AI reshapes Europe’s labour market outlook

Economic forecasts indicate slower labour market growth across the EU, with businesses prioritising stability and skills adaptation rather than large-scale hiring increases.

European employers are slowing recruitment as AI adoption, weaker industrial output and cautious economic forecasts encourage stability instead of workforce expansion across key labour markets.

European labour markets are showing clear signs of cooling after a brief period of employee leverage during the pandemic.

Slower industrial growth, easing wage momentum and increased adoption of AI are encouraging firms to limit hiring instead of expanding headcounts, while workers are becoming more cautious about changing jobs.

Economic indicators suggest employment growth across the EU will slow over the coming years, with fewer vacancies and stabilising migration flows reducing labour market dynamism.

Germany, France, the UK and several central and eastern European economies are already reporting higher unemployment expectations, particularly in manufacturing sectors facing high energy costs and weaker global demand.

Despite broader caution, labour shortages persist in specific areas such as healthcare, logistics, engineering and specialised technical roles.

Southern European countries benefiting from tourism and services growth continue to generate jobs, highlighting uneven recovery patterns instead of a uniform downturn across the continent.

Concerns about automation are further shaping behaviour, as surveys indicate growing anxiety over AI reshaping roles rather than eliminating work.

Analysts expect AI to transform job structures and skill requirements, prompting workers and employers alike to prioritise adaptability instead of rapid expansion.

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