SoftBank invests $2 billion in Intel to boost US semiconductor industry

Japanese technology giant SoftBank has announced plans to buy a $2 billion stake in Intel, signalling a stronger push into the American semiconductor industry.

The investment comes as Washington debates greater government involvement in the sector, with reports suggesting President Donald Trump is weighing a US government stake in the chipmaker.

SoftBank will purchase Intel’s common stock at $23 per share. Its chairman, Masayoshi Son, said semiconductors remain the backbone of every industry and expressed confidence that advanced chip manufacturing will expand in the US, with Intel playing a central role.

The move follows SoftBank’s increasing investments in the US, including its role in the $500 billion ‘Stargate’ AI project announced earlier this year.

Once a dominant force in Silicon Valley, Intel has struggled against rivals such as Nvidia and AMD. Under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan, the company is cutting 15% of its workforce and reducing costs to stabilise operations.

After a private meeting, Trump recently criticised Tan’s leadership but later softened his stance.

Shares in both companies slipped following the announcement, with SoftBank down 2.2% in Tokyo and Intel falling 3.7% in New York.

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US may take stake in Intel to boost chip production

The US government is reportedly considering acquiring a stake in Intel to support its domestic chip manufacturing plans. Talks began after Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan met with Trump administration officials on 11 August, following calls for his resignation over alleged China ties.

President Trump has pushed for greater control over the semiconductor sector and recently criticised Tan, prompting political pressure on Intel’s board.

While Intel declined to comment on a possible deal, it stated its commitment to supporting US technology and manufacturing leadership.

The proposed stake would aid Intel’s delayed Ohio chip factory project and expand its US production capacity.

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DeepSeek delays next AI model amid Huawei chip challenges

Chinese AI company DeepSeek has postponed the launch of its R2 model after repeated technical problems using Huawei’s Ascend processors for training. The delay highlights Beijing’s ongoing struggle to replace US-made chips with domestic alternatives.

Authorities had encouraged DeepSeek to shift from Nvidia hardware to Huawei’s chips after the release of its R1 model in January. However, training failures, slower inter-chip connections, stability issues, and weaker software performance led the start-up to revert to Nvidia chips for training, while continuing to explore Ascend for inference tasks.

Despite Huawei deploying engineers to assist on-site, DeepSeek was unable to complete a successful training run using Ascend processors. The company is also contending with extended data-labelling timelines for its updated model, adding to the delays.

The situation underscores how far Chinese chip technology lags behind Nvidia for advanced AI development, even as Beijing pressures domestic firms to use local products. Industry observers say Huawei is facing “growing pains” but could close the gap over time. Meanwhile, competitors like Alibaba’s Qwen3 have integrated elements of DeepSeek’s design more efficiently, intensifying market pressure.

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South Korea unveils megagrowth plan with AI expressway and energy reform

President Lee Jae-myung has announced a sweeping national megagrowth plan that positions South Korea at the forefront of AI and energy transformation.

The initiative includes the creation of an ‘AI expressway’, starting with the Ulsan AI data centre, underpinned by bold tax incentives and regulatory reforms to attract private sector investment. Complementing this is a proposed investment of 100 trillion won to accelerate AI innovation, next-generation semiconductors, and the development of AI infrastructure and innovation zones.

On the energy front, the government has launched a dedicated task force to develop an AI-powered next-generation power grid. This ‘electric highway’ aims to integrate AI technology into renewable energy distribution and grid modernisation without needing vast new infrastructure.

Complementing the power grid overhaul, Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) plans to invest around 73 trillion won by 2038 to expand transmission lines and upgrade the power infrastructure serving major semiconductor complexes.

Together, these measures form a robust blueprint that aligns digital transformation with energy security, aimed at keeping South Korea globally competitive while responding to rising electricity demands from AI and other tech industries.

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India must ramp up AI and chip production to meet global competition

At the Emkay Confluence in Mumbai, Chief Economic Adviser V. Anantha Nageswaran emphasised that while trade-related concerns remain significant, they must not obscure the urgent need for India to boost its AI and semiconductor sectors.

He pointed to AI’s transformative economic potential and strategic importance, warning that India must act decisively to remain competitive as the United States and China advance aggressively in these domains.

By focusing on energy transition, energy security, and enhanced collaboration across sectors, Nageswaran argued that India can strengthen its innovation capacity and technological self-reliance.

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Nvidia holds record share of S&P 500

Nvidia now accounts for more than 8% of the S&P 500, the largest share ever held by a single stock since records began in 1981. The company’s market value reached about $4.5 trillion on Monday, driven by unprecedented demand for its AI chips.

