Is Europe’s Tech Sovereignty Feasible?
22 Jan 2026 12:15h - 13:00h
Is Europe’s Tech Sovereignty Feasible?
Session at a glance
Summary
This World Economic Forum panel discussion examined whether European tech sovereignty is feasible, focusing on two key aspects: tech as a driver of economic growth and Europe’s need for greater technological autonomy. The panel included European Commission Executive Vice President Henna Virkkunen, SAP CEO Christian Klein, Swedish EU Affairs Minister Jessica Rosencrantz, Capgemini CEO Aiman Ezzat, and Eleven Labs CEO Mati Staniszewski.
The panelists identified several major barriers hindering European tech innovation and scale-up. Market fragmentation emerged as a primary concern, with startups struggling to operate across European borders due to different national regulations and funding requirements tied to specific countries. Access to capital was highlighted as another critical issue, with European investors showing more risk aversion compared to their US counterparts who tolerate longer periods without profitability. The discussion revealed that while Europe produces similar numbers of startups as the US, only 8% successfully scale up compared to 60% in America.
Regulatory challenges, particularly around AI legislation, sparked debate about whether Europe’s comprehensive approach might stifle innovation compared to the US model of allowing development first and regulating afterward. However, Virkkunen defended the EU’s approach as necessary to prevent 27 different national regulations from emerging. Sweden was cited as a success story, with productivity growth matching the US due to strong investment culture and structural reforms that mobilized private capital effectively.
On technological sovereignty, panelists emphasized the need for balance between independence and openness. They argued for maintaining global partnerships while reducing critical dependencies, particularly in areas like data sovereignty and operational control. The discussion concluded that Europe possesses strong assets including talent, data, and industrial expertise, but requires better coordination, simplified regulations, and enhanced capital markets to compete globally while maintaining strategic autonomy.
Keypoints
Major Discussion Points:
– Barriers to European tech scaling and innovation: The panel identified key obstacles including market fragmentation across 27 countries, limited access to capital (especially for scaling from €100M to €1B+), regulatory complexity, and cultural risk aversion compared to the US market where growth is prioritized over immediate profitability.
– Single market completion and regulatory reform: Participants emphasized the urgent need to create a truly unified European digital market, simplify regulations, and move from directives to regulations to ensure uniform implementation. The discussion highlighted that theoretical single market access often requires 27 different compliance approaches in practice.
– AI regulation philosophy and timing: A significant debate emerged around the EU’s approach to AI regulation, with some arguing that regulating technology too early and comprehensively could stifle innovation, while others defended the need for unified European rules to prevent 27 different national approaches and ensure safety standards.
– Tech sovereignty vs. openness balance: The panel explored how Europe can reduce critical dependencies (particularly on US tech) while maintaining the benefits of international integration and trade. The discussion emphasized that sovereignty should be layered – focusing on data and operations while potentially accepting dependencies in other areas.
– Data access and utilization for competitive advantage: Participants identified Europe’s vast data resources and industrial expertise as key competitive advantages, particularly for applied AI in sectors like healthcare, manufacturing, and life sciences, but noted that complex privacy regulations often hinder effective data utilization.
Overall Purpose:
The discussion aimed to examine whether European tech sovereignty is feasible and desirable, focusing on two main aspects: using technology as a driver of economic growth and productivity, and reducing Europe’s technological dependencies for security reasons. The panel sought to identify practical solutions for strengthening Europe’s tech sector while maintaining global competitiveness.
Overall Tone:
The discussion maintained a constructive and pragmatic tone throughout, with participants balancing criticism of current European shortcomings with optimism about Europe’s potential. While acknowledging significant challenges, speakers consistently emphasized Europe’s strengths (large market, strong industrial base, talent, data resources) and avoided defeatist rhetoric. The tone was collaborative, with public and private sector representatives largely agreeing on problems and solutions, though some tension emerged around the pace and scope of AI regulation.
Speakers
Speakers from the provided list:
– Jeromin Zettelmeyer – Panel moderator/host
– Henna Virkkunen – Executive Vice President for Tech Sovereignty, Security and Democracy of the European Commission
– Christian Klein – Chief Executive Officer of SAP (largest software company in Europe, founded in early 1980s)
– Jessica Rosencrantz – Minister for European Union Affairs of Sweden
– Aiman Ezzat – Chief Executive Officer of Capgemini (French multinational information technology company)
– Mati Staniszewski – CEO of Eleven Labs (AI-based text-to-speech software company, co-founded with Piotr Dabkowski in 2022, specializes in natural-sounding speech generation)
– Audience – Various audience members asking questions during Q&A session
Additional speakers:
– Stefan Reuter – Representative from CopaData (European software unicorn)
– Isabel Hartung – Advisory Board member of ThyssenKrupp Elevator
– Unnamed audience member – Chairman of World Quant Foundry Venture
Full session report
European Tech Sovereignty: Feasibility, Challenges, and Strategic Pathways Forward
Executive Summary
This World Economic Forum panel discussion examined whether European tech sovereignty is both feasible and desirable, focusing on leveraging technology for economic growth and reducing technological dependencies for security reasons. The panel brought together European Commission Executive Vice President Henna Virkkunen, SAP CEO Christian Klein, Swedish EU Affairs Minister Jessica Rosencrantz, Capgemini CEO Aiman Ezzat, and Eleven Labs co-founder Mati Staniszewski, moderated by Jeromin Zettelmeyer.
The discussion revealed Europe’s complex position: possessing significant assets including talent, data resources, and industrial expertise, but facing structural barriers that prevent effective scaling of tech companies. According to Virkkunen, while Europe produces similar numbers of startups as the United States, only 8% successfully scale up compared to 60% in America, highlighting systemic rather than innovation challenges.
The conversation maintained a constructive tone, with participants balancing criticism of European shortcomings with optimism about potential solutions. Rather than advocating isolation, speakers consistently emphasized building on European strengths while maintaining global competitiveness through strategic autonomy rather than complete independence.
Major Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Market Fragmentation and Operational Complexity
Market fragmentation across the EU’s 27 member states emerged as perhaps the most significant barrier to tech scaling. Aiman Ezzat highlighted how this creates operational complexity, noting that while Europe theoretically offers access to 450 million consumers, companies must navigate 27 different regulatory environments. Jessica Rosencrantz quantified this challenge, stating that single market barriers correspond to 40% tariffs on goods and over 100% on services.
Christian Klein provided concrete examples of regulatory complexity, describing how data protection officers “always say no” and how German regulations create multiple layers of compliance requirements. He noted that hiring processes in Europe take months compared to weeks in the United States, affecting companies’ ability to respond quickly to market opportunities.
The fragmentation extends to funding structures, with Ezzat explaining how public funding tied to specific countries forces companies to establish operations where funding originates, preventing natural capital and talent flows across borders.
Virkkunen acknowledged these challenges while outlining solutions, including the development of a “28th regime” that would allow innovative companies to operate under unified European rules rather than navigating 27 different national systems.
Capital Market Deficiencies and Investment Culture
The discussion revealed significant deficiencies in European capital markets. Ezzat highlighted that European investors demonstrate greater risk aversion with different profitability expectations compared to US markets, which often tolerate longer periods without profitability in exchange for growth potential.
However, Virkkunen provided a striking statistic that reframes the capital challenge: according to her data, European households hold 33 trillion euros in savings accounts—more than double European GDP. This suggests Europe’s funding problem concerns mobilizing existing resources rather than capital scarcity.
Jessica Rosencrantz presented Sweden as a success story, noting that 90% of Swedish savings go beyond bank accounts into investment vehicles, attributed to structural reforms including pension system overhauls. She stated that Sweden’s productivity growth matches that of the United States, demonstrating that national-level reforms can drive significant improvements.
An audience member quantified the investment gap, noting that Europe invests only 0.2% of GDP in venture capital compared to 1% in the United States—a five-fold difference in investment intensity.
Regulatory Complexity and Innovation Speed
Klein emphasized practical frustrations created by multiple regulatory layers, which create confusion and slow business development. An audience member highlighted additional complexity, noting that machine regulation requires documentation in 27 languages, while Stanford University has identified over 200 state-level AI regulations in the US, suggesting regulatory complexity isn’t uniquely European.
Virkkunen outlined ongoing efforts to address complexity through digital simplification packages combining multiple data legislations under unified frameworks. She emphasized the Commission’s preference for regulations over directives, as regulations ensure uniform implementation while directives often lead to 27 different national interpretations.
Artificial Intelligence Regulation: Philosophy and Implementation
The Timing and Scope Debate
A significant disagreement centered on the EU’s approach to AI regulation. Ezzat argued that the EU is “regulating a bit too early, and it’s too comprehensive compared to the evolution of the technology,” emphasizing that AI is evolving and premature regulation could stifle innovation.
Ezzat articulated a fundamental principle: “If you regulate technology, you kill innovation. So you regulate the use of technology, but you have to try to avoid the regulation of technology.” This distinction between regulating technology versus its applications represents a core philosophical difference.
Virkkunen defended the EU’s approach, arguing that the AI Act uses risk-based methodology where “most of the cases on AI, it’s very low risk or no risk. So it’s mainly about the high-risk user cases and about really the safety, security, transparency of the systems.” She maintained that without unified European regulation, the EU would face 27 different national approaches, creating even greater fragmentation.
Balancing Innovation and Safety
The regulatory debate revealed tensions between innovation imperatives and safety concerns. Ezzat warned that overly comprehensive early regulation could drive innovation elsewhere, with entrepreneurs choosing to “go and do it somewhere else” rather than navigate complex requirements.
Virkkunen emphasized that unified European standards, even if comprehensive, provide greater clarity and market access than fragmented national approaches. The discussion highlighted challenges of regulating rapidly evolving technologies where full implications aren’t yet understood.
Technology Sovereignty: Strategic Autonomy Over Independence
Defining Strategic Autonomy
Virkkunen articulated sovereignty as “having choice in partnerships, not being forced into dependencies,” emphasizing strategic autonomy rather than isolation. She identified critical areas requiring indigenous capacity: artificial intelligence, semiconductors, quantum computing, and cybersecurity, but emphasized strategic rather than comprehensive pursuit.
Rosencrantz provided a nuanced perspective, arguing that “too much dependency on one country or one company always poses risks independently what country that company is coming from.” She emphasized “creating the best ones ourselves” rather than excluding foreign competitors.
Layered Sovereignty Framework
Ezzat introduced a sophisticated framework arguing that “sovereignty is not one more little thing. It’s not either we have or we don’t have.” He proposed different control levels:
– Data sovereignty: Where Europe should maintain complete control
– Operational sovereignty: Ensuring continuity under external pressure
– Technology stack: Where compromises may be acceptable
This suggests Europe can maintain strategic autonomy by controlling critical layers while accepting dependencies in less critical areas.
Staniszewski introduced “technological commitment devices”—technical solutions ensuring service continuity even under government pressure, representing a middle path between complete independence and dangerous dependency.
