Open Forum: Beyond Earth – The Next Space Race

22 Jan 2026 08:30h - 09:45h

Open Forum: Beyond Earth – The Next Space Race

Session at a glance

Summary

This discussion, moderated by Lara Abrash from Deloitte, focused on “Beyond Earth: The Next Space Race” and featured a panel of space industry experts including astronaut Samantha Cristoforetti, CEO Dylan Taylor of Voyager Technologies, John Gedmark of Astronis, Hélène Huby of The Exploration Company, and Renato Krpoun from the Swiss Space Office. The panelists explored how the current space race differs fundamentally from the previous government-driven competition between nations, emphasizing that today’s space industry is characterized by commercial partnerships and private investment rather than purely political motivations.


The discussion highlighted the dramatic reduction in launch costs, particularly through SpaceX’s reusable rocket technology, which has made space more accessible to commercial enterprises. Dylan Taylor described space as an “8th continent” and a general-purpose technology, noting that data collection and processing represent major commercial opportunities, while also discussing the revolutionary potential of microgravity research for biopharma applications, including the possibility of printing human organs in space. The panelists addressed Europe’s efforts to catch up in the commercial space sector, with Hélène Huby emphasizing the need for greater ambition, speed, and cost-effectiveness in European space ventures.


Samantha Cristoforetti shared her experiences as an astronaut, describing how the space industry has rapidly evolved between her two missions to the International Space Station, with increased commercial activity and payload capacity constraints. The conversation also touched on the importance of public-private partnerships, with agencies like ESA acting as anchor clients to leverage private investment. The panel concluded by discussing the future role of artificial intelligence and robotics in space exploration, while emphasizing that human presence and perspective remain uniquely valuable for inspiring and connecting with people on Earth.


Keypoints

Major Discussion Points:

The Evolution from Government-Led to Commercial Space Race: The panel discussed how space exploration has fundamentally shifted from government/country-driven missions (planting flags) to commercial opportunities where private companies are driving innovation and investment, with dual-use capabilities serving both government and commercial customers.


Technological Breakthroughs Enabling Space Commercialization: Key enablers include dramatically reduced launch costs (from $25,000 to $2,500 per kilogram, potentially down to $250 with Starship), reusable rockets, and increased launch frequency (every 48 hours globally), making space accessible for diverse industries beyond traditional aerospace.


Data Processing and Connectivity as Primary Commercial Drivers: The discussion emphasized space-based data collection, processing, and global internet connectivity as major business opportunities, with the goal of serving 4 billion people who still lack reliable broadband access and enabling real-time AI/machine learning in space.


Microgravity Research and Biopharmaceutical Applications: Significant focus on space as a unique laboratory environment for growing perfect crystals, protein folding, drug development, and potentially printing human organs using stem cells – representing a major frontier for improving life on Earth.


Public-Private Partnerships and Regional Competition: Extensive discussion of how Europe is adapting to compete with US and Chinese space capabilities through new funding models, with agencies acting as anchor clients rather than asset owners, while maintaining collaborative international relationships.


Overall Purpose:

The discussion aimed to explore the transformation of space exploration from a government-dominated field to a thriving commercial ecosystem, examining opportunities, challenges, and the collaborative frameworks needed to advance space technology for the benefit of humanity on Earth.


Overall Tone:

The tone was consistently optimistic and collaborative throughout, with panelists sharing complementary perspectives despite some acknowledged disagreements about definitions and approaches. The conversation maintained an inspirational quality, emphasizing space as a tool for solving Earth’s problems and fostering international cooperation, while remaining grounded in practical business and technical realities. Personal anecdotes, particularly from the astronaut, added warmth and accessibility to complex technical discussions.