Its share price surged 239% in 2023, 171% in 2024, and 36% in 2025.

While investor sentiment remains strong, analysts warn of mounting risks. Political tensions with China, potential export restrictions, and reliance on overseas resellers could threaten sales.

Over the weekend, reports emerged of an agreement with the US government allowing Nvidia and AMD to give 15% of Chinese chip revenue in exchange for export licences, potentially boosting growth by more than 20%.

Infrastructure is another concern. Analysts say customers now face delays from chip shortages, limited power grid capacity, and data centre cooling systems.

Some of Nvidia’s biggest clients could become direct rivals, challenging its 75% profit margin and long-term dominance in AI infrastructure.

Nvidia’s unprecedented weight in the S&P 500 closely ties the index’s performance to its fortunes. While demand for AI hardware remains high, the company’s growth trajectory depends on navigating political, infrastructure, and competitive pressures.

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China pushes back on Nvidia chip sales, undercutting Trump’s proposed export deal

China is quietly urging domestic companies to steer clear of Nvidia’s H20 processors, especially for government or security-related projects, throwing a wrench into US efforts to turn those sales into a revenue source for Washington.

Over recent weeks, Chinese authorities have sent private notices to firms questioning their reliance on US chips and promoting domestic alternatives.

The guidance comes just as Nvidia and AMD gained approval from the Trump administration to resume selling certain AI chips to China, under a rare arrangement that requires the companies to share 15% of related revenue with the US government.

While the directive stops short of an outright ban, Beijing has placed the H20 under the same kind of partial restrictions previously imposed on Tesla vehicles, Apple iPhones, and Micron chips, citing security concerns.

Officials have floated fears that Nvidia hardware could carry location-tracking or remote shutdown features, claims the company firmly denies. At the same time, China is accelerating efforts to boost its homegrown semiconductor industry, urging firms to shift away from Western technology in favour of local suppliers, such as Huawei, even though domestic capacity still falls short of market demand.

The campaign highlights a broader geopolitical irony: US officials defended the resumption of H20 exports by arguing that the chip was already widely available in China and technologically inferior to top US models.

Trump has called it ‘obsolete,’ framing the sales as a way to keep Chinese AI systems dependent on American-made, less advanced hardware.

Behind the scenes, officials have linked the deal to a broader trade arrangement involving Chinese rare-earth minerals, though Beijing has publicly denied any such quid pro quo.

For Nvidia, the H20 remains strategically important. Although less potent than its flagship Blackwell series, the chip’s high memory bandwidth makes it well-suited for AI inference, a crucial stage in which models interpret and respond to data.

Chinese tech giants like Alibaba and Tencent have sought the H20 to offset supply shortages from Huawei, which is struggling to produce enough advanced chips to meet domestic demand.

Analysts warn that losing access to the H20 could raise the cost of running AI models in China by up to six times.

Still, Beijing’s stance appears to be a balancing act. RAND researcher Lennart Heim notes that China uses regulatory pressure to channel demand toward Huawei without cutting off access to Nvidia products, ensuring that companies can still meet their needs while domestic capabilities mature.

However, the Chinese government’s selective pressure could deepen uncertainty for US chipmakers counting on China, the world’s largest semiconductor market, to offset lost sales elsewhere.

While Washington’s new export-for-revenue-sharing model is already unprecedented, Beijing’s countermeasures show that even approved sales may face political headwinds.

For Nvidia and AMD, the challenge is no longer just securing US permission, but also convincing China to buy.

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Trump’s potential Nvidia deal with China raises national security risks

The US President Donald Trump has shattered decades of US national security precedent by striking a deal with Nvidia and AMD that allows the sale of certain banned AI chips to China, but at a certain price.

In an arrangement without modern parallels, the companies will resume exports of their H20 processors to the Chinese market in exchange for giving the US government a 15% share of related revenues.

The move reopens a channel for sensitive technology sales and introduces a transactional element into what had long been treated as a matter of uncompromising national security.

For decades, Washington’s export controls on strategic technologies were blunt instruments: if a product was deemed too sensitive, no amount of corporate lobbying or lost revenue could override the ban.

Trump’s approach breaks from that tradition, effectively monetising access to restricted technologies. He has even floated the idea of allowing a weakened version of Nvidia’s cutting-edge Blackwell chip to be sold in China, a possibility that has set off alarm bells among national security hawks.

Republican and Democratic lawmakers have condemned the decision, warning it risks transforming US security policy into a ‘pay-for-play’ system.