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Industrial Strengths and Applied AI
Klein articulated a strategic vision leveraging existing strengths rather than replicating Silicon Valley. He argued Europe should focus on applied AI rather than competing as a hyperscaler: “we have strong industries, we have a lot of data, and we need to see how can we apply AI to be the world’s leader in life science, to be the world’s leader in manufacturing.”
This recognizes Europe’s competitive advantages in sectors with strong industrial bases, extensive data, and deep expertise. Klein emphasized Europe’s vast industrial data could provide AI development advantages, particularly in healthcare, manufacturing, and life sciences, though complex privacy regulations often hinder effective utilization.
Virkkunen mentioned European AI success stories including Mistral and Black Forest Labs, demonstrating that European companies can compete in foundational AI technologies.
Sweden’s Investment Model
Rosencrantz presented Sweden’s structural reforms that created investment culture where 90% of savings go beyond bank accounts. These reforms involved comprehensive pension system changes encouraging long-term investment thinking and creating mechanisms for channeling private capital into growth companies.
She emphasized that Sweden’s approach combined national reforms with European integration rather than viewing these as competing approaches, suggesting effective European tech competitiveness requires action at both national and EU levels.
Global Success Examples
Klein shared insights from SAP’s experience as a major European software company, emphasizing the importance of risk-taking, understanding customer problems, and maintaining transformation capabilities. He noted that SAP operates extensively in the United States, including in mission-critical public sector applications, without facing sovereignty concerns from US authorities.
Staniszewski described Eleven Labs’ work with the Ukrainian government on “agentic state” initiatives, demonstrating European companies’ ability to innovate in AI applications for government services.
Policy Solutions and Reform Pathways
Regulatory Harmonization Initiatives
Virkkunen outlined concrete initiatives addressing fragmentation, including the “28th regime” allowing innovative companies to operate under unified European rules rather than navigating multiple national systems. This optional regulatory framework could provide European market access benefits while avoiding fragmented national approaches.
She described ongoing digital simplification efforts consolidating multiple data legislations under unified frameworks, representing practical steps toward reducing regulatory burden while maintaining protections.
Capital Mobilization Strategies
The panel identified mobilizing the 33 trillion euros in European savings as crucial for addressing funding challenges. Rosencrantz outlined specific policy tools proven effective in Sweden, including investment savings accounts and pension fund investments in growth companies.
Virkkunen described ongoing Capital Markets Union efforts to enable more efficient capital allocation across European borders, though Rosencrantz emphasized this requires national reforms alongside EU-level harmonization.
Multi-Level Coordination Approach
Rosencrantz emphasized that effective reform requires coordination between national and European levels: “we really need to have national reforms” alongside European harmonization efforts. This recognizes that many competitiveness barriers stem from national policies around taxation, labor markets, investment incentives, and education systems.
Areas of Consensus and Remaining Disagreements
Strong Agreement Areas
All panelists agreed that completing the European single market represents the highest priority for improving tech competitiveness. There was broad consensus on Europe’s competitive advantage lying in applied AI rather than foundational technology development, and on balanced sovereignty approaches emphasizing choice and diversification rather than isolation.
Key Tensions
The most significant disagreement concerned appropriate approaches to regulating emerging technologies, particularly AI timing and scope. While speakers agreed on risk-based approaches, they differed on implementation and timing.
Tensions also emerged around the sovereignty versus openness balance, with different emphasis between building European capabilities and maintaining access to global competition.
Strategic Implications and Future Pathways
The discussion revealed that European tech sovereignty is both feasible and necessary, requiring sophisticated approaches balancing multiple competing objectives. Rather than choosing between independence and integration, Europe must develop layered strategies maintaining strategic autonomy while preserving competitive advantages.
Success requires simultaneous action across multiple dimensions: completing market integration, mobilizing private capital, simplifying regulations, and building capabilities in critical technologies. This demands coordination between European and national levels rather than relying solely on either approach.
Most importantly, Europe’s competitive advantage lies not in replicating Silicon Valley but in developing distinctly European approaches leveraging existing industrial strengths, regulatory capabilities, and social values. The consensus among diverse stakeholders suggests strong potential for coordinated action, though success requires sustained political commitment, significant policy reforms, and cultural shifts toward greater risk-taking and innovation investment.
Session transcript
Welcome, everyone, to this panel here at the World Economic Forum on the question of whether European tech sovereignty is feasible. I have a fantastic panel with me from great public and private sector institutions. So I’m going to very briefly introduce them.
Henna Virkkunen, of course, is the Executive Vice President for Tech Sovereignty. Same name as this panel, Security and Democracy of the European Commission. Then we have Christian Klein, the Chief Executive Officer of SAP, the largest software company in Europe and one of the largest in the world, founded in the early 1980s, I believe.
We have Jessica Rosencrantz, the Minister for European Union Affairs of Sweden. We have Aiman Ezzat, the Chief Executive Officer of Capgemini, the French multinational information technology company. And finally, we have Mati Staniszewski, who is the CEO of Eleven Labs.
Now, maybe I should say one sentence about Eleven Labs. It’s marginally less well-known than the others. It’s a software company that specialises in natural-sounding speech, which he co-founded with Piotr Dabkowski in 2022.
And it’s best known for its AI-based text-to-speech generator. And so Forbes wrote about this in an article that I looked up just before coming here. Out of the gate, the new AI text-to-speech generator was leagues better than the robotic voices of Apple’s Siri and Amazon’s Alexa.
So here we go. So the way that it’s going to work is I basically want to focus on two aspects. The first one, which is the main one, is tech as a motor of economic growth, right?
So tech sovereignty in this case just means we want more European tech. Why do we want it? Because by some measures, ICT accounts for…
the full growth, productivity growth differential between Europe and the US. Now, importantly, a lot of this is about adoption of ICT, not just about creation, but there is a close link between homegrown innovation and creation and adoption. The second sense in which I would discuss the theme is how to make Europe more sovereign in tech in the sense of making it more autonomous and less dependent, particularly on the United States and potentially other foreign powers that might turn against Europe.
So this, if you like, falls a little bit under the bracket of economic security. Now, the reason why I think it’s important to elucidate both is because the relationship between the two is not entirely obvious. Of course, if we have a much stronger homegrown tech sector, we also become less dependent.
But, you know, given the sector that we have, attempts to increase economic security might actually set us back because international integration is an important force of dynamism and economic growth. So I will take about 30 minutes to discuss this topic with the panel. And then I hope we can have about 10 minutes for questions and answers, which we are going to pool, right?
So those are the ground rules. I’m going to start with the private sector because I want the public sector to respond, in a sense. So let’s go with the doyen in the group, Aiman Ezzat.
So in your view, what are the barriers holding back tech innovation, but particularly the scale-up of tech companies, of young tech companies in Europe? And relatedly, what are the sorts of actions that you would like to see from EU institutions and governments? Are they about better structural conditions?
And so, which, I said, about public money? Go ahead.
Thank you. So thank you for having me on the panel. Of course, I think we have progressed a lot in Europe first in terms of making that happen.
You know, we have seen ecosystem of startups improving quite a bit in the last few years. We have seen, you know, funding coming. There is regulation, there is advanced regulation, I come back to it.
So there is an environment and there start to be public money, but also developing as well the VC part to be able, you know, to fund this innovation. Some of the challenges is really around the fragmentation, the reality Europe when it comes from some rules and regulation is not uniform completely. You know, there are different countries with different constraints.
Usually when you see even startups, they don’t think European, they think in their country first and they start to, you know, take shape in their country before they think about going. If you are in the US, you immediately look at the US market. Why is that happening?
Because it’s complicated actually to work across borders. It’s not yet very simple, I think, in the tech world to work across borders. Another aspect is around the funding.
You know, sometimes there is funding, but the funding is linked to one country and this country wants you to set up everything and hire resources and do the growth in the country where the funding is coming from, which again is not.
So what most, I say, startup would be lacking to really be able to do that is have something which is really European, that the funding is European, they can operate the way they want, that we take the constraints they have, that the regulation is uniform.
So they really can take advantage of the fact that we have a 450 million, you know, consumer market to take advantage of. But today this is not the way they perceive it, right?
Can I maybe just follow up? So the point on fragmentation of product markets, right, where you want to sell your goods, that’s very obvious. The point on fragmentation of funding is a little less obvious because we usually think of capital as being mobile across borders, particularly private capital.
Yeah, but sometimes the funding comes, so we announce a funding program at the European level, but then the funding comes from the different countries. And then the country that’s providing the funding insists the fact that you have to set up…
If it’s public funding initially, right?
Yes. That it has to come from the country where you have, which I understand, you know, the national interest in terms of making something like that. These are elements.
I’m not saying it’s just one way. They just pile up, you know, in terms of thing. And then, of course, you know, the capital market side to be able to do IPO, to be able to do scale-ups, et cetera, is still not the same as it is in the U.S., right?
And there’s a bit of risk aversion as well, I think, compared to U.S. market. I mean, Americans love growth.
In Europe, people want to make sure that the profit is going to turn, right? In the U.S., you can grow by 25%, not making any money for 10 years. Everybody’s okay with that.
In Europe, within two years, people say, okay, no, I cannot keep investing if I can, you know. And you have all these elements. Some of them are cultural.
We’re fighting against. The last point I’d like to go a little bit, and I did have some discussion with Commissioner Verkonen around it previously, is really around regulation, right? And here, really, I’m thinking about what we’re doing around AI.
I think regulation is good, and I think we had the discussion, the fact that it’s better to have a European regulation that every country tries to do its own. So fully supportive of that. The question is the extent to which we regulate, okay?
And especially around AI, the question is that we are regulating a bit too early, and it’s too comprehensive compared to the evolution of the technology, right? It’s an evolving technology. It’s new.
And we went a little bit too far, and especially we start touching the regulation of technology. And for me, if you regulate technology, you kill innovation. So you regulate the use of technology, but you have to try to avoid the regulation of technology, okay, to make sure that you foster innovation and people don’t start to be afraid of saying, okay, if that’s the case, I’m going to go and do it somewhere else.
That’s what we want to avoid. So all full regulation. but maybe in a bit different way and maybe at a smaller scale initially.
Yeah, we’ll get back to how that could be done. So, Mati, we would like to think of you as a Polish startup or young firm, but you’re headquartered in London. The forum, by the way, lists you as Mati Staniszewski USA.
And I think most of your initial funding came from US venture capital. So, can you sort of make sense of this for us? You know, does any of this suggest a problem with Europe?
And what problem is it?
First of all, thanks for having me here and welcome, everyone. I feel that the thing what Aiman said about how we thought about starting 11LAPS, which is building globally from the start, and maybe that’s represented with all the countries that you mentioned, where when we started the company, it was very clearly, we wanted to serve it across borders.
And we as founders, it’s me and my co-founder, we are both Polish. And the inspiration couldn’t come anywhere else than from Europe. It’s a very peculiar thing.
If you watch a foreign movie in a Polish language, all the voices, whether it’s male, female, any character of the voice is narrated with one single character. So, one voice narrating the whole movie. And that’s what was the initial inspiration, where we knew that the future will look different, where you can cross borders, you can have the original emotions and intonation with that kind of European spirit across languages and make this possible.
