Trump’s digital dollar ban leaves China and Europe to lead CBDC race

Donald Trump’s decision to ban the development of a United States Central Bank digital currency (CBDC) has shifted global momentum in the race to establish digital currencies. While the Federal Reserve has never shown strong interest in creating a digital dollar, the move sends a powerful signal internationally, leaving Europe and China as frontrunners in shaping global standards for CBDCs. Experts believe the US ban could enhance China’s influence, enabling it to push its digital yuan in developing countries while Europe advances plans for a digital euro.

Trump’s executive order prohibits US agencies from engaging in any CBDC-related activities, citing concerns over privacy, financial stability, and national sovereignty. Critics, including former allies of the CBDC concept, have raised fears about potential government surveillance through digital currencies. Meanwhile, some argue that stablecoins—private digital tokens pegged to the dollar—could serve as a temporary substitute, though this would require significant adjustments to existing financial systems.

The geopolitical implications of the US withdrawal are already emerging. Analysts see the move as a signal of “de-dollarisation,” with countries like Brazil continuing to develop their CBDCs despite the lack of US participation. The decision also puts collaborative international projects, such as those under the Bank for International Settlements, in jeopardy as they lose American involvement. Experts warn that without US engagement, the global CBDC landscape could shift in favour of China and Europe.