Are digital taxes the new frontline in global trade warfare?

While President Trump’s tariffs on goods dominate headlines, a more consequential battle is brewing over digital services. US tech giants like Meta, Google, and Amazon wield unparalleled global dominance in this sector.

In just-in-time analysis, Jovan Kurbalija argues that Trump’s fixation on traditional trade levers (steel, cars) overlooks a critical vulnerability for the United States: the use of digital services taxes (DSTs) and regulatory pressure by the EU and other trading partners to counterbalance new US tariff.

The collapse of OECD-led multilateral tax negotiations in 2024 has triggered a resurgence of unilateral DSTs, from Canada’s retroactive levy to India’s expanded ‘equalization levy’ and revived EU proposals for bloc-wide digital taxes.

Kurbalija analyses how digital taxation redefines trade diplomacy, with implications ranging from recalibrated leverage (host nations exploiting US tech dependence) to governance gaps (WTO rules ill-equipped for digital disputes). It poses new challenges for digital diplomacy, AI negotiations, and internet governance.

He warns that failure to address this ‘invisible trade war’ could escalate tit-for-tat measures, jeopardizing both physical goods trade and the digital economy. The rise of data and sovereignty will be inevitable.

Ultimately, the piece underscores a paradigm shift: in the 21st-century economy, algorithms, and data flows are as strategically vital as steel beams—and more impactful for economic well-being and global prosperity.

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