The very first initial capital came from some partners in Europe. But then as we started scaling, the pockets were deeper in US and we needed to bring US investors on board to really help us with that second layer of building and scaling in the second stage. And I think the second piece of why we went that route and something that is now, I’m hoping, increasingly across generations we’ll see is as you scale from a million to 100 million, I think across Europe you have a great support, a lot of people that have scaled companies this way.
As you scale from 100 million to a billion or 10 billion… That pool of people that have seen that journey is a lot smaller. In the US, it’s bigger.
Of course, now we are forming DECOSYM in Sweden. I’m looking to Christian, who’s scaled an incredible company, and we hope to follow that path too. But these are ultimately the people that we hope to learn from on how to go through that second layer.
And hopefully, by creating some of the ecosystem around and sharing that knowledge, that will help other companies grow globally from the start.
I mean, I agree, Christian is fantastic, but his company was pretty scaled before he took over, actually, I think. Thanks for the reminder. Which brings me actually to Christian.
So, you know, you basically run the tech champion of Europe. And like other large tech players, I would say almost all large EU tech players, it’s a relatively old company, right? It’s almost 50 years old.
And we have tech players in Europe that are 150 years old. And so, this begs two questions. So, you are, in a sense, the only successful European tech company that’s part of this generation of founders in the 70s and 80s, together with Apple, Google, Oracle, and others.
You are the only ones that were present in that moment, that historic moment, and made it. And the other question is, you know, why hasn’t it happened since? So, how could you pull it off when no one else did?
And why has there not been a comparable entry and growth in Europe in the meantime? What would we need to change to enable a new SAP?
Let me start with the private sector, because it’s always important to look into your own house before you move to the public sector. I mean, look at SAP. When SAP was founded, there were five people who had an idea.
And they went out to a customer, had no clue about financial accounting. They just know how to code a software. but they went to the customer and wanted to understand the business problem.
And this is how they start coding our ERP, who actually is carrying the company until today. And they took an unbelievable amount of risk, and I said to Mati, I admire him for, you know, such a young person taking the risk, you know, building an own company, and we need entrepreneurs like that.
And I also agree with Aiman, you know, the risk-taking culture sometimes in other places in the world is maybe a little bit more expanded than here. And the other one is, of course, look at SAP. When I started my gig as CEO four years back, and we went into the cloud transformation, we have 110,000 people and 40,000 people are new to SAP.
Now you can criticize sometimes, you know, the consequences which comes with that, but we could not have transformed the complete business model of SAP with also now bringing new people in, with also acquiring new people.
And this is also sometimes very important now with AI. I mean, Microsoft placed a big bet on OpenAI and they took a big risk, but it was at the end very rewarding. And this is something what we as business leaders, we cannot sit here and say, oh, I have a good running business SAP, because at the end, I also know with AI, again, my business model is changing again.
So I tell my product managers, you get better hectare out of there to the customers and understand how we run the supply chains in the future with AI. How can we help them better to understand the consumer trends? Because you will not learn this inside the company.
We have to relearn how AI will change the economy. And then second part, obviously, I speak a lot to young founders in Europe. And a lot of times US investors come in and say, please move to the US.
And I think it’s not new. And that, by the way, also goes both to the private and the public sector. There is one market, you have scale.
You can hire people and they start in two weeks. When you hire a good developer in Germany, it takes you four months. that matters in a world which is moving so fast, especially in AI.
Then you have, of course, the regulation, we know that. So it’s very, very important that we are giving them the access to capital, but also giving them a market to scale. And I’m all in for Europe, but we really need to form this digital union, which is so important.
It’s money and it’s scale and it’s speed. And, I mean, there is not a lack of talent, there is not a lack of data in Europe. We have a lot of ingredients, so we should not, you know, talk ourselves into a depression or, you know, close to being suicidal.
No, we have a lot of strong assets and we know what we have to do. But I feel what is very important these days is leadership.
But maybe just to get back to the, you know, you helping me solve the SAP puzzle, so to speak, all these conditions were even worse, possibly with the exception of regulation, in the scaling phase of SAP.
So how should I think of SAP as sort of the one exception that proves the rule, in the sense that it was only one company that really made it? Or is there an SAP secret sauce that you can share with founders today of how to scale globally in spite of the imperfections of the single market?
Yeah, I would say sometimes here in Europe, I mean, here in Davos, we talk a lot about digital taxes, about regulation. Sometimes in the US, they are talking about the chances, the opportunities, and we also as well. Again, we have a lot of ingredients.
I feel we’re going to see some SAPs coming in Europe because they also understand, oh, we should not try to become the next hyperscaler, but is this really so important for us? No, we have other strengths. In Europe, we have strong industries, we have a lot of data, and we need to see how can we apply AI to be the world’s leader in life science, to be the world’s leader in manufacturing.
Because we can’t compete everywhere in Europe on energy, on labor costs, that is why it’s even more important. that we now need to play a different game. And we need to play a game where Europe has a lot of trends.
And when we as business leaders and as political leaders give these young startups the framework they need, I mean, there will be more SAPs. And the game is not played on applied AI. And this is, I guess, where Europe has still a lot of chances.
Right. We’ll come back to that point, what is actually our comparative advantage. But I want to go to Jessica first.
So Jessica, of course, is here for many reasons. But one of the reasons why you’re here is because Sweden is, in fact, the only advanced country in Europe where productivity growth, after the historic moment where we diverged from the US, the US kept growing and we went slower.
Sweden was actually the only country that just kept going with the US. It has roughly the same productivity growth since the late 2000s as the US. I shouldn’t say the only European country.
I should say the only advanced European countries. We have tons of European countries that grow faster than the US, particularly Poland, Lithuania, many others. But they are all emerging markets or were emerging markets.
So Sweden is really an outlier. And so basically my question is, how much of this do you think is due to tech-related adoption or innovation? And if so, what has Sweden gotten right to produce that environment in spite of the fact that we didn’t have a capital markets union, that we still had all these problems with scaling?
It’s sort of like an SAP-related question, right? Again, Sweden shows that all this good stuff, which I completely agree with, may not be strictly necessary if other things are there. What are these other things?
So, I mean, first of all, I think we’ve spent a lot of time during the past year to, on your point, talking quite badly about ourselves in Europe. And I think we have a lot of things going for ourselves. I mean, we’re the world’s second largest economy.
If we were to make full use of the single market, we could really take advantage of our own size. We stand for values that we know create growth and prosperity. And we’re a partner that many other countries want to trade and cooperate with.
So we have a lot of things going for us, but we also have a lot of things to do, of course. And I would say that some things that we need to do, we need to do on EU level, and some things we can do on a national level. And to your point on national issues, I mean, I can’t tell you the exact recipe, speaking about recipes or, you know, whatever.
But what I do know is that we have a strong, you know, startup scene. We have a lot of innovative companies in Sweden, which makes me very proud, of course. I would say it’s a mix of, of course, really good companies, curiosity.
But one thing really, I would say, stands out, and that is actually the capital situation. Stockholm is called the capital of capital quite recently in one of our large international newspapers. And we have a, it’s almost like a hobby for people to invest in stocks and funds.
And it’s so natural, you know, I hardly think about it as a Swede. I just know that four out of ten Swedes have an investment savings account. They invest in stocks and funds.
Ninety percent of a private person’s savings go into something other than just a bank account. So I would say that’s one secret to how you get the capital. Because there is money, there is capital, but it’s not invested.
So one would be that, how to really mobilize private capital. One thing, the investment savings accounts. And then we have the pension funds also investing really heavily in new industries and companies.
So one secret, I would say, would be the capital market. And that’s something to learn from, I think, for Europe. Because what we are stressing, and I’m stressing when I meet my colleagues, is that don’t blame everything on the EU.
I mean, EU can do some things. We’re talking a lot about now on capital markets about regulation, harmonized supervision. And, you know, the discussion tends to be, should it be in Paris or somewhere else?
But before you have regulation or harmonization of supervision, you need to actually have the capital markets. So to that point, I would say that, you know, don’t hide behind the EU. We need to do things there as well.
But we really need to have national reforms. So now when we move forward, I think we need to look at best practices. And I’m sure there are many other good examples from other countries.
But if we can do that, we also need to address what I think, you know, the main challenges for EU, and I touched upon it. It’s the single market. I mean, it’s supposed to be our unique selling point.
But when I talk to companies, it’s quite often I get the answer that… Yeah, we have the single market, you know, theoretically, but then we still need to have 27 different ways of adopting things. And I know the IMF did a survey on this, and we have the barriers on the single market correspond to tariffs on goods for around 40% and above 100 on services.
So we have a lot to do. And simplification and capital markets. If we get that right, I think we can do this.
Before we go to the European level, and hence to Henna, just on this sort of investment culture, where does this come from? Because, you know, culturally, you’re not so different than half of Germany with this Protestant tradition, in part because you colonized us for a while. And so we got it from you.
A long time ago. I can assure you, we do not have, until very recently, maybe, that sort of spirit. Was it always there, or was it something that Sweden created, in some sense, maybe through policy?
I don’t think, I mean, if you would ask, like, how is a typical Swede? I don’t think the answer you would get is that we’re very pro-risk. Exactly.
Yeah, we’re quite the opposite, you know, sometimes. Yeah, a bit mindful. But I would say, I mean, in part, we did a lot of the structural reforms that we now can benefit from.
I mean, the whole restructuring of the pension reform. We did that when we were in a severe budget crisis in the 90s. And we did a complete remake of the entire pension system.
The investment savings accounts, say they’re 15-year-old or something. I mean, we sort of built reform by reform to make this happen, I would say.
But, yeah. Got it. Okay.
Henna, so you are in the unenviable position of being here as sort of the omnipotent European policymaker. At least this is your assigned role. So, you know, I would be shocked if you disagreed with the points on the single market that have been made.
Can you maybe comment on some of the other points, including the less comfortable ones like regulation? So, what is your take? And particularly what can be done at the European level?
and then break it down for us, you know, commission versus others, you know. There’s also a nasty little thing called the council, by the way, and not to mention the parliament, which just, you know, kicked Mercosur into the high grass. So, go ahead, please.
Yeah, thank you very much. I would like to comment, of course, everything, but I try to be very brief here. So, first, I would like to say, of course, that I see that Europe is having everything what is needed to be competitive, and many of the strengths were mentioned here.
So, for example, when it comes to technologies, we have thousands of startups who are developing and training AI, for example. We have very strong science and research and also very strong industrial basis. But then we are also, we have identified these problems that, for example, our startups, they have difficulties to scale up their businesses in Europe.
So, often our startups, we have annually quite similar number of startups established in the European Union than in USA. But when we look scale ups, only 8% in Europe and 60% in USA. So, it tells clearly that our startups still, they have to move to USA to scale up their businesses.
And really the major obstacles were mentioned here. So, two fragmented markets. So, we have to really create one single market and then access to capital and, of course, overall regulatory environment.
