapore and El Salvador have established themselves as crypto-friendly hubs by offering favourable regulatory environments that support blockchain startups and initial coin offerings (ICOs).

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Conversely, other nations take a more restrictive approach, either banning cryptocurrencies outright or imposing strict controls. Many countries have implemented comprehensive bans on cryptocurrency trading and mining, citing concerns over financial stability, capital flight, and environmental impacts. Some governments are cautious about the use of cryptocurrencies in illicit activities such as money laundering and terrorism financing, leading to calls for stricter KYC and AML requirements. At the international level, organisations such as the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) have introduced guidelines aimed at harmonising cryptocurrency regulations across borders. These guidelines focus on combating financial crimes by requiring cryptocurrency exchanges and service providers to implement measures such as customer identification and transaction reporting. In addition to regulating existing cryptocurrencies, many central banks are exploring the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) These government-backed digital currencies aim to provide the benefits of cryptocurrencies, such as faster payments and increased financial inclusion, while maintaining centralised control and regulatory oversight.

Overall, global cryptocurrency regulation is dynamic and fragmented, reflecting the varying priorities and perspectives of different jurisdictions. While some countries embrace cryptocurrencies as tools for innovation and financial empowerment, others prioritise control and risk mitigation. The future of crypto regulation is likely to involve a blend of international cooperation and national-level policymaking, as regulators strive to strike a balance between fostering innovation and addressing the challenges posed by this transformative technology.

Let us examine a few examples of regulations.

US cryptocurrency regulation progress

The United States has made slow but steady progress toward establishing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. Legislative efforts like the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21) and the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act aim to define when cryptocurrencies are classified as securities or commodities and clarify regulatory oversight. Although these bills have yet to gain significant traction, they lay the foundation for future advancements in crypto regulation.

However, Donald Trump’s incoming administration has pledged to position the US as a global leader in cryptocurrency innovation. Plans include creating a Bitcoin strategic reserve, revitalising crypto mining, and pursuing deregulation. The expected nomination of cryptocurrency advocate Paul Atkins as SEC chair has fueled optimism within the industry, raising hopes for a more collaborative and forward-thinking approach to digital asset regulation.

Trump’s family takes centre stage at the Gulf’s biggest bitcoin conference.

While deregulation is a priority, the sector still requires new rules to address its complexities. Key areas for clarification include defining when crypto assets qualify as securities under the Howey test and refining enforcement strategies to focus on fraud prevention without stifling innovation. Addressing the treatment of secondary crypto trading under securities laws could further enhance the competitiveness of US-based exchanges and keep crypto projects in the country.

By balancing deregulation with essential safeguards, the incoming administration could foster an environment of growth and innovation while ensuring compliance and investor protection. The groundwork being laid today may help shape a thriving future for the US cryptocurrency landscape.

Russia strengthens crypto rules

Russia has taken a significant step in regulating cryptocurrency by introducing new rules aimed at integrating digital assets into its financial system while maintaining economic stability. As of 11 January 2025, the Bank of Russia requires contracts involving digital rights—such as cryptocurrencies, tokenised securities, and digital tokens—used in foreign trade to be registered with authorised banks. This applies to import contracts exceeding RUB 3 million and export contracts over RUB 10 million, underscoring the country’s intent to balance oversight with operational efficiency in international trade.

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The regulations also mandate residents to provide detailed documentation on crypto transactions tied to these contracts. These include records of digital asset transfers or receipts used as payments, along with information on related foreign exchange operations. This level of scrutiny is designed to enhance transparency and mitigate risks, reflecting Russia’s broader goal of establishing a secure and efficient framework for digital assets.

While the move could promote wider adoption of cryptocurrencies by offering regulatory clarity, it also imposes additional compliance obligations on businesses and investors. As digital assets gain prominence in the global economy, Russia aims to leverage their potential while ensuring they are used responsibly within its financial system.

The Bank of Russia’s initiative represents a pivotal moment in the evolution of the nation’s digital financial landscape. Market participants will need to adapt to these changes and navigate the new regulatory environment as Russia positions itself at the forefront of crypto regulation.

China’s complex crypto landscape

China has had a complicated relationship with cryptocurrency, once holding the largest market for Bitcoin transactions globally before a crackdown began in 2017. Despite these regulatory restrictions, the blockchain industry in China remains a leader, with over 5,000 blockchain-related companies. China’s government continues to restrict domestic cryptocurrency trading and initial coin offerings (ICOs), citing concerns over volatility, anonymous transactions, and lack of centralised control. However, major blockchain companies like Binance and Huobi remain influential, and China still leads in blockchain projects globally.

