ECB warns Euro zone banks on geopolitical risks

Geopolitical tensions, including the war in Ukraine and US policy uncertainty, pose significant risks to Euro zone banks, requiring enhanced capital and risk management, says Claudia Buch.
The ECB's Claudia Buch warned that Euro zone banks must prepare for geopolitical shocks, including liquidity risks and disruptions from Russia's war in Ukraine and US policy changes.

Euro zone banks must remain resilient and prepared for geopolitical shocks, including the risk of liquidity drying up amid volatile financial markets, according to Claudia Buch, the European Central Bank’s supervisory chief.

She highlighted concerns about the potential impact of policy reversals by the US government, particularly under President Donald Trump, which have unsettled investors and created uncertainty about future growth and stability.

Buch also pointed to the ongoing financial and political pressures arising from Russia’s war in Ukraine and the sanctions that followed.

She emphasised the need for banks to maintain sufficient capital, robust governance, and effective risk management systems in the face of potential asset quality deterioration and economic disruptions caused by geopolitical conflicts or sanctions.

Additionally, Buch noted the increasing threat of cybersecurity attacks, which have become more frequent and severe. The ECB’s annual report warned that geopolitical risks could strain liquidity and funding, particularly in foreign currencies, leading to higher borrowing costs and increased use of credit lines.

Buch called for progress in creating a crisis management and deposit insurance framework to protect depositors in the event of bank failures.

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