So, we have to simplify the things. We have to make Europe faster and easier for the businesses. And often when we speak innovative companies, they have often also very innovative products and authorization processes in Europe.
They can be very lengthy if you have new kind of materials or products to enter to the markets. So, clearly we have to make Europe faster, easier, simpler for the businesses overall. So, I think it’s the most important thing to where we are focusing.
When it comes to digital roles, I’m working very much on this field. And from my perspective, it’s very important that we have in digital field only regulations. Because earlier we had often directives.
And directive means that all the member states, they are implementing in different manner. So, just yesterday, I published our new telecom regulation. and we were combining four different telecom legislations under one regulation.
So we were simplifying and harmonizing the things to make Europe faster, easier for the businesses and creating single market. Also when it comes to data, just in November we were publishing our digital simplification package. We had four different legislations on data and we were combining everything under Data Act.
Now it’s very clear when it comes to data, all the personal data under GDPR, all non-personal data under Data Act. So we have been very much now simplifying our digital rulebook and I’m continuing on that. But like it was said, it’s not only about our digital rules, we are also carrying now so-called digital fitness check and I’m very much welcoming of course your ideas that to where we should focus next.
But then like it was said, when it comes to taxation, to labor laws, it’s more challenging because it’s competence of the member states. Here we are now preparing our so-called 28 regime for innovative companies that they could operate under one legislative rules in the European Union. But like Jessica said, creating capital markets union, we are doing our best in the European Union level.
But for example, taxation is playing a very important role here, that how the member states are really encouraging citizens to invest. Because in the European Union, we have 33 trillion euros on the saving accounts. So our households, they have more than double of European GDP on saving accounts.
And we have to really create incentives for that, that they would like to invest like Swedish citizens are doing.
Maybe to get back to a point that I think you made, Eman, on AI regulation. So that certainly is something that is happening at the European level. And I think there is sort of a persuasive case to say that when you have an area that is developing very fast and you do not have a good sense either.
of where the next productivity-enhancing innovation will be, nor do you have a very good sense of the unintended consequences and risks. Maybe it’s not such a great idea to regulate ex ante before these things develop, but maybe a better approach is possibly something that arguably is akin to the American approach, which is you let them do whatever they want, but you have a very close supervision based on some very high-level principles of doing no harm.
And then you sort of catch them exposed if something goes wrong. That would require a complete change in regulatory philosophy as far as AI is concerned. Would you have sympathies for such an approach?
Because the simplification that’s happening under the Obamacare bills and in the revamping and the application of the AI doesn’t go there at all, right? It is very much within the traditional regulatory philosophy.
I understand very much, of course, this comment. But then we are again in this situation, like it was mentioned here, that it’s better to have one European legislation than 27 different. And the challenge in the European level is that if we are not coming quite early with our European rules, then our member states, they start to already establish their own rules.
And that’s why the European Union came quite early with the AI Act. But I think that it’s important also to have that kind of risk-based approach, that clearly where we see that there’s more risk, there’s more rules. But most of the cases on AI, it’s very low risk or no risk.
So it’s mainly about the high-risk user cases and about really the safety, security, transparency of the systems. So I see also that we shouldn’t regulate the technologies, but it’s more about the principles that the developers and the service providers, they have to make sure that they have the practices in place when it comes to safety and security of the systems, for example.
But with the USA, also for them… It’s not so black and white that USA is not like having any rules there. Of course, often they are coming with the court cases, so they have a different system there.
But Stanford University was quite recently also counting that now on the state level there is more than 200 different regulations on AI. Even that on the federal level, there is not that kind of…
That’s a fair point. And in some sense, that’s what EU regulations are trying to avoid, like you said. Okay, so I’m going to ask now about strategic autonomy, essentially.
And this time, I’ll start with the public sector. But to allow you to catch your breath, I’m going to initially ask Jessica. So basically, there are two motivations, I think, to think of this as a separate problem.
One is that even with perfect policies, it will just take time to grow in the EU tech sector. And in the meantime, we’re going to be highly dependent on US tech. And this dependence could be abused.
The other more fundamental thing is that even if we have a wonderful tech sector… I’m one of those old-fashioned economists that believes in trade and comparative advantage and specialization. We’re still going to have some US companies who are just the best globally at what they do.
And then there will be EU companies that are the best. And so specialization automatically brings dependence. And so how do we manage this dependence?
How do we reduce the security implications of dependence while maintaining the benefits of integration? It’s a really hard problem to solve. As a liberal Swede, do you have any ideas for how to do that?
Well, if you’re old-fashioned, then I am as well, because I also believe in trade and working together. And that’s why I almost cried the other day when the European Parliament voted against the Mercosur agreement. But we’ll see what happens.
But I agree also in this issue that we need continued openness towards other parts of the world. I mean, I would like to stress that… Too much dependency on one country or one company always poses risks Independently what country that company is coming from, you know So I think we have to have a we can’t be naive in that sense that we need to grow a more of European digital competitiveness and and Well call it sovereignty or what you want to call it, but basically I want real good European actors to be strong in this field But then I think we have to in all our dependencies Look, what is critical?
It goes from rare earths to other components in the digital area and perhaps there we need to be extra mindful In this little garden and have very high fences when it comes to that But but but my point will be when we are creating this European competitiveness and strength We still need to maintain an open manner because our focus should not be at excluding the best ones It should be about creating the best ones ourselves That may sound naive and I’m not naive because I think we need to see the dependencies as well But our focus should be there because building walls or you know Shutting actors out.
I don’t think we’ll build wealth or prosperity in Europe But I mean we’re looking into a new cloud policy in Sweden. I know you have, you know similar processes in the EU So, of course here we have to see where do we have critical dependencies that we have to to to handle but but basically I mean Our companies if they are going to be the best they need the best technology And then we can’t afford to shut the best ones out, right?
And maybe the solution is to create mutual dependency also. Ayman, what’s what’s your take on the same question of how to reconcile integration and
Just rebound on the first thing I’d like to put us back in the tech sector as Capgemini and one of the global players and we also were born in 1967 and grew up as an entrepreneur. You’re even older than SAP. And then a few others like Etc.
So I just want to say there are global players. Yes. Yes the tech sector.
I was talking about market cap. Go ahead. Listen, I think we need to find the right balance.
I’m all for sovereignty because overdependency creates an exposure and a risk. I had discussions with chief technology officers of large companies in Europe where they say, how can I ensure business continuity? The reality, we have huge amount of dependency on U.S.
technology today. It’s not just about the cloud, we talk about the cloud. We let go of all our hardware players.
I mean, I’m old enough to remember Olivetti and ICL and Buhl, they are gone. We did not invest early enough in the cloud to be able to create European cloud player. Why?
Because it requires very heavy capital investment. And there were not many companies that had basically the, able to kind of put up the money up front to be able to create the scale, you know, to become cloud players. But we have to be careful about the discourse around sovereignty.
Why? Because we have to remember that we want to have competitive companies in Europe, and you talked about it. And one of the big thing coming out of the Draghi report is that in Europe, part of the drop in productivity compared to the U.S., or at least the divergence, is due to the lack of technology adoption.
So if you put things in place between regulation and sovereignty that slow down technology adoption, we’re going to further deplete the competitiveness of European industry. So we have to go for technology adoption as fast as possible. And yes, at some time, it’s going to be at the expense of sovereignty.
And at the same time, trying to find where we can build sovereignty. And remember, sovereignty is not one more little thing. It’s not either we have or we don’t have.
It’s around data, and this is where we have to protect and we have to ensure 100% sovereignty. It’s around operations, and we can force many of these tech players to ensure that we have, you know, sovereignty around operation. On the technology stack, it’s going to be more challenging.
and here where we have to do the compromise, and then we have regulation, right? So it’s not one thing. There’s the four layers and we can control three out of the four.
On the technology side, we’re going to have to make the compromise while we’re trying at the same time to build our own stack in some places.
I’m going to come back to the question of data in a second, and I will ask you about a question. But before that, just to finish up on this issue of security. So there’s a theoretical idea which has a lot of appeal to economists to think in terms of commitment and commitment devices, which is that you might be able to strike deals with US-based tech companies that embody a technological commitment device not to shut down their services, make them unable to shut down their services, even if they come under the pressure from their government, right?
So you used to work for Palantir, I think, so lots of European security agencies rely on Palantir software. The theoretical idea is that somehow Palantir develops a technology solution which throws away the key to the existence of the service or hands the key to the customer, and it cannot be taken away by Palantir, even if Palantir comes under the pressure of the US government.
Is something like that science fiction? I mean, you guys are so creative in finding technological solutions. Is this a feasible idea?
The quick answer is yes, it’s feasible. You can delineate the platform and the infrastructure from how that platform is applied and how the data is used and transferred. From our perspective, as we think about tech sovereignty, there’s, of course, those multiple layers.
There’s the energy, there’s the compute, there’s the foundational research and models, and then there’s how do you actually apply those models in production, in the companies, in the governments. And from our perspective, as we think about the field, on the foundational research side, we should stay close. There are still multiple solutions, so collaboration and working for global solution is the best way to go.
However, Mistral is doing great on the LM side, Black Forest Labs on visual side. We are leading on the audio side. So I think still staying close and having that alternative is important.
But then where we can flourish, and that’s where I would put the attention and go further and faster ahead, is the application of using the data on top of those models and the wider citizen support that we can offer of how that is deployed.
I recently had a pleasure to… We have a pleasure of announcing our work with government of Ukraine, where we are creating the first agentic state. And we traveled there, and despite everything that’s happening, the people were clearly deeply passionate of making this possible, working across all of the ministries, and deploying effectively a solution where they have a central app that all citizens can access and whether that’s help with the benefits, help with education, help with what’s happening on the front lines.
You can access that across with their own data secured, with their own variations of the models. And that was like a phenomenal framework where they’ve been able to use the network they’ve already set up to deliver that. And as I think about other industries, another industry that I think hasn’t been mentioned is the healthcare industry, where across Europe, so many countries benefit from the National Health Service support.
Similarly, froth of data that can be used to create models for European benefit and prosperity.
You’re actually a beautiful segue to the final topic I wanted to ask about, and I wanted to ask you about a question. So data is, of course, a super important production factor in IT generally, specifically in AI. We do have these hang-ups about privacy in Europe.
How can we reconcile them? And to what extent do you see sort of feasible reform happening? I am a researcher, right?
So I am also very frustrated about access to just regular databases as a researcher. Clearly, there must be a way of doing it better without completely throwing away our preferences for privacy.
I mean, first, looking at data, but also looking at sovereignty overall, I mean, SAP wants big parts of the U.S. economy and big parts of the public sector, very mission-critical parts of the sector. And I’ve never heard a U.S.
government member saying, are you Europe or are you U.S.? No, they give us clear rules what sovereignty means, and we need to adhere to that. I think sometimes in Europe, we take the sovereignty topic very emotionally, maybe too emotionally, because again, a piece of hardware from the U.S.
will be always included in a tech stack, that’s for sure. Now, we have to sometimes also admit, is this now a mission-critical thing for the sovereignty of Europe? I can port any ERP from one infrastructure to another infrastructure in four weeks.