Speakers

Speakers from the provided list:


Lara Abrash – Chair of Deloitte in the U.S., Panel Moderator


John Gedmark – Co-founder and CEO of Astronis (builds small, powerful satellites for high orbit/geostationary orbit)


Dylan Taylor – Chairman and CEO of Voyager Technologies (aerospace, national security, and space company), Founder of Space for Humanity nonprofit, Space traveler (suborbital flight 2021)


Samantha Cristoforetti – Astronaut with the European Space Agency, originally from Italy, lives in Germany, spent two six-month periods on the International Space Station (last mission in 2022), works on spacecraft development including LEO cargo return service


Renato Krpoun – Head of Swiss Space Office (part of Swiss State Secretariat for Education, Research and Innovation), Currently chairs the Council of the European Space Agency at delegate level, responsible for space policy and space law in Switzerland


Hélène Huby – Founder and CEO of The Exploration Company (space transportation company), Founder of Kermade Project foundation, works on space capsules for cargo and eventual human transport


Audience – Various audience members asking questions


UNKNOWN – Unidentified speaker (appears to be a brief interjection)


Additional speakers:


Sylvia Kohlmann – Audience member from Rostock, Germany, formerly worked for GNSS Galileo, German Aerospace Center, and Airbus


Dragana Popovic-Renela – Audience member from CENIS in Switzerland, supplies precision magnetometers to space industry


Jennifer Rogers – Audience member from Ireland, works between arts and business communications


Saudi Arabia representative – Audience member from Saudi Arabia working in AI investment and advisory


Full session report

Beyond Earth: The Next Space Race – Comprehensive Discussion Summary

Introduction and Context

This panel discussion, moderated by Lara Abrash, Chair of Deloitte in the U.S., brought together leading voices in the space industry to examine “Beyond Earth: The Next Space Race.” The conversation featured a distinguished panel including Samantha Cristoforetti, astronaut with the European Space Agency; Dylan Taylor, Chairman and CEO of Voyager Technologies; John Gedmark, Co-founder and CEO of Astronis; Hélène Huby, Founder and CEO of The Exploration Company; and Renato Krpoun, Head of the Swiss Space Office and current chair of the European Space Agency Council at delegate level.


The moderator opened with a disclaimer that the content should be considered “a work of fiction,” a statement repeated throughout the discussion, though the conversation proceeded as a substantive examination of contemporary space industry developments.


The Evolution of the Space Race: Competing Visions

Fundamental Disagreement on Current Dynamics

The panellists revealed significant disagreement about how to characterise the current space race. John Gedmark offered a starkly different perspective from his fellow panellists, emphasising geopolitical competition: “The West absolutely is in a race with China to get back to the moon right now. China’s been very consistent in their objectives… The West, for all the great things that we have, and I think the US and Europe are partners in this, we have been less consistent.”


This view contrasted sharply with Dylan Taylor’s commercial-focused framing. Taylor conceptualised space fundamentally differently: “The way I like to think about space is really not as an industry, but really as an 8th continent. Think of it as a domain.” This perspective emphasised commercial development over geopolitical competition.


Hélène Huby focused on sustainable development, arguing that “the new space race is about sustainable presence rather than just discovery, with a mix of private and public financing making space a commercializable business.” Meanwhile, Renato Krpoun distinguished current developments from historical precedent: “the previous space race was about ideological systems competition, while the current one focuses on establishing long-term presence in space destinations.”


Samantha Cristoforetti attempted to bridge these perspectives, acknowledging both commercial opportunities in low-Earth orbit and continued geopolitical competition for lunar exploration.


Technological Breakthroughs and Market Transformation

Launch Cost Revolution

The most significant technological breakthrough enabling commercial space development has been the dramatic reduction in launch costs. Dylan Taylor quantified this transformation: costs have dropped “from $25,000 to $2,500 per kilogram, potentially down to $250 with Starship.” This hundred-fold reduction has fundamentally altered space economics.


The increased launch frequency—now occurring every 48 hours globally—has democratised space access. Lara Abrash provided a compelling example: “Deloitte launched its own satellite to test cyber security capabilities in space,” demonstrating how non-aerospace companies now engage directly with space technology.


Commercial Applications and Revolutionary Potential

Dylan Taylor outlined the most exciting commercial opportunity in space-based manufacturing: “Microgravity enables unique manufacturing capabilities including perfect crystal growth, protein folding, and potentially organ printing using patient stem cells.” He explained that in microgravity, “you can grow perfect crystals, you can do protein folding in ways that you can’t do on Earth,” potentially revolutionising pharmaceutical development.


The primary commercial driver remains data collection and processing. Taylor explained that “data processing and satellite constellations are driving massive capital flows, with the goal of doing compute in space rather than transmitting raw data to Earth.”