Legally, China does not recognise cryptocurrency as legal tender. Instead, it considers them virtual commodities. Since 2013, the government has implemented several regulations aimed at restricting cryptocurrency trading and protecting investors. These regulations include a ban on domestic cryptocurrency exchanges, and ICOs, as well as the participation of financial institutions in cryptocurrency activities. Although the country has not passed comprehensive cryptocurrency legislation, the government has consistently emphasised that trading virtual currencies carries risks for individuals.

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China has also addressed the taxation of cryptocurrency profits. Income generated from trading virtual currencies is subject to individual income tax, specifically categorised under ‘property transfer income.’ Tax authorities require individuals to report the purchase price and taxes, with the government stepping in to determine prices if proof is not provided. The approach demonstrates China’s ongoing control over cryptocurrency activities within its borders.

Despite the regulatory restrictions, China’s blockchain sector remains robust and influential. The government is clearly focused on managing the risks associated with digital currencies while fostering blockchain innovation, which is likely to continue to influence global cryptocurrency trends.

EU’s comprehensive crypto framework

At the forefront of regulatory efforts is the European Union, which unveiled its comprehensive regulatory framework known as the Markets in Crypto-Assets Act (MiCA) in 2020. After nearly three years of development, MiCA was approved by the European Parliament in April 2023, with the enactment date set for 30 December 2024. The MiCA framework aims to create legal clarity and consistency across the EU, streamlining the regulatory approach to crypto assets. Before MiCA, crypto firms in the EU had to navigate a complex landscape of varying national regulations and multiple licensing requirements, but the new legislation provides a unified licensing structure, which will apply across all 27 member states.

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MiCA applies to all crypto assets that fall outside traditional EU financial regulations, covering everything from electronic money tokens (EMTs) and asset-referenced tokens (ARTs) to other types of crypto assets. These assets are defined based on how they function and are backed. EMTs, for example, are digital assets backed by a single fiat currency, while ARTs are pegged to a basket of assets. MiCA does not automatically apply to non-fungible tokens (NFTs) unless they share characteristics with other regulated assets. Additionally, decentralised applications (dApps), decentralised finance (DeFi) projects, and decentralised autonomous organisations (DAOs) may not be fully subject to MiCA, unless they do not meet the criteria for decentralisation.

Businesses that offer crypto-asset services, known as crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), are at the heart of MiCA’s regulatory scope. These include entities involved in cryptocurrency exchanges, wallet services, and crypto trading platforms. Under MiCA, CASPs will need to obtain authorisation to operate across the EU, with a unified process that eliminates the need for multiple licenses in each country. Once authorised, these businesses can offer services across the entire EU, provided they comply with requirements around governance, capital, anti-money laundering, and data protection.

MiCA also introduces important provisions for stablecoins, particularly fiat-backed stablecoins, which must be backed by a 1:1 liquid reserve. However, algorithmic stablecoins—those that do not have explicit reserves tied to traditional assets—are banned. Issuers of EMTs and ARTs will be required to obtain authorisation and provide whitepapers, outlining the characteristics of the assets and the risks to prospective buyers. MiCA’s regulations are designed to protect consumers, reduce market manipulation, and ensure that crypto activities remain secure and transparent.

This regulatory shift is expected to reshape the crypto landscape in the EU, offering businesses and consumers clearer protections and encouraging market integrity. As MiCA comes into effect in 2025, its impact is likely to reverberate beyond Europe, as other nations look to adopt similar frameworks for managing digital assets.

Japan’s evolving crypto regulations

Japan is considering lighter regulations for cryptocurrency intermediaries that are not crypto exchanges. The Financial Services Agency (FSA) recently proposed this to the Financial System Council, following Japan’s early cryptocurrency regulation after the Mt. Gox hack. Currently, crypto intermediaries such as apps or wallets that connect users to exchanges must register as crypto asset exchange service providers (CAESPs), but many do not handle customer funds directly.

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To reduce the regulatory burden, the FSA is exploring a system where intermediaries would register, provide user information, follow advertising restrictions, and potentially be liable for damages. They might also be required to maintain a security deposit, with exchanges absorbing liability for affiliated intermediaries. This proposal aims to create a more flexible regulatory framework for crypto-related businesses that do not operate exchanges.