I cannot port a customer from an SAP supply chain software running mission-critical manufacturing in four weeks from one system to another. So what I want to say with that is, we need to spend more time on indeed having better access to data and really playing a game which the U.S. and China have not yet played.
And again, I’m coming back to the topic around applied AI. Why can we not be the best on using the infrastructure to scale what we now have in being the best in cancer research and health care? Why can we not be the best in really researching for the next best truck so that actually the European life science companies are leading worldwide when it comes to accelerating the speed of how to do research and delivering trucks which help to save lives?
And now we could continue industry by industry. And for that, data access is key. And I can tell you, and that’s why with HANA and the European Commission, but also on the national level, we are working so hard to also make sure that we have better access to data.
I can remember the early days when we wanted to use, start using… data to train our machine learning modules. I asked my data protection officer, can I use this and this, and I always get a no.
I said, what is the time when you say yes? Because I need a solution that SAP stays competitive. There are so many regulations layer over layer, and it’s not about that Europe regulates.
I’m actually all in for that Europe, we need one layer of regulation also for the data access, but we don’t need layer over layer. This could have been the German layer. That is a German layer, and so that was the German layer.
And then again, sometimes people also tell me, bring over some people from the US and ask them how they do this with using the data to train your machine learning, to train your LLM modules now going forward.
And I guess this is something what is definitely key, and these are the topics we really need to focus about because Europe has, again, a lot of strengths, and strengths, one strength is we have a lot of data and industry expertise.
And that is the next game what we have to play, and this game, we should better win because otherwise we are losing in industries, we better don’t lose because otherwise, there’s the economy in Europe where we already see some trends which are not so encouraging, that trend will continue.
And the data part is super, super key to that.
I completely agree. So you will have a chance at the very end, but I do want to bring in just a couple of questions in case there are. Gentleman over there, please rise and introduce yourself.
The lady in front, I think that’s all we can do. Or the third one, quick, yes.
Chairman, World Quant Foundry Venture. Europe currently invests about 0.2% of its GDP in venture capital. The US is around 1%.
China works very differently, but the state R&D budgets are about 2.5%, 3%. This to me is a critical difference. Do you think Europe is going to remedy this?
Okay, thank you. The lady in front here, please stand up and. Introduce yourself.
Isabel Hartung, Advisory Board of ThyssenKrupp Elevator. I’m very happy to hear a more differentiated view on sovereignty. I heard a lot of, you know, it’s like we absolutely have to go to be sovereign in whatever dimensions.
And still sovereignty, I heard, is important in some aspects for you. And I’m just wondering, because it comes often with a cost. I’m just wondering where is your top priority and maybe kind of, you know, you can just give me one or two answers where you say there we need to be sovereign because of…
Right. Got the question.
And finally, the gentleman over here, quickly. Introduce yourself, Kennedy. Hello.
My name is Stefan Reuter. I’m from CopaData. I’m representing a European software unicorn.
I hear a lot about having a single market. What I see is quite the contrary when it comes to, for example, the machine regulation, which is coming in place, which forces machine builders, which is, I would say, an industry which we can be quite proud of, forces machine builders to provide the manuals like 27 languages in the European Union.
And it complicates just business.
Okay. So what we do is, Hanna, if you could address this question and maybe the initial one on the R&D budget, whether it’s large enough. And then sovereignty, if you want to say something and if anyone wants to chip in, but it has to be very quick.
I would like to really comment to sovereignty because, like you said, it’s my title and I haven’t been able to comment. Go for it. What does it mean when we are speaking about technological sovereignty?
Europe has been always, of course, as you know, very open for global investors and our businesses, our industry, we have very long global value chains. But now we can also use that in nowadays world, we can see that these can be also, these dependencies, they can be weaponized against us. And that’s why it’s so important that we are not dependent on one country or one company when it comes to some very critical fields of our economy or society.
and that’s why we are there diversifying of things and also looking that where we have to have our own certain capacity. Especially we are now working on AI, on semiconductors, on quantum computing, also with cyber security technologies to be sure that we have also our own capacity in this sector, but in the same time we want to work with our like-minded partners.
So, technological sovereignty plus means that…
Is the U.S. a like-minded partner?
The U.S. has been, of course, historically our most important partner when it comes to security and technology. We have also other partnerships, for example, in digitalization with Japan, Korea, Canada, so on.
But in the same time when we have to have certain capacity ourselves, it’s important to have partnerships because we see that nobody can’t be competitive alone. So, technological sovereignty means that we can always choose with who and how we are operating, that we are not forced to one solution.
I’m afraid we are out of time. The two questions that did not get fully answered can get answered now privately. Thank you so much.
I think it’s been a great panel. A round of applause. Thank you.
Aiman Ezzat
Speech speed
188 words per minute
Speech length
1238 words
Speech time
393 seconds
Market fragmentation across EU countries creates operational complexity for startups
Explanation
European startups face different rules and regulations across countries, making it complicated to work across borders. Unlike the US where startups immediately think of the entire US market, European startups typically focus on their home country first before expanding.
Evidence
Startups don’t think European, they think in their country first and they start to take shape in their country before they think about going. If you are in the US, you immediately look at the US market.
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Agreed with
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Henna Virkkunen
Agreed on
Market fragmentation is a major barrier to European tech scaling
Public funding tied to specific countries forces companies to establish operations where funding originates
Explanation
When European funding programs are announced, the actual funding comes from different countries, and each country insists that companies set up operations and hire resources in that specific country. This creates constraints for startups trying to operate efficiently across Europe.
Evidence
Sometimes the funding comes, so we announce a funding program at the European level, but then the funding comes from the different countries. And then the country that’s providing the funding insists the fact that you have to set up…
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Economic | Development
European capital markets lack the risk-taking culture compared to US markets
Explanation
There is a cultural difference in risk tolerance between European and American investors. Americans are comfortable with companies growing rapidly without profits for extended periods, while Europeans expect profitability within a shorter timeframe.
Evidence
Americans love growth. In Europe, people want to make sure that the profit is going to turn. In the U.S., you can grow by 25%, not making any money for 10 years. Everybody’s okay with that. In Europe, within two years, people say, okay, no, I cannot keep investing.
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Economic
AI regulation is too comprehensive and premature for an evolving technology
Explanation
The European approach to AI regulation is too extensive and implemented too early for a technology that is still rapidly evolving. This comprehensive regulation may hinder innovation and drive companies to develop AI technologies elsewhere.
Evidence
We are regulating a bit too early, and it’s too comprehensive compared to the evolution of the technology. It’s an evolving technology. It’s new. And we went a little bit too far.
Major discussion point
Regulatory Challenges and AI Governance
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Regulating technology itself kills innovation, should focus on regulating use cases instead
Explanation
Ezzat argues that regulation should target the application and use of technology rather than the technology itself. Regulating the technology directly stifles innovation and may cause companies to relocate their development efforts.
Evidence
If you regulate technology, you kill innovation. So you regulate the use of technology, but you have to try to avoid the regulation of technology.
Major discussion point
Regulatory Challenges and AI Governance
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Sovereignty has multiple layers: data, operations, technology stack – can control three out of four
Explanation
Ezzat breaks down technological sovereignty into four distinct layers and argues that Europe can achieve control over three of them. While the technology stack may be challenging to control, Europe can maintain sovereignty over data, operations, and regulatory aspects.
Evidence
Sovereignty is not one more little thing. It’s around data, operations, technology stack, and regulation. There’s the four layers and we can control three out of the four.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure
Must balance sovereignty concerns with technology adoption to maintain competitiveness
Explanation
Europe must be careful not to let sovereignty concerns slow down technology adoption, as the Draghi report shows that lack of technology adoption contributes to Europe’s productivity gap with the US. Competitive European companies require fast technology adoption even if it sometimes compromises sovereignty.
Evidence
Part of the drop in productivity compared to the U.S. is due to the lack of technology adoption. So if you put things in place that slow down technology adoption, we’re going to further deplete the competitiveness of European industry.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Christian Klein
Speech speed
184 words per minute
Speech length
1382 words
Speech time
449 seconds
Hiring processes in Europe are too slow compared to US, taking months versus weeks
Explanation
Klein highlights a significant operational disadvantage for European tech companies in talent acquisition. The lengthy hiring processes in Europe, particularly in Germany, create competitive disadvantages in fast-moving sectors like AI where speed is crucial.
Evidence
You can hire people and they start in two weeks. When you hire a good developer in Germany, it takes you four months. That matters in a world which is moving so fast, especially in AI.
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Economic
Europe has strong industries, data, and should focus on applied AI rather than competing as hyperscaler
Explanation
Klein argues that Europe shouldn’t try to compete directly with US hyperscalers but should leverage its existing industrial strengths and data to become a world leader in applied AI across sectors like life sciences and manufacturing. This represents a strategic differentiation approach.
Evidence
We have strong industries, we have a lot of data, and we need to see how can we apply AI to be the world’s leader in life science, to be the world’s leader in manufacturing.
Major discussion point
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Topics
Economic | Infrastructure
Agreed with
– Mati Staniszewski
Agreed on
Europe should focus on applied AI and industrial strengths rather than competing as hyperscaler
SAP succeeded by taking risks, understanding customer problems, and continuous transformation
Explanation
Klein explains SAP’s success formula: five founders with an idea who went directly to customers to understand business problems, took significant risks, and continuously transformed the business model. He emphasizes the importance of risk-taking culture and customer-centric innovation.
Evidence
Five people who had an idea. They went out to a customer, had no clue about financial accounting. They just know how to code a software. But they went to the customer and wanted to understand the business problem.
Major discussion point
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Topics
Economic
Multiple regulatory layers create confusion and barriers for businesses
Explanation
Klein describes the frustration of dealing with overlapping regulations at different levels (German, European, etc.) that create uncertainty and slow down innovation. He advocates for unified European regulation rather than multiple conflicting layers.
Evidence
I asked my data protection officer, can I use this and this, and I always get a no. There are so many regulations layer over layer, and it’s not about that Europe regulates… That could have been the German layer. That is a German layer, and so that was the German layer.
Major discussion point
Regulatory Challenges and AI Governance
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Agreed with
– Aiman Ezzat
– Henna Virkkunen
Agreed on
Regulatory simplification and harmonization is essential
Better data access is crucial for European competitiveness in applied AI
Explanation
Klein emphasizes that Europe’s competitive advantage lies in its industrial data and expertise, but better data access is essential for training AI models and maintaining competitiveness. He argues this is key to winning in applied AI across industries.
Evidence
Europe has a lot of strengths, and strengths, one strength is we have a lot of data and industry expertise. And that is the next game what we have to play, and this game, we should better win.
Major discussion point
Data Access and Utilization
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure
Agreed with
– Henna Virkkunen
Agreed on
Better data access is crucial for European competitiveness
Multiple regulatory layers create barriers to using data for machine learning and AI development
Explanation
Klein describes practical challenges where multiple overlapping regulations make it difficult to use data for AI development. This regulatory complexity hinders European companies’ ability to compete in AI and machine learning applications.
