ASML reassures investors as US targets China’s semiconductor sector

ASML expects no financial impact from the latest US-China chip restrictions.

ASML’s downgraded sales forecast has sent semiconductor stocks tumbling amid concerns of oversupply.

New US export rules targeting China’s semiconductor sector are not expected to affect ASML’s financial outlook. The Dutch chip equipment maker reaffirmed its guidance for 2025 group sales of €30-35 billion, with China’s share declining to 20%, down from around 50% in 2023.

The updated US restrictions, Washington’s third crackdown in as many years, limit exports to 140 Chinese companies, including key industry players. ASML acknowledged potential impacts on its deep ultraviolet lithography system exports if enforced by Dutch authorities. However, the company emphasised its long-term demand projections remain intact, driven by global needs.

The Dutch government aligned with US security concerns but stressed independent threat assessments guide its export controls. New rules also impose tighter regulations on computational lithography software, vital for chip yield and quality, a field where ASML holds a leading position.

ASML shares rose modestly in Amsterdam trading, closing 0.9% higher at €664.10. Despite geopolitical headwinds, the firm reiterated confidence in the semiconductor industry’s overall growth trajectory.