Brazil’s new crypto market law

In late 2022, the National Congress approved a bill regulating the cryptocurrency market, focusing on areas like competition, governance, security, and consumer protection. The Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) will oversee its implementation. While there was no specific crypto regulation before, the new law will require companies, including exchanges, to obtain licenses, register with the Brazilian National Registry of Legal Entities (CNPJ), and report suspicious activities to the Council for Financial Activities Control (COAF).

Brazil aims for technological autonomy with a new AI investment initiative.

The regulation mandates KYC (Know Your Customer) and KYT (Know Your Transaction) practices to combat money laundering. It also aligns with the Penal Code of Brazil, enforcing penalties for fraud and crimes. Notably, exchanges must separate client assets from company assets, a provision not yet included in the law but proposed by the Brazilian Association of Cryptoeconomics (ABCripto).

The law was set to take effect between May and June 2023, with full implementation, including licensing rules, expected by 2025. While the decentralised nature of the global crypto market presents challenges, the new regulatory framework aims to offer greater security and attract more investors to the growing Brazilian crypto market.

UK push for crypto regulation

The United Kingdom has taken significant steps to regulate digital currencies, mandating that any company offering such services must obtain proper authorisation from the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). This regulation is part of a broader effort to establish a clear and secure framework for digital assets, including cryptocurrencies and digital tokens, within the UK financial ecosystem. One area of particular focus is stablecoins, which are digital currencies pegged to stable assets, such as the US dollar or the British pound. Stablecoins have garnered attention for their potential to revolutionise the payments sector by offering faster and cheaper transactions compared to traditional payment methods.

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The Bank of England has proposed new regulations specifically targeting stablecoins to maximise their benefits while addressing potential risks. These proposed rules aim to strike a balance between encouraging innovation in digital payments and ensuring the financial system’s stability. The regulations are designed to ensure that stablecoins do not pose risks to consumer protection or the integrity of the financial market, particularly in terms of preventing money laundering and illicit financial activities.

This move highlights the UK’s proactive approach to digital asset regulation, aiming to foster a secure environment where cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies can thrive without undermining the broader financial infrastructure. The efforts also underscore the UK’s commitment to consumer protection, ensuring that individuals and businesses engaging with digital currencies are properly safeguarded. With this comprehensive regulatory approach, the UK is positioning itself as a leader in the integration of digital currencies into traditional finance, setting a precedent for other nations exploring similar regulatory frameworks.

Kenya΄s crypto regulation attempt

Kenya’s journey with cryptocurrency regulation has evolved from scepticism to a more open stance as the government recognises its potential benefits. Initially, in the early 2010s, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin were viewed with caution by the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK), citing concerns over volatility, fraud, and lack of consumer protection. This led to a public warning against the use of virtual currencies in 2015. However, the growing global interest in digital currencies, including in Kenya, continued, with nearly 10% of Kenyans owning cryptocurrency by 2022, driven by factors such as financial inclusion and the appeal of blockchain technology.

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A turning point for Kenya came in 2018, when the government set up a task force to explore blockchain and the potential of AI, building on the success of mobile money services like M-Pesa. By 2023, the country began assessing money laundering risks associated with virtual assets, signalling a shift in attitude toward cryptocurrencies. By December 2024, the government introduced a draft National Policy on Virtual Assets and Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs), outlining a regulatory framework to guide the development of the market.

The proposed regulations include licensing requirements for cryptocurrency exchanges and wallet providers, as well as measures to prevent money laundering and countering and terrorist financing. Consumer protection and cybersecurity are also central to the framework, ensuring that users’ funds and personal data are safeguarded. The draft regulations are open for public consultation until 24 January 2025, with the government seeking input from industry players, consumer groups, and the public.

Kenya’s path from opposition to embracing cryptocurrency reflects a broader trend towards digital financial innovation. By creating a balanced regulatory environment, Kenya hopes to position itself as a leader in Africa’s digital financial revolution, fostering economic growth and financial inclusion, much like the success it achieved with M-Pesa.

The need for a global approach

As we already explained, the international nature of cryptocurrency markets presents unique regulatory challenges. Cross-border activities increase the risk of fraud and investor harm, highlighting the necessity of consistent global standards. The WEF emphasises that international collaboration is “not just desirable but necessary” to maximise the benefits of blockchain technology while mitigating risks.

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Differences in market maturity, regulatory capacity, and regional priorities complicate alignment. However, organisations such as IOSCO or the Financial Stability Board (FSB)  stress the role of international bodies and national regulators in fostering a unified regulatory framework. A global approach would not only enhance consumer protections but also create an environment conducive to innovation, ensuring the responsible evolution of cryptocurrency markets.