Evidence
I asked my data protection officer, can I use this and this, and I always get a no. I said, what is the time when you say yes? Because I need a solution that SAP stays competitive.
Major discussion point
Data Access and Utilization
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Human rights
Europe should leverage its industrial data and expertise for competitive advantage
Explanation
Klein argues that Europe should focus on areas where it has natural advantages – industrial expertise and data – to compete globally. Rather than trying to match US capabilities in all areas, Europe should excel in applied AI for industries where it has domain knowledge.
Evidence
Why can we not be the best on using the infrastructure to scale what we now have in being the best in cancer research and health care? Why can we not be the best in really researching for the next best truck?
Major discussion point
Data Access and Utilization
Topics
Economic | Infrastructure
Mati Staniszewski
Speech speed
193 words per minute
Speech length
728 words
Speech time
226 seconds
European companies can build globally from start, as demonstrated by Eleven Labs’ cross-border approach
Explanation
Staniszewski describes how Eleven Labs was conceived as a global company from inception, with Polish founders, European inspiration, initial European funding, and later US scaling capital. This demonstrates that European companies can think globally from the start despite structural challenges.
Evidence
When we started the company, it was very clearly, we wanted to serve it across borders. The inspiration couldn’t come anywhere else than from Europe. It’s a very peculiar thing. If you watch a foreign movie in a Polish language, all the voices are narrated with one single character.
Major discussion point
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Topics
Economic
Technological commitment devices can enable service continuity even under government pressure
Explanation
Staniszewski confirms that it’s technically feasible to create technological solutions that separate platform infrastructure from data usage and transfer, allowing services to continue operating even if the provider comes under government pressure to shut down.
Evidence
The quick answer is yes, it’s feasible. You can delineate the platform and the infrastructure from how that platform is applied and how the data is used and transferred.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Infrastructure | Legal and regulatory
Healthcare and government services present opportunities for European AI applications using local data
Explanation
Staniszewski highlights sectors where Europe can excel by leveraging local data and infrastructure, particularly in healthcare with National Health Service systems and government services. He cites Ukraine’s agentic state project as an example of successful AI deployment in government services.
Evidence
We have a pleasure of announcing our work with government of Ukraine, where we are creating the first agentic state… they have a central app that all citizens can access and whether that’s help with the benefits, help with education, help with what’s happening on the front lines.
Major discussion point
Data Access and Utilization
Topics
Development | Sociocultural
Agreed with
– Christian Klein
Agreed on
Europe should focus on applied AI and industrial strengths rather than competing as hyperscaler
Jessica Rosencrantz
Speech speed
198 words per minute
Speech length
1130 words
Speech time
341 seconds
Sweden’s investment culture with 90% of savings going beyond bank accounts drives innovation
Explanation
Rosencrantz explains that Sweden has developed a strong investment culture where citizens actively invest in stocks and funds rather than keeping money in traditional savings accounts. This cultural approach to investment provides capital for innovation and startups.
Evidence
Four out of ten Swedes have an investment savings account. They invest in stocks and funds. Ninety percent of a private person’s savings go into something other than just a bank account.
Major discussion point
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Topics
Economic
Structural reforms including pension system overhaul created foundation for investment culture
Explanation
Sweden’s current investment culture didn’t develop naturally but resulted from deliberate structural reforms implemented during a budget crisis in the 1990s. The pension system reform and introduction of investment savings accounts were key policy interventions that created the investment-friendly environment.
Evidence
We did a lot of the structural reforms that we now can benefit from. The whole restructuring of the pension reform. We did that when we were in a severe budget crisis in the 90s. The investment savings accounts, say they’re 15-year-old or something.
Major discussion point
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Single market barriers correspond to 40% tariffs on goods and over 100% on services
Explanation
Rosencrantz cites IMF research showing that despite the theoretical single market, practical barriers to trade within the EU are equivalent to substantial tariffs. This fragmentation particularly affects services, which are crucial for the digital economy.
Evidence
I know the IMF did a survey on this, and we have the barriers on the single market correspond to tariffs on goods for around 40% and above 100 on services.
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Agreed with
– Aiman Ezzat
– Henna Virkkunen
Agreed on
Market fragmentation is a major barrier to European tech scaling
National reforms needed alongside EU-level harmonization for capital markets union
Explanation
Rosencrantz argues that creating effective capital markets requires action at both national and EU levels. Countries shouldn’t wait for EU-level solutions but should implement national reforms while supporting European harmonization efforts.
Evidence
Don’t blame everything on the EU. I mean, EU can do some things… But before you have regulation or harmonization of supervision, you need to actually have the capital markets.
Major discussion point
Capital Markets and Investment Solutions
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Overdependency on any single country or company poses risks regardless of origin
Explanation
Rosencrantz takes a balanced approach to sovereignty, arguing that excessive dependence on any single actor creates vulnerabilities, regardless of whether that actor is from a friendly or unfriendly country. The focus should be on diversification rather than exclusion.
Evidence
Too much dependency on one country or one company always poses risks independently what country that company is coming from.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Focus should be on creating best European actors while maintaining openness
Explanation
Rather than building walls or excluding foreign competitors, Europe should focus on developing its own world-class companies while remaining open to global competition. This approach aims to build strength through competition rather than protection.
Evidence
Our focus should not be at excluding the best ones. It should be about creating the best ones ourselves… Our companies if they are going to be the best they need the best technology. And then we can’t afford to shut the best ones out.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Don’t blame everything on EU – national reforms also needed alongside European initiatives
Explanation
Rosencrantz emphasizes that while EU-level action is important, member states shouldn’t use EU limitations as an excuse for inaction. National governments have significant power to implement reforms that support innovation and competitiveness.
Evidence
Don’t blame everything on the EU. I mean, EU can do some things. We’re talking a lot about now on capital markets about regulation, harmonized supervision… But we really need to have national reforms.
Major discussion point
Policy Solutions and Reforms
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Henna Virkkunen
Speech speed
180 words per minute
Speech length
1137 words
Speech time
377 seconds
EU has similar startup creation rates as US but only 8% scale-ups versus 60% in US
Explanation
Virkkunen presents stark statistics showing that while Europe creates startups at similar rates to the US, European startups struggle significantly more with scaling up their businesses. This scale-up gap represents a critical weakness in the European innovation ecosystem.
Evidence
We have annually quite similar number of startups established in the European Union than in USA. But when we look scale ups, only 8% in Europe and 60% in USA.
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Economic | Development
Agreed with
– Aiman Ezzat
– Jessica Rosencrantz
Agreed on
Market fragmentation is a major barrier to European tech scaling
Authorization processes for innovative products are too lengthy in Europe
Explanation
Virkkunen acknowledges that European regulatory processes create barriers for innovative companies, particularly those with novel products or materials. The lengthy authorization procedures slow down market entry and competitive positioning.
Evidence
Often when we speak innovative companies, they have often also very innovative products and authorization processes in Europe. They can be very lengthy if you have new kind of materials or products to enter to the markets.
Major discussion point
Barriers to European Tech Innovation and Scale-up
Topics
Legal and regulatory
European approach of unified regulation is better than 27 different national approaches
Explanation
Virkkunen defends the EU’s approach to AI regulation by arguing that having one European framework is preferable to allowing 27 member states to develop their own separate regulations. This prevents further fragmentation of the European market.
Evidence
It’s better to have one European legislation than 27 different. The challenge in the European level is that if we are not coming quite early with our European rules, then our member states, they start to already establish their own rules.
Major discussion point
Regulatory Challenges and AI Governance
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Agreed with
– Aiman Ezzat
– Christian Klein
Agreed on
Regulatory simplification and harmonization is essential
AI Act uses risk-based approach with most cases being low or no risk
Explanation
Virkkunen explains that the EU’s AI regulation is not as comprehensive as critics suggest, focusing primarily on high-risk use cases while allowing most AI applications to operate with minimal regulatory burden. The approach emphasizes safety and transparency principles rather than technology regulation.
Evidence
Most of the cases on AI, it’s very low risk or no risk. So it’s mainly about the high-risk user cases and about really the safety, security, transparency of the systems.
Major discussion point
Regulatory Challenges and AI Governance
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Europe has strong science, research, industrial base, and thousands of AI startups
Explanation
Virkkunen emphasizes Europe’s existing strengths as a foundation for technological competitiveness, including research capabilities, industrial expertise, and a thriving startup ecosystem. She argues Europe has the necessary ingredients for success.
Evidence
We have thousands of startups who are developing and training AI. We have very strong science and research and also very strong industrial basis.
Major discussion point
European Competitive Advantages and Success Stories
Topics
Development | Economic
Europe has 33 trillion euros in savings accounts that need mobilization for investment
Explanation
Virkkunen highlights a massive opportunity for capital mobilization, noting that European households hold more than double the EU’s GDP in savings accounts. The challenge is creating incentives to move this capital into productive investments.
Evidence
In the European Union, we have 33 trillion euros on the saving accounts. So our households, they have more than double of European GDP on saving accounts.
Major discussion point
Capital Markets and Investment Solutions
Topics
Economic
Agreed with
– Christian Klein
Agreed on
Better data access is crucial for European competitiveness
Need to create single digital market through harmonized regulations rather than directives
Explanation
Virkkunen explains the Commission’s strategy of using regulations instead of directives to create true harmonization across the EU. Regulations apply uniformly across all member states, while directives allow for different national implementations that fragment the market.
Evidence
From my perspective, it’s very important that we have in digital field only regulations. Because earlier we had often directives. And directive means that all the member states, they are implementing in different manner.
Major discussion point
Policy Solutions and Reforms
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure
28th regime proposed for innovative companies to operate under unified European rules
Explanation
Virkkunen describes a proposed policy solution that would allow innovative companies to operate under a single set of European rules rather than navigating 27 different national regulatory frameworks. This would effectively create a unified regulatory environment for qualifying companies.
Evidence
We are now preparing our so-called 28 regime for innovative companies that they could operate under one legislative rules in the European Union.
Major discussion point
Policy Solutions and Reforms
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Digital simplification package combining multiple data legislations under unified framework
Explanation
Virkkunen outlines concrete steps taken to simplify the regulatory environment, including consolidating four different data legislations under the Data Act and combining telecom regulations. This represents practical progress toward regulatory simplification.
Evidence
Just in November we were publishing our digital simplification package. We had four different legislations on data and we were combining everything under Data Act. Now it’s very clear when it comes to data, all the personal data under GDPR, all non-personal data under Data Act.
Major discussion point
Policy Solutions and Reforms
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Human rights
Agreed with
– Aiman Ezzat
– Christian Klein
Agreed on
Regulatory simplification and harmonization is essential
Technological sovereignty means having choice in partnerships, not being forced into dependencies
Explanation
Virkkunen defines technological sovereignty not as isolation but as having the freedom to choose partnerships and avoid forced dependencies. This approach maintains openness while ensuring Europe isn’t vulnerable to weaponization of dependencies.