Representative John Moolenaar, who chairs the House Select Committee on China, argued that export controls should remain a first line of defence against adversaries, not a bargaining chip. His Democratic counterpart, Raja Krishnamoorthi, cautioned that putting a dollar value on national security sends the wrong message to both allies and rivals.

The Trump administration has defended the arrangement by downplaying the risk. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick called the H20 Nvidia’s ‘fourth-best’ chip, noting that it is already widely used in China. The administration also framed the move to keep Chinese companies tied to US technology rather than turning to rival suppliers. Yet questions loom over the legality of the revenue-sharing scheme.

Trade experts have raised the possibility that it could be interpreted as an export tax, something the US Constitution prohibits, though details of the agreement remain opaque.

Beyond legal debates, the financial implications are significant. Analysts predict the levy could cut gross margins on China-bound chips by as much as 15 percentage points, trimming overall profitability for Nvidia and AMD.

In turn, this change of course could prompt other US companies selling strategic goods to China, from aerospace to advanced materials, to wonder if they too will face similar revenue-sharing requirements.

For some, it could be a costly burden; for others, it might be the only way to retain access to China’s lucrative market.

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Trump weighs scaled-down Nvidia chip sales to China

President Donald Trump has signalled that he may permit Nvidia to sell a toned-down version of its latest Blackwell AI chip to China, which could substantially shift US tech export policy.

The idea, still under discussion with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, would involve reducing the chip’s computing power by 30% to 50%, creating what Trump described as an ‘unenhanced’ model for the Chinese market. While framed as a compromise, critics warn that even these stripped-down chips could fuel Beijing’s AI ambitions.

The announcement follows an unprecedented agreement between the Trump administration, Nvidia, and AMD, under which the US government would collect 15% of revenue from certain AI chip sales to China.

Washington insiders have expressed unease, noting that, with enough scaled-down hardware, China could still build AI supercomputers capable of competing with or surpassing American capabilities.

Saif Khan, a former White House technology adviser, cautioned that the move could accelerate China’s path toward AI dominance, undoing years of strict export controls.

Currently, Nvidia’s most advanced chip approved for sale in China is the H20, built on older Hopper architecture. The H20 was specifically designed to comply with restrictions imposed under President Biden and entered the Chinese market in 2024.

Although shipments were halted earlier this year, the Trump administration recently granted clearance for exports to resume. Trump dismissed the H20 as ‘obsolete’ and claimed China had already mastered it, suggesting the new Blackwell variant would offer a fresh revenue stream while staying within national security boundaries.

Nvidia’s flagship US Blackwell chip, unveiled in March 2024, is up to 30 times faster than its predecessor, making it a significant leap in AI performance. Details about the proposed Chinese variant remain undisclosed, but Reuters previously reported it would come at a lower cost and reduced power.

The US Commerce Department has begun issuing licenses for the H20, with officials insisting these exports do not threaten national security.

For Nvidia and AMD, the deal represents a rare case of direct government revenue-sharing tied to foreign sales, reflecting Trump’s hands-on approach to corporate negotiations. His administration has previously pressured tech executives to prioritise domestic manufacturing and has intervened in leadership appointments.

Nvidia, for its part, has stated it will follow all US export rules, while AMD confirmed receiving approval to ship some AI processors to China without directly addressing the revenue-sharing clause.

Beijing’s reaction so far has been muted. China’s foreign ministry declined to comment on the potential Blackwell deal but has repeatedly accused Washington of using technology controls to ‘maliciously contain and suppress’ Chinese industry.

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Nvidia and AMD to pay 15% share of China AI chip revenue to secure US export licences

Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices have agreed to hand 15% of their Chinese AI chip sales revenue to the US government in return for export licences.

The arrangement, covering Nvidia’s H20 accelerator and AMD’s MI308 model, is considered unusual and could prove contentious for both companies and Beijing.

The deal reflects Washington’s willingness to link trade concessions to financial payments, but analysts note there is little precedent for such a targeted export levy.

Critics warn the move could undermine the national security rationale for export controls, making it harder to convince allies to adopt similar measures. Beijing, meanwhile, has voiced security concerns over the H20 chip’s performance and alleged vulnerabilities.

Industry observers suggest the payment requirement could discourage further expansion by US chipmakers in China, the world’s largest semiconductor importer, and give local producers an advantage in building domestic capacity.

Chinese firms such as Huawei are already increasing market share amid tighter restrictions on US technology.

The potential sums involved are significant. Before restrictions were imposed, Nvidia had generated over $7 billion in H20 sales to China in a single quarter. In comparison, AMD could earn up to $5 billion annually if full access to the market resumed.

However, uncertainties over demand and regulatory conditions remain.

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