As the crypto ecosystem evolves, governments and international organisations are working to balance innovation and regulation. By addressing the challenges posed by digital assets through comprehensive, coordinated efforts, the global community aims to create a stable and secure financial environment in the digital age.

EU files WTO complaint against China’s patent practices

The European Commission has filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) against China, accusing the country of ‘unfair and illegal’ practices regarding worldwide royalty rates for European standard essential patents (SEPs). According to the Commission, China has empowered its courts to set global royalty rates for the EU companies, particularly in the telecoms sector, without the consent of the patent holders.

The case focuses on SEPs, which are crucial for technologies like 5G, used in mobile phones. European companies such as Nokia and Ericsson hold many of these patents. The Commission claims that China’s actions force European companies to reduce their royalty rates globally, providing Chinese manufacturers with unfairly low access to European technologies.

The European Union has requested consultations with China, marking the first step in WTO dispute resolution. If a resolution is not reached within 60 days, the EU can request the formation of an adjudicating panel, which typically takes about a year to issue a final report. This case is linked to a previous EU dispute at the WTO concerning China’s anti-suit injunctions, which restrict telecom patent holders’ ability to enforce intellectual property rights in courts outside China.

Breach exposes FBI data links

A major data breach involving telecom provider AT&T has compromised sensitive information about FBI agents’ call and text logs. The incident, which occurred last year, exposed phone numbers and contact details, though not the content of communications. FBI officials warn that the breach may risk revealing the identities of confidential informants.

AT&T reported in July that hackers had stolen records linked to 109 million customer accounts. Among the stolen data were months of FBI call logs, potentially connecting agents to their sources. While AT&T claims to have collaborated with law enforcement to mitigate the damage, the FBI continues to prioritise protecting its informants.

The breach has reignited concerns about cyber-espionage targeting US telecom networks. Earlier this month, the US national security adviser highlighted ongoing threats from Chinese-linked cyber operations. Although telecom firms, including AT&T and Verizon, say their systems are now secure, the incident underscores the persistent risks posed by sophisticated hackers.

China denies forcing firms to share user data

The Chinese government “has never and will never” require companies or individuals to collect or transfer data in ways that violate the law, China’s foreign ministry declared on Friday. The statement was issued in response to a privacy complaint filed by Austrian advocacy group Noyb, which accuses six Chinese companies, including TikTok, Shein, and Xiaomi, of unlawfully sending European Union user data to China.

Noyb, an organisation focused on data protection and privacy rights, alleges that the companies breached the EU’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) by transferring user data without proper safeguards. The complaint has sparked concerns in Europe about how personal information is handled by Chinese firms operating within the EU. If proven, the violations could result in significant fines and further scrutiny of these companies.

In defending the nation’s stance, a foreign ministry spokesperson emphasised that China operates within the bounds of international laws and rejects any claims of illegal data practices. “China strictly upholds its legal and regulatory framework and will never engage in or endorse actions that violate laws regarding data collection or transfer,” the spokesperson said. The spokesperson also criticised what they described as “unfounded accusations” aimed at tarnishing Chinese businesses.

This case is the latest in a series of global concerns about data privacy and the practices of technology firms. It underscores the growing tension between nations over data security, cross-border data flows, and regulatory compliance, particularly as Chinese companies expand their presence in foreign markets. The outcome of Noyb’s complaint could have far-reaching implications for data governance and corporate practices in both Europe and China.

DW Newsletter # 195 – Will TikTok get banned or divested in the USA?

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Dear readers,

TikTok is facing a pivotal moment in its turbulent journey this January. With the US Supreme Court leaning toward upholding a law requiring its owner ByteDance to sell TikTok’s US assets by 19 January 2025, the app stands on the brink of a nationwide ban. ByteDance, backed by the Chinese government, has fiercely resisted divestment, citing constitutional protections under the First Amendment. Adding to the complexity is Beijing’s ‘golden share’ in ByteDance; this control, paired with export regulations on software algorithms like TikTok’s recommendation engine, underscores China’s role in the negotiations and complicates the app’s future.

Amid these disputes, reports of Elon Musk, owner of X (formerly Twitter), have emerged as a potential buyer for TikTok’s US operations. Musk’s ties to US and Chinese markets via Tesla’s Shanghai production hub position him as a unique figure in this debate. If Musk were to acquire TikTok, it could bolster X’s advertising reach and data capabilities, aligning with his broader ambitions in AI and technology. However, such a sale would involve overcoming numerous hurdles, including ByteDance’s valuation of TikTok at US$40–50 billion and securing regulatory approvals from both Washington and Beijing. On the other hand, ByteDance, backed by Beijing, is resisting the sale, arguing that the conditioning violates free speech and poses significant logistical hurdles.