Evidence
Technological sovereignty means that we can always choose with who and how we are operating, that we are not forced to one solution.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Europe needs own capacity in critical areas like AI, semiconductors, quantum computing, cybersecurity
Explanation
Virkkunen identifies specific technological areas where Europe must develop indigenous capabilities to avoid dangerous dependencies. This represents a strategic approach to sovereignty that focuses on truly critical technologies rather than attempting self-sufficiency across all areas.
Evidence
Especially we are now working on AI, on semiconductors, on quantum computing, also with cyber security technologies to be sure that we have also our own capacity in this sector.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Infrastructure | Cybersecurity
Disagreed with
– Jessica Rosencrantz
Disagreed on
Approach to technological sovereignty versus openness
Audience
Speech speed
149 words per minute
Speech length
237 words
Speech time
95 seconds
Venture capital investment gap: Europe at 0.2% of GDP versus US at 1%
Explanation
An audience member highlights a significant structural difference in venture capital investment levels between Europe and the US, with Europe investing far less as a percentage of GDP. This investment gap represents a critical barrier to scaling innovative companies.
Evidence
Europe currently invests about 0.2% of its GDP in venture capital. The US is around 1%. China works very differently, but the state R&D budgets are about 2.5%, 3%.
Major discussion point
Capital Markets and Investment Solutions
Topics
Economic | Development
Jeromin Zettelmeyer
Speech speed
166 words per minute
Speech length
2365 words
Speech time
854 seconds
ICT accounts for the full productivity growth differential between Europe and the US
Explanation
Zettelmeyer argues that by some measures, information and communication technology is responsible for the entire gap in productivity growth between Europe and the United States. He emphasizes that this includes both the creation and adoption of ICT, with a close link between homegrown innovation and technology adoption.
Evidence
By some measures, ICT accounts for… the full growth, productivity growth differential between Europe and the US. Now, importantly, a lot of this is about adoption of ICT, not just about creation, but there is a close link between homegrown innovation and creation and adoption.
Major discussion point
Tech as Motor of Economic Growth
Topics
Economic | Infrastructure
Attempts to increase economic security might set back European tech growth due to importance of international integration
Explanation
Zettelmeyer presents a potential tension between achieving tech sovereignty for security reasons and maintaining economic dynamism. He argues that while having a stronger homegrown tech sector reduces dependence, efforts to increase economic security could actually harm growth because international integration drives innovation and economic progress.
Evidence
Given the sector that we have, attempts to increase economic security might actually set us back because international integration is an important force of dynamism and economic growth.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Theoretical commitment devices could prevent tech companies from shutting down services even under government pressure
Explanation
Zettelmeyer proposes a theoretical solution where US-based tech companies could develop technological commitment mechanisms that would make them unable to shut down services to European customers, even if pressured by their own government. This would involve throwing away the key to service control or handing it to customers.
Evidence
The theoretical idea is that somehow Palantir develops a technology solution which throws away the key to the existence of the service or hands the key to the customer, and it cannot be taken away by Palantir, even if Palantir comes under the pressure of the US government.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Infrastructure | Legal and regulatory
Specialization and trade create automatic dependence even with strong domestic tech sectors
Explanation
Zettelmeyer argues from an economic perspective that even if Europe develops a wonderful tech sector, international specialization based on comparative advantage will still result in dependencies. Some US companies will remain the global best in certain areas while EU companies excel in others, making complete independence impossible and potentially undesirable.
Evidence
Even if we have a wonderful tech sector… I’m one of those old-fashioned economists that believes in trade and comparative advantage and specialization. We’re still going to have some US companies who are just the best globally at what they do. And then there will be EU companies that are the best.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Challenge is managing dependence while maintaining benefits of integration
Explanation
Zettelmeyer frames the core policy challenge as finding ways to reduce the security implications of technological dependence while preserving the economic benefits that come from international integration and specialization. He describes this as a really hard problem to solve that requires balancing competing objectives.
Evidence
How do we manage this dependence? How do we reduce the security implications of dependence while maintaining the benefits of integration? It’s a really hard problem to solve.
Major discussion point
Technology Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Agreements
Agreement points
Market fragmentation is a major barrier to European tech scaling
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
Market fragmentation across EU countries creates operational complexity for startups
Single market barriers correspond to 40% tariffs on goods and over 100% on services
EU has similar startup creation rates as US but only 8% scale-ups versus 60% in US
Summary
All speakers agree that the fragmented European market creates significant operational challenges for startups trying to scale, with different rules across countries preventing companies from taking advantage of the 450 million consumer market
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Regulatory simplification and harmonization is essential
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Christian Klein
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
European approach of unified regulation is better than 27 different national approaches
Multiple regulatory layers create confusion and barriers for businesses
Digital simplification package combining multiple data legislations under unified framework
Summary
There is strong consensus that Europe needs unified regulations rather than fragmented national approaches, with concrete steps being taken to consolidate and simplify regulatory frameworks
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Better data access is crucial for European competitiveness
Speakers
– Christian Klein
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
Better data access is crucial for European competitiveness in applied AI
Europe has 33 trillion euros in savings accounts that need mobilization for investment
Summary
Both speakers emphasize that Europe has significant data assets but needs better mechanisms to access and utilize this data for AI development and innovation
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure
Europe should focus on applied AI and industrial strengths rather than competing as hyperscaler
Speakers
– Christian Klein
– Mati Staniszewski
Arguments
Europe has strong industries, data, and should focus on applied AI rather than competing as hyperscaler
Healthcare and government services present opportunities for European AI applications using local data
Summary
Both speakers agree that Europe’s competitive advantage lies in applying AI to sectors where it has existing strengths and data, rather than trying to compete directly with US hyperscalers
Topics
Economic | Infrastructure
Similar viewpoints
Both advocate for a balanced approach to sovereignty that builds European capabilities while maintaining openness to global competition and avoiding protectionism that could harm competitiveness
Speakers
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Aiman Ezzat
Arguments
Focus should be on creating best European actors while maintaining openness
Must balance sovereignty concerns with technology adoption to maintain competitiveness
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Both identify cultural and structural differences that put European companies at a disadvantage compared to US counterparts, particularly in speed of operations and risk tolerance
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Christian Klein
Arguments
European capital markets lack the risk-taking culture compared to US markets
Hiring processes in Europe are too slow compared to US, taking months versus weeks
Topics
Economic
Both emphasize that creating effective European integration requires action at both EU and national levels, with harmonized approaches rather than fragmented national implementations
Speakers
– Henna Virkkunen
– Jessica Rosencrantz
Arguments
Need to create single digital market through harmonized regulations rather than directives
National reforms needed alongside EU-level harmonization for capital markets union
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Unexpected consensus
AI regulation approach and timing
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
AI regulation is too comprehensive and premature for an evolving technology
AI Act uses risk-based approach with most cases being low or no risk
Explanation
Despite Ezzat’s criticism of EU AI regulation being too early and comprehensive, Virkkunen’s defense reveals they actually agree on the principle of risk-based regulation focusing mainly on high-risk cases, suggesting the disagreement may be more about implementation details than fundamental approach
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Technology sovereignty as choice rather than isolation
Speakers
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Henna Virkkunen
– Aiman Ezzat
Arguments
Overdependency on any single country or company poses risks regardless of origin
Technological sovereignty means having choice in partnerships, not being forced into dependencies
Sovereignty has multiple layers: data, operations, technology stack – can control three out of four
Explanation
All speakers converge on a nuanced view of sovereignty that emphasizes choice and diversification rather than isolation, which is unexpected given the often polarized nature of sovereignty debates
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Overall assessment
Summary
The panel shows remarkable consensus on key structural challenges facing European tech innovation, including market fragmentation, regulatory complexity, and the need for better capital mobilization. There is also broad agreement on solutions involving harmonization, simplification, and leveraging Europe’s existing industrial strengths.
Consensus level
High level of consensus with constructive disagreements mainly on implementation details rather than fundamental principles. This suggests strong potential for coordinated policy action, as both public and private sector representatives align on core challenges and directional solutions. The agreement spans across traditional divides between regulation advocates and business interests, indicating mature understanding of the trade-offs involved.
Differences
Different viewpoints
Timing and comprehensiveness of AI regulation
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
We are regulating a bit too early, and it’s too comprehensive compared to the evolution of the technology. It’s an evolving technology. It’s new. And we went a little bit too far.
Most of the cases on AI, it’s very low risk or no risk. So it’s mainly about the high-risk user cases and about really the safety, security, transparency of the systems.
Summary
Ezzat argues that EU AI regulation is premature and too comprehensive for an evolving technology, while Virkkunen defends the approach as risk-based and focused mainly on high-risk cases with most AI applications having minimal regulatory burden.
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Approach to technological sovereignty versus openness
Speakers
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
Our focus should not be at excluding the best ones. It should be about creating the best ones ourselves… Our companies if they are going to be the best they need the best technology. And then we can’t afford to shut the best ones out.
Europe needs own capacity in critical areas like AI, semiconductors, quantum computing, cybersecurity
Summary
Rosencrantz emphasizes maintaining openness and not excluding foreign competitors while building European strength, whereas Virkkunen focuses more on developing indigenous capabilities in critical technological areas.
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Regulatory philosophy – technology versus use case regulation
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
If you regulate technology, you kill innovation. So you regulate the use of technology, but you have to try to avoid the regulation of technology.
We shouldn’t regulate the technologies, but it’s more about the principles that the developers and the service providers, they have to make sure that they have the practices in place when it comes to safety and security of the systems
Summary
While both agree on not regulating technology directly, Ezzat is more critical of current EU approach, arguing it goes too far in regulating technology itself, while Virkkunen maintains the current approach focuses on principles and practices rather than technology regulation.
Topics
Legal and regulatory
Unexpected differences
Level of concern about US technological dependence
Speakers
– Christian Klein
– Jessica Rosencrantz
Arguments
SAP wants big parts of the U.S. economy and big parts of the public sector, very mission-critical parts of the sector. And I’ve never heard a U.S. government member saying, are you Europe or are you U.S.?
Too much dependency on one country or one company always poses risks independently what country that company is coming from
Explanation
Klein appears less concerned about US dependence, citing SAP’s successful operations in the US without sovereignty issues, while Rosencrantz takes a more cautious stance about dependencies regardless of country origin. This is unexpected given that both represent countries with strong US ties.
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Role of national versus EU-level action
Speakers
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Henna Virkkunen
Arguments
Don’t blame everything on the EU. I mean, EU can do some things… But we really need to have national reforms.
European approach of unified regulation is better than 27 different national approaches
Explanation
Despite both being pro-EU integration, Rosencrantz emphasizes the importance of national action and warns against over-relying on EU solutions, while Virkkunen focuses more on the benefits of unified European approaches. This represents an unexpected difference in federalism perspectives.
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Overall assessment
Summary
The main areas of disagreement center around regulatory approach (particularly AI regulation timing and scope), the balance between technological sovereignty and openness, and the appropriate level of EU versus national action. While speakers generally agree on problems like market fragmentation and the need for better capital markets, they differ significantly on solutions and implementation approaches.
