Nvidia shares bounce back after rough week

Shares of Nvidia rose in Europe on Wednesday, signalling a potential recovery after a sharp decline earlier in the week. The company, a key player in the AI sector, saw its Frankfurt-listed shares increase by 2%, following an 8.9% gain on Wall Street the previous day. This bounce came after a steep drop in Nvidia’s market value on Monday, triggered by the emergence of China’s DeepSeek AI tool, which posed a challenge to established players like OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

The decline in Nvidia’s stock earlier in the week saw the company lose nearly $600 billion in market value, marking the largest single-day loss in history for any company. However, markets showed signs of stabilising on Wednesday, bolstered by a surge in shares of ASML, the Dutch company that manufactures tools for chip production. ASML’s 11% jump helped lift European tech stocks, with chipmakers BE Semiconductor and ASM International also posting solid gains.

Investors seemed to regain confidence, with some believing that DeepSeek’s advancements might not disrupt the broader AI market. According to market strategist Chris Weston, the innovation from DeepSeek could even generate new demand for Nvidia’s GPUs, which are critical for AI applications. Meanwhile, Microsoft and OpenAI are investigating whether DeepSeek improperly used data from ChatGPT’s technology.

As markets remain volatile, investors are now looking ahead to earnings reports from major tech giants like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, which could provide more clarity on the sector’s outlook. Despite ongoing uncertainties, the overall sentiment in the tech sector appeared more positive by midweek.

ASML exceeds expectations with surge in AI demand

ASML, the leading maker of computer chip equipment, reported impressive fourth-quarter bookings of 7.09 billion euros ($7.39 billion), significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The surge in orders was driven by the increasing demand for advanced chip production tools fueled by the boom in AI. Following the announcement, ASML’s stock rose 11% to 722 euros, signalling investor optimism despite recent market volatility.

Analysts had expected bookings to total around 3.99 billion euros, up from 2.63 billion euros in the previous quarter. ASML’s CEO, Christophe Fouquet, emphasised that AI growth is a key driver for the industry, with major companies like TSMC, ASML’s largest customer, benefiting from the rise in AI chip demand. The company reported a net income of 2.7 billion euros on sales of 9.3 billion euros for the quarter, surpassing expectations.

Despite the positive results, analysts caution that the long-term impact of DeepSeek’s AI model—released this week and requiring less computing power than competitors—remains uncertain. Some fear it could affect the large investments tech giants make in AI chips. However, ASML’s strong quarterly performance and its 2025 sales forecast, ranging from 30-35 billion euros, suggest continued growth, particularly from companies like TSMC and SK Hynix.

ASML’s largest market was the US in the fourth quarter, accounting for 28% of sales, closely followed by China. However, the company anticipates that sales in China will decline, partly due to export restrictions on chip equipment imposed by the US and Dutch governments for national security reasons.

Alibaba launches AI model to rival DeepSeek

Alibaba launched a new version of its Qwen 2.5 AI model on Wednesday, claiming it outperforms competitors like DeepSeek-V3, GPT-4, and Llama-3.1-405B. The release, timed on the first day of the Lunar New Year when most Chinese workers are on holiday, highlights the growing pressure from DeepSeek’s rapid rise in the AI sector. The Chinese tech giant’s announcement emphasised that Qwen 2.5-Max delivers better performance across various AI benchmarks compared to some of the top models from OpenAI and Meta.

DeepSeek’s recent success, particularly after its January releases of the DeepSeek-V3 and R1 models, has shaken the AI market, including both international competitors and Chinese firms. The company’s low development and usage costs have raised concerns about the sustainability of large AI investments from US tech giants. The competition within China has intensified, with Alibaba’s Qwen 2.5-Max release and ByteDance’s update to its AI model shortly after DeepSeek’s R1 release, signalling a rapid response to the new market dynamics.

DeepSeek’s previous model, V2, had already disrupted the market last year, triggering a price war with Chinese firms slashing prices on AI models. Alibaba and other major tech companies, including Baidu and Tencent, had to follow suit, offering significantly cheaper options. Despite this, DeepSeek’s founder, Liang Wenfeng, has expressed that his company is focused on achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) rather than competing on price, contrasting DeepSeek’s agile, research-driven approach with the more structured and costly operations of larger tech firms.