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TikTok has attempted to safeguard its US user base of 170 million by planning to allow users to download their data in case the ban takes effect. It has also reassured its 7,000 US employees that their jobs and benefits are secure, even if operations are halted. While new downloads would be prohibited under the ban, existing users could retain access temporarily, although the platform’s functionality would degrade over time.

The looming deadline has sparked a surge in alternative platforms, such as RedNote (known in China as Xiaohongshu), which has seen a significant influx of US users in anticipation of TikTok’s potential exit. These developments underscore the broader implications of TikTok’s struggles, including the reshaping of the social media landscape and the role of government intervention in regulating digital platforms.

What’s next?

The fate of TikTok in the US hangs in the balance as President-elect Donald Trump considers an executive order to delay the enforcement of the ‘ban or divest’ law by up to 90 days. The potential extension, supported by figures from both political sides, including Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Trump’s incoming national security adviser Mike Waltz, aims to provide ByteDance, TikTok’s Chinese owner, additional time to divest its US operations and avoid a nationwide ban. With over 170 million American users and substantial ad revenue at risk, lawmakers are increasingly wary of the disruption a ban could cause, signalling bipartisan support to keep the app operational while addressing national security concerns. TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew’s attendance at Trump’s inauguration further hints at a shift in relations between the platform and the new administration. Meanwhile, the uncertainty has already driven US users to explore alternatives like RedNote as the clock ticks down to the Sunday deadline.

Thus, TikTok’s journey has become a defining chapter in the intersection of technology, politics, and global economics, serving as a case study for the challenges of navigating success in a hyper-connected world fraught with geopolitical tensions.

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In other news..

US tightens AI chip export rules to maintain edge over China

The US government has announced new restrictions on exporting AI chips and technology, seeking to safeguard its dominance in AI development while limiting China’s access to advanced computing capabilities.

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The US Justice Department has removed malware from over 4,200 computers worldwide in an operation targeting a hacking group linked to the Chinese government.

Visit dig.watch now for the latest updates and other topics!

Marko and the Digital Watch team


Highlights from the week of 10-17 January 2025

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The EU is considering expanding its investigation into Elon Musk’s X over potential content rule violations.

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According to a Bloomberg report, one potential scenario would see Musk’s platform, X, taking over TikTok’s US operations and running them jointly.

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Digital Markets Act probes under review.

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Analysts suggest the surge in American RedNote users may be temporary, as past trends show similar platforms have faced restrictions.

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An investigation into subsidies, alleging market disruption and unfair competition.

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A bipartisan attempt for extension grows stronger.

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The upcoming shutdown could shake up $11 billion ad market.

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Google has been hit with a substantial fine for failing to comply with previous penalties. The move signals escalating tension between Russia and foreign tech platforms, especially over content hosted…

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Child safety regulations are coming soon despite the debate surrounding them.

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Several German institutions have already left X, citing concerns over its algorithms and Musk’s political stance.

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The regulation’s success will depend on consistent enforcement across the EU and balancing oversight with growth, amidst a global trend towards more comprehensive crypto regulation.


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Bytedance, TikTok’s parent company, will divest its US operations by 19 January 2025 or face a ban in the country.

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The World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting 2025, held in Davos, will convene global leaders to address some of the most pressing global and regional challenges. Under the theme ‘Collaboration…

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On 21 January from 16:00 to 18:00 pm CET the Geneva Dialogue on Responsible Behaviour in Cyberspace will host the session at the Geneva Day at the House of Switzerland in Davos.…

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Implementing AI in daily work: Training for the EU staff in Geneva Diplo will deliver specialised, exercise-based training, ‘Implementing AI in Daily Work’,

Chinese tech company Zhipu questions US trade ban

Beijing-based AI company Zhipu Huazhang Technology has opposed the US government’s plan to add it to the export control entity list. The company argues the decision lacks a factual basis.

Zhipu issued a statement on its official WeChat account expressing strong opposition to the move. The firm criticised the US commerce department’s intentions, insisting the decision was unjustified.

Zhipu and its subsidiaries face restrictions on accessing US technologies if added to the list. The company maintains it operates lawfully and transparently in its business practices.

The US has been increasing scrutiny on Chinese technology firms, citing national security concerns. Zhipu emphasised its commitment to responsible technology development and cooperation with global partners.