Disagreement level
Moderate disagreement with significant implications. The disagreements are not fundamental conflicts but represent different strategic approaches to achieving European tech competitiveness. The regulatory philosophy differences could impact innovation policy, while sovereignty versus openness debates affect trade and security policies. These disagreements reflect broader tensions in European policymaking between integration and subsidiarity, regulation and innovation, and security and competitiveness.
Partial agreements
Partial agreements
Similar viewpoints
Both advocate for a balanced approach to sovereignty that builds European capabilities while maintaining openness to global competition and avoiding protectionism that could harm competitiveness
Speakers
– Jessica Rosencrantz
– Aiman Ezzat
Arguments
Focus should be on creating best European actors while maintaining openness
Must balance sovereignty concerns with technology adoption to maintain competitiveness
Topics
Economic | Legal and regulatory
Both identify cultural and structural differences that put European companies at a disadvantage compared to US counterparts, particularly in speed of operations and risk tolerance
Speakers
– Aiman Ezzat
– Christian Klein
Arguments
European capital markets lack the risk-taking culture compared to US markets
Hiring processes in Europe are too slow compared to US, taking months versus weeks
Topics
Economic
Both emphasize that creating effective European integration requires action at both EU and national levels, with harmonized approaches rather than fragmented national implementations
Speakers
– Henna Virkkunen
– Jessica Rosencrantz
Arguments
Need to create single digital market through harmonized regulations rather than directives
National reforms needed alongside EU-level harmonization for capital markets union
Topics
Legal and regulatory | Economic
Takeaways
Key takeaways
Europe has the fundamental ingredients for tech success (talent, data, strong industries, research base) but faces structural barriers to scaling companies beyond the startup phase
Market fragmentation across EU countries creates significant operational complexity, with single market barriers equivalent to 40% tariffs on goods and over 100% on services
European capital markets lack risk-taking culture compared to US, despite having 33 trillion euros in savings accounts that could be mobilized for investment
Technology sovereignty should be strategic and layered – focusing on critical areas like data, operations, and key technologies while maintaining openness for competition and innovation
Applied AI represents Europe’s best competitive opportunity, leveraging existing industrial strengths and data rather than competing as hyperscalers
Regulatory approach should focus on regulating use cases rather than technology itself to avoid stifling innovation, while maintaining unified European standards over fragmented national approaches
Sweden’s success demonstrates that national-level reforms (investment culture, pension system restructuring) can drive productivity growth even within current EU constraints
Resolutions and action items
European Commission to continue digital simplification through unified regulations rather than directives
Implementation of proposed ’28th regime’ allowing innovative companies to operate under single European ruleset
Continued work on Capital Markets Union with focus on mobilizing private savings for investment
Digital fitness check to identify areas for further regulatory simplification
Development of better data access frameworks for AI and machine learning applications
Unresolved issues
How to reconcile EU’s precautionary regulatory approach with need for faster innovation cycles in AI
Specific mechanisms for mobilizing the 33 trillion euros in European savings accounts beyond general policy directions
Concrete solutions for hiring speed disparities (4 months in Germany vs 2 weeks in US)
Detailed framework for determining which technologies require sovereignty versus which can remain dependent on foreign providers
How to address the fundamental venture capital investment gap (0.2% of GDP in Europe vs 1% in US)
Practical implementation of technological commitment devices for strategic autonomy
Resolution of tension between national interests in public funding and European-wide scaling needs
Suggested compromises
Layered approach to sovereignty – maintain control over data and operations while accepting some dependency on foreign technology stacks
Risk-based AI regulation focusing on high-risk use cases while allowing low-risk applications to develop freely
Balanced approach between technology adoption speed and sovereignty concerns to maintain European industrial competitiveness
Combination of EU-level harmonization with national-level reforms rather than relying solely on European solutions
Maintaining openness to global partnerships while building European capacity in critical technology areas
Focus on applied AI and industrial applications rather than competing across all technology domains
Thought provoking comments
If you regulate technology, you kill innovation. So you regulate the use of technology, but you have to try to avoid the regulation of technology, okay, to make sure that you foster innovation and people don’t start to be afraid of saying, okay, if that’s the case, I’m going to go and do it somewhere else.
Speaker
Aiman Ezzat
Reason
This comment introduces a crucial distinction between regulating technology itself versus regulating its use/application. It challenges the EU’s approach to AI regulation by suggesting they may be going too far in regulating the underlying technology rather than focusing on how it’s used. This reframes the entire regulatory debate from a binary ‘regulate vs don’t regulate’ to a more nuanced approach.
Impact
This comment directly challenged the EU’s regulatory approach and prompted a defensive response from Henna Virkkunen, who had to justify the AI Act. It shifted the discussion from general barriers to innovation to a specific critique of EU regulatory philosophy, forcing the conversation to grapple with the tension between innovation and regulation.
Sometimes in the US, they are talking about the chances, the opportunities, and we also as well… we should not try to become the next hyperscaler, but is this really so important for us? No, we have other strengths. In Europe, we have strong industries, we have a lot of data, and we need to see how can we apply AI to be the world’s leader in life science, to be the world’s leader in manufacturing.
Speaker
Christian Klein
Reason
This comment fundamentally reframes the entire discussion by suggesting Europe shouldn’t try to compete directly with US tech giants but should focus on applied AI in areas where Europe has comparative advantages. It challenges the assumption that Europe needs to replicate Silicon Valley’s model and instead proposes leveraging existing European industrial strengths.
Impact
This shifted the conversation from lamenting Europe’s failures to identifying a different path forward. It influenced subsequent speakers to think about sector-specific applications and European strengths rather than just copying the US model. The comment introduced the concept of ‘applied AI’ as Europe’s potential competitive advantage.
In the European Union, we have 33 trillion euros on the saving accounts. So our households, they have more than double of European GDP on saving accounts. And we have to really create incentives for that, that they would like to invest like Swedish citizens are doing.
Speaker
Henna Virkkunen
Reason
This statistic is striking because it reveals that Europe’s capital problem isn’t about lack of money but about mobilizing existing capital. It reframes the funding challenge from ‘we need more money’ to ‘we need to unlock the money we already have,’ which suggests very different policy solutions.
Impact
This comment validated Jessica Rosencrantz’s earlier points about Sweden’s investment culture and shifted the discussion toward understanding how to mobilize private capital rather than just increasing public funding. It provided concrete evidence that the capital exists but isn’t being deployed effectively.
Too much dependency on one country or one company always poses risks independently what country that company is coming from… our focus should not be at excluding the best ones. It should be about creating the best ones ourselves.
Speaker
Jessica Rosencrantz
Reason
This comment provides a nuanced approach to the sovereignty debate by distinguishing between reducing dangerous dependencies and maintaining openness to global competition. It challenges both isolationist tendencies and naive openness by proposing a middle path focused on building European strength rather than excluding others.
Impact
This comment helped moderate the sovereignty discussion, preventing it from becoming too protectionist. It influenced the subsequent conversation to focus on ‘technological sovereignty plus’ (as Henna later termed it) – maintaining partnerships while building European capabilities. It shifted the framing from defensive to proactive.
Sovereignty is not one more little thing. It’s not either we have or we don’t have. It’s around data, and this is where we have to protect and we have to ensure 100% sovereignty. It’s around operations… On the technology stack, it’s going to be more challenging, and here where we have to do the compromise.
Speaker
Aiman Ezzat
Reason
This comment breaks down sovereignty into distinct layers (data, operations, technology stack), providing a framework for thinking about where Europe needs complete control versus where it can accept dependencies. This nuanced approach moves beyond binary thinking about sovereignty to a more strategic, layered approach.
Impact
This comment provided a practical framework that other panelists could build upon. It helped structure the sovereignty discussion around specific, actionable areas rather than abstract concepts, and influenced the moderator’s follow-up questions about technological commitment devices and data governance.
Overall assessment
These key comments fundamentally reshaped the discussion from a defensive conversation about Europe’s tech weaknesses into a more strategic dialogue about Europe’s unique path forward. The comments introduced crucial distinctions (regulating use vs. technology, applied AI vs. foundational tech, building strength vs. excluding others) that moved the conversation beyond simple comparisons with the US model. They also provided concrete frameworks for thinking about complex issues like sovereignty and capital mobilization. Most importantly, these insights shifted the tone from pessimistic to pragmatic, focusing on leveraging Europe’s existing strengths rather than lamenting its shortcomings. The discussion evolved from identifying problems to articulating a differentiated European approach to tech competitiveness.
Follow-up questions
How can Europe better mobilize the 33 trillion euros in household savings accounts for investment in tech companies and startups?
Speaker
Henna Virkkunen
Explanation
This represents a massive untapped source of capital that could address Europe’s funding gap compared to the US, but requires policy solutions to incentivize investment over savings
What are the best practices from different European countries that could be replicated to improve tech innovation ecosystems?
Speaker
Jessica Rosencrantz
Explanation
Understanding successful national approaches like Sweden’s investment culture could provide actionable insights for other EU member states
How can Europe create uniform authorization processes for innovative products across all member states?
Speaker
Henna Virkkunen
Explanation
Lengthy and fragmented authorization processes are identified as major barriers to scaling innovative companies in Europe
What specific areas should be prioritized in the digital fitness check to simplify regulations?
Speaker
Henna Virkkunen
Explanation
The Commission is conducting a comprehensive review of digital regulations and explicitly welcomes input on where to focus next
How can the proposed ’28th regime’ for innovative companies be designed and implemented effectively?
Speaker
Henna Virkkunen
Explanation
This new regulatory framework could allow companies to operate under unified rules across the EU, but details on implementation are needed
What technological solutions can create commitment devices to prevent service shutdowns even under government pressure?
Speaker
Jeromin Zettelmeyer
Explanation
This addresses the critical issue of technological sovereignty and reducing dependency risks while maintaining integration benefits
How can Europe improve data access for research and AI development while maintaining privacy protections?
Speaker
Christian Klein and Jeromin Zettelmeyer
Explanation
Balancing data privacy with the need for data access is crucial for AI development and maintaining European competitiveness
What are the specific layers of technological sovereignty (data, operations, technology stack) and how should Europe prioritize control over each?
Speaker
Aiman Ezzat
Explanation
Understanding the different dimensions of sovereignty can help develop more nuanced and effective policies rather than blanket approaches
How can Europe increase its venture capital investment from 0.2% to closer to the US level of 1% of GDP?
Speaker
Audience member (World Quant Foundry Venture)
Explanation
This significant funding gap is identified as a critical barrier to European tech competitiveness and requires policy solutions
What are the top 1-2 priority areas where Europe absolutely needs technological sovereignty despite the costs?
Speaker
Audience member (Isabel Hartung)
Explanation
Given that sovereignty comes with costs, identifying the most critical areas for strategic focus is essential for resource allocation
Disclaimer: This is not an official session record. DiploAI generates these resources from audiovisual recordings, and they are presented as-is, including potential errors. Due to logistical challenges, such as discrepancies in audio/video or transcripts, names may be misspelled. We strive for accuracy to the best of our ability.
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