Kazakhstan warns AI could displace up to 400,000 jobs
Officials say future job prospects will depend more on qualifications as AI reshapes productivity and job structures across the economy.
Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Labour and Social Protection has warned that widespread AI adoption could affect between 300,000 and 400,000 jobs over the next decade, highlighting concerns over structural shifts in the labour market.
First Vice-Minister Yerbol Tuyakbayev said the Workforce Development Centre is studying the potential impact of AI on the labour market. He said possible reductions could affect auxiliary and administrative roles, including accounting and some legal positions where tasks do not require direct human involvement.
At the same time, labour officials said demand remains strong for skilled technical and manual professions. The ministry pointed to current vacancies on the Enbek.kz platform and noted continued shortages in occupations requiring specialised practical expertise.
In response, the government has expanded retraining initiatives to help workers move into new roles. Tuyakbayev said around 186,000 people have already completed retraining programmes this year, including through regional initiatives and local centres such as JOLTAP in Astana.
Officials stressed that future employability and wages will depend heavily on qualification levels, as AI continues to reshape job structures and skills requirements across the economy.
Why does it matter?
Kazakhstan’s warning shows how governments are starting to treat AI as a labour-market transition issue, not only a productivity tool. The estimate points to potential pressure on routine administrative and professional roles, while also highlighting the need for retraining systems that can move workers into higher-demand technical and skilled occupations.
Would you like to learn more about AI, tech, and digital diplomacy? If so, ask our chatbot!