As the battle for AI supremacy intensifies, the emergence of DeepSeek, with its lean team of researchers, continues to challenge China’s tech giants, who may find themselves under pressure to innovate faster and more efficiently to keep up with the rapidly evolving AI landscape.

Coinbase secures approval to launch in Argentina

Coinbase has received regulatory approval to operate in Argentina, securing a Virtual Asset Service Provider licence from the National Securities Commission. The approval allows the exchange to offer its services within Argentina’s virtual asset framework, marking a significant step in its global expansion.

With inflation soaring and the local currency struggling, cryptocurrency adoption has surged in Argentina. Around 5 million Argentinians use crypto daily, viewing it as a tool to protect their wealth and access global financial markets. A recent Coinbase survey found that 87% of locals see digital assets as a way to enhance economic independence.

Coinbase’s operations in Argentina will be led by fintech expert Matías Alberti. The company plans to combine trading services with educational initiatives to help users navigate the risks and benefits of crypto. The company has highlighted security and compliance as key priorities, aiming to build trust in a market where financial stability remains a major concern.

Apple iPhones included in Starlink satellite trial

Apple’s iPhone devices are now eligible to test SpaceX’s Starlink’s direct-to-cell service, which offers satellite-based coverage, according to T-Mobile. The trial, which started after receiving approval from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) in November, currently provides “text via satellite” capabilities, with plans to add voice and data features in the future.

Initially, only select Android smartphones were eligible for the test, but T-Mobile has expanded compatibility to include iPhones running the latest iOS 18.3 software update. The partnership between Apple, SpaceX, and T-Mobile has been kept under wraps, with the companies working together to integrate Starlink support into Apple’s devices.

The FCC’s approval last year also allowed Starlink’s direct-to-cell service to assist in providing coverage in areas like North Carolina, which were severely impacted by Hurricane Helene. While Apple and SpaceX did not comment outside business hours, the initiative marks a significant step in expanding satellite coverage for mobile users.

OpenAI warns about Chinese firms accessing US AI

OpenAI has raised concerns about Chinese companies attempting to access US AI technologies to enhance their models. In a statement released on Tuesday, OpenAI highlighted the critical need to protect its intellectual property and the most advanced capabilities in its AI systems. The company emphasised that it has put in place countermeasures to safeguard its innovations and is working closely with the US government to protect the technology from being exploited by competitors and adversaries.

These comments come in response to the White House’s ongoing review of national security risks posed by Chinese AI companies, particularly the rapidly growing startup DeepSeek. The US government has been looking into potential threats as China increasingly seeks to advance its AI capabilities. David Sacks, the White House’s AI and crypto czar, explained that Chinese firms are using an AI technique called “distillation,” which allows them to extract knowledge from leading US AI models, further raising concerns about intellectual property theft.

OpenAI’s statement underscores the challenges and security risks that arise as AI becomes a critical technology with broad applications, from national defence to economic competitiveness. The company’s efforts to protect its proprietary AI models are part of a broader push by the US to ensure that its technological edge is not compromised by foreign competitors who might attempt to bypass intellectual property protections. The situation highlights the increasing geopolitical tension surrounding AI development, especially as China continues to make significant strides in the field.

Metaplanet to acquire 21,000 Bitcoin by 2026

Metaplanet, a Tokyo-listed company, has unveiled a bold corporate treasury plan aiming to accumulate 10,000 Bitcoins by the end of 2025 and 21,000 by 2026. The initiative is designed to position the company as one of the world’s largest corporate holders of Bitcoin, with over $180 million worth of assets already in place.

The strategy dubbed the ’21 Million Plan’, involves issuing 21 million shares through moving strike warrants to raise nearly $740 million. This capital raise is set to be one of Asia’s largest bitcoin-focused equity raises. The plan aims to protect shareholder value by setting an exercise price at 100% of the previous day’s closing price, thus avoiding dilution.

