China boosts US chip imports ahead of potential sanctions

As the US prepares for Donald Trump’s second term, China is significantly increasing its semiconductor imports from the US, anticipating potential sanctions. In October, China imported $1.11 billion worth of microchips, a 60% rise from the previous year, and has already imported $9.61 billion in the first ten months of 2024, marking a 42.5% year-on-year increase. This surge reflects China’s growing demand for US semiconductors, particularly CPU-based processors and chips for storage and signal amplification, which align with its AI ambitions.

Despite these imports, China faces hurdles in advancing its chip technology. US sanctions have crippled Huawei’s ability to develop competitive AI chips, with the company’s upcoming processors lagging years behind NVIDIA’s offerings. This setback is largely due to restrictions on access to advanced lithography equipment, such as ASML’s EUV tools, essential for creating cutting-edge chips.

Meanwhile, China has been ramping up its chip manufacturing efforts, investing $25 billion in equipment in the first half of 2024, surpassing spending by Korea, Taiwan, and the US. However, as one-third of global semiconductor demand, China’s position remains critical for the industry. The impact of Trump’s potential tech restrictions, whether broad or selective, will likely influence the global semiconductor market, requiring careful balancing of US production and Chinese demand.