Baicells faces US investigation amid national security fears

US authorities, including the Commerce Department and the FBI, are investigating Baicells Technologies, a telecom hardware company with ties to China, over potential security risks. Founded by former Huawei executives, Baicells has supplied telecom equipment to 700 networks across the US since opening its North American branch in 2015. The investigations focus on national security concerns, particularly around the company’s Chinese origins and its equipment’s potential vulnerability to espionage. The FBI’s interest in Baicells goes back to 2019, and recent reports suggest that the Pentagon has added the company to a list of entities connected to China’s military.

While Baicells has denied any wrongdoing and pledged full cooperation with US authorities, the company faces mounting scrutiny amid fears that Chinese-made telecom equipment could be used for surveillance or cyber attacks. In particular, base stations and routers provided by Baicells have been flagged for vulnerabilities that could allow hackers to compromise sensitive networks. The FBI has already contacted local US entities, such as the city of Las Vegas, to raise security concerns regarding Baicells’ technology.

Despite Baicells’ claims that it no longer has ties to its Chinese parent company, its history and ownership structure continue to raise doubts. Many of its top executives and a significant portion of its staff have links to Huawei, further fueling suspicions about the company’s operations. In recent years, Baicells has attempted to distance itself from its Chinese roots, stating that its infrastructure is increasingly built in Taiwan, though much of its equipment still originates from China. The ongoing investigations highlight the broader concerns in Washington about the risks posed by Chinese-linked technology in critical infrastructure.

US TikTok ‘refugees’ find a new platform on RedNote

Users of the Chinese social media platform RedNote have welcomed an influx of American TikTok users, posting messages and selfies to greet the newcomers. The surge of over 700,000 users follows a looming US ban on TikTok, which has 170 million American users. Chinese foreign ministry officials have expressed support for greater cultural exchanges, while state media described RedNote as a “new home” for TikTok users.

The app, known as Xiaohongshu in China, has traditionally been used for lifestyle content but has now become an unexpected platform for US-China interactions. Many American users have asked about Chinese food, culture, and daily life, while Chinese users have eagerly responded. Some, however, have voiced concerns, with nationalist bloggers warning against Western influence.

Despite the warm reception from many, tensions have emerged over content and platform moderation. Some US users have tested RedNote’s censorship policies by posting about politically sensitive topics. Analysts believe the trend may be short-lived, as past instances of Western social media adoption in China, such as Clubhouse, ended with government restrictions. RedNote is reportedly working to improve its moderation of English-language content.

Trump may delay TikTok ban enforcement with executive order

President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering an executive order that would postpone the enforcement of the TikTok sale-or-ban law for up to 90 days. According to sources cited by the Washington Post, the order would temporarily halt the requirement for TikTok’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, to divest its US operations or face a ban.

The delay could provide more time for negotiations and potential deals to resolve security concerns raised by United States lawmakers. The law, passed under the Biden administration, aimed to address fears over TikTok’s links to China, but Trump has taken a more open stance towards the platform during his campaign.

A suspension of enforcement would offer relief to TikTok’s 170 million American users and businesses that rely on the app for advertising and engagement. The move, however, is likely to spark debate in Washington, where concerns over data security and Chinese influence remain key political issues.

TikTok users react to looming US Shutdown

Disappointment and confusion swept across TikTok users in the United States as news broke that ByteDance, the app’s Chinese owner, plans to shut down the platform for its 170 million US users by Sunday. The move comes in response to a federal ban requiring ByteDance to sell TikTok’s US assets by January 19 due to national security concerns. While some users hold out hope for a last-minute reprieve, many are preparing for the worst.

Content creators, many of whom have built careers and followings on TikTok, expressed frustration and sadness. Some vowed to boycott rival platforms like Instagram, Facebook, and X, while others scrambled to save their content. True crime creator Amber Goode, from Colorado, criticised the government for “playing with us,” while other users shared instructions on migrating to alternative platforms, including China-based apps like RedNote.

TikTok has maintained that it does not and would never share US user data with China, arguing that the ban violates First Amendment rights. Unless the Supreme Court intervenes, users attempting to open the app on Sunday will be redirected to a shutdown information page. President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly exploring executive actions to delay the ban, but the outcome remains uncertain.

The shutdown has sparked mixed emotions globally, with some international users relieved that American social media issues may no longer dominate their feeds. However, for US creators like Ishpal Sidhu, who stands to lose her livelihood, the uncertainty has cast a shadow over what was once a thriving platform.