Metaplanet has achieved impressive BTC yields, including a 309.82% return for Q4 2024, reinforcing the success of its strategy. The company’s Director of Bitcoin Strategy, Dylan LeClair, emphasised that the firm measures success by bitcoin yield, not fiat currencies. The company’s ultimate goal is to maximise Bitcoin per share for its shareholders, positioning Bitcoin not only as an asset but as an exit strategy.

Microsoft faces doubts over AI spending

Microsoft’s ambitious push into artificial intelligence is facing growing investor doubts as the company prepares to release its latest earnings report. Despite heavy investment in OpenAI and plans to spend $80 billion on AI infrastructure this fiscal year, its Azure cloud business has shown slowing growth for two consecutive quarters. Analysts now question whether AI-driven demand will be enough to reignite momentum.

The tech giant’s stock has underperformed many of its peers, with further pressure mounting after Chinese startup DeepSeek introduced a cost-effective AI model, sparking concerns about US dominance in the sector. Meanwhile, Microsoft’s AI-powered Copilot assistant has struggled to gain widespread traction beyond pilot programmes, forcing the company to adjust pricing strategies in an attempt to drive adoption.

While Microsoft still handles most of OpenAI’s cloud traffic, competition in AI infrastructure is intensifying. With investor sentiment turning cautious, the upcoming earnings report will be a key test of whether AI investments can translate into sustainable revenue growth.

Tech stocks fall as DeepSeek disrupts market

Global technology stocks experienced a sharp decline on Tuesday, with a second day of losses triggered by the emergence of a low-cost Chinese AI model. This new AI assistant, launched by China’s DeepSeek, has raised doubts about the dominance of established AI leaders like Nvidia and OpenAI. Nvidia’s shares plummeted 17% on Monday, erasing $593 billion from its market value. Other major tech companies such as Broadcom, Microsoft, and Alphabet also saw significant declines, fueling broader market concerns.

The unexpected launch of DeepSeek’s AI, which claims to use fewer data and lower costs than existing models, has disrupted the market, causing scepticism among investors. While OpenAI CEO Sam Altman praised the model, calling it ‘impressive,’ the sudden rise of a competitor from China has surprised many and highlighted the rapid pace of advancements in AI technology. This development has led to a global sell-off in tech stocks, with significant drops in companies across the US, Europe, and Japan.

The sell-off has raised concerns about the high valuations of AI and tech stocks, which have seen inflated prices due to the AI boom. Nvidia, for example, had been trading at nearly 60 times its earnings, far above the broader market’s 22 times. The market downturn underscores the risks tied to the heavy concentration of tech stocks in investor portfolios, with many fearing that the industry’s rapid expansion has created an unsustainable bubble.

This market shakeup also reflects the broader issue of leverage in the system, with investors increasingly borrowing to buy high-priced tech stocks. As a result, the unwinding of these positions, combined with algorithmic trading, has intensified the sell-off. With key earnings reports from companies like Apple and Microsoft expected this week, investors are closely watching how tech executives address concerns about capital spending and the future of AI investments.

Taiwan emphasises strong ties amid Trump’s tariff threat

Taiwan described its semiconductor business with the US as a mutually beneficial partnership in response to tariff threats by Donald Trump. The economy ministry highlighted the complementary relationship between US-designed and Taiwan-produced chips, which has bolstered industries in both nations.

Trump proposed tariffs on imports of chips, pharmaceuticals, and steel, aiming to bring production to US soil. Taiwan stressed its commitment to close cooperation with Washington to address global challenges while supporting shared national interests. The presidential office reinforced this sentiment, emphasising trust and collaboration in high-tech fields.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the world’s largest contract chipmaker, remains central to the global tech supply chain. Despite tariff concerns, TSMC’s ongoing $65 billion investment in US facilities demonstrates a commitment to bilateral cooperation. Taiwan’s economy minister noted minimal expected impact from tariffs due to the island’s technological leadership.

Taiwan’s trade surplus with the US surged 83% last year, fuelled by semiconductor demand. While Taiwan remains cautious about evolving US trade policies, it remains optimistic about maintaining robust economic ties.