John Gedmark highlighted connectivity challenges, noting that “satellite connectivity still needs to serve 4 billion people without reliable broadband access, requiring massive scaling across multiple platforms.”


European Space Industry: Structural Challenges and Responses

Competitive Disadvantages

The European panellists identified significant structural challenges. Hélène Huby articulated the core issue: “Europe needs more ambition to serve global markets, public institutions acting as anchor clients, and faster development with acceptable risk tolerance.” She emphasised that “a European company shall not only aim at serving the European market, because European market is much smaller than American market.”


Despite these challenges, Huby noted European achievements, stating that The Exploration Company has raised “the biggest seed, biggest series A, biggest series B” funding rounds in Europe for space companies.


Renato Krpoun acknowledged institutional constraints: “European Space Agency is transitioning from designing systems to buying services, but faces challenges with the geo-return principle across 23 member states.” He also mentioned that Switzerland is “currently drafting a new space law” to address regulatory challenges.


Strategic Adaptations

The European panellists proposed several solutions. Huby advocated for “taking more risks for speed and cost reduction” whilst maintaining safety standards. She also revealed her broader collaborative efforts through “the Kermade Project foundation that brings together 15 space leaders annually.”


Samantha Cristoforetti emphasised the delicate balance required: “Europe must balance speed and cost efficiency with sovereign capability requirements while diversifying industry and attracting private investment.”


Infrastructure Development and Capacity Constraints

International Space Station at Capacity

Both Dylan Taylor and Samantha Cristoforetti confirmed from direct experience that the International Space Station has reached operational limits. Cristoforetti, drawing from her 2022 mission experience, testified that “the sheer amount of activities research facilities had incredibly increased.” She also shared operational challenges, including a week-long delay due to Axiom One’s weather issues.


This capacity constraint is driving investment in commercial alternatives. Taylor announced that Voyager Technologies is working to “deploy Starlab space station as ISS replacement by 2029.”


Transportation and Logistics Development

Hélène Huby outlined her company’s infrastructure development: “developing reusable space capsules for cargo and eventually human transport to space stations, with missions planned to ISS by 2028.” She also mentioned that The Exploration Company is “in the process of buying a small rocket company” to expand capabilities.


Samantha Cristoforetti discussed European efforts to develop “LEO cargo return service to provide independent access to space stations,” reflecting Europe’s strategic priority of maintaining autonomous capabilities.


The Future of Human Presence in Space

Human Versus Artificial Intelligence

The panellists offered different perspectives on the future role of humans in space. Dylan Taylor suggested that “physical AI and autonomous robots will likely handle dangerous space work like lunar mining, with humans providing supervision rather than direct labor.”


However, Samantha Cristoforetti emphasised the irreplaceable value of human experience: “Human presence in space remains uniquely valuable for personal connection and experience sharing.” She illustrated this with a compelling example: “We wanted your pictures… it’s not the same, a picture taken by an astronaut, maybe with a commentary, how that made you feel when you saw it, as opposed to all the gazillion pictures, better pictures, by the way, optically better pictures that satellites download all the time.”


Moral and Ethical Considerations

Dylan Taylor posed a thought-provoking question that moved the discussion beyond technical considerations: “What will happen first? The first human born in space, or the first combat fatality in space? And I think we, in this room, can help shape the answer to that question.”


This moral dimension influenced the broader conversation about ensuring space development serves peaceful purposes and benefits humanity.


Broader Impact and Social Responsibility

Space for Humanity Initiative

Dylan Taylor discussed his nonprofit work through Space for Humanity, including significant achievements in democratising space access: sending “the first Mexican-born female and first Arab-born female to space, and Ed Dwight (first astronaut selectee by JFK who didn’t get to go to space until age 92).” This initiative demonstrates efforts to make space exploration more inclusive and representative.


International Collaboration Framework

Despite competitive dynamics, panellists emphasised collaboration’s importance. Hélène Huby argued that “space should foster collaboration and peace through vehicles built across nations,” supported by her foundation work bringing space leaders together.


Samantha Cristoforetti provided historical context: “Competition has driven fast-paced progress. I think it builds on a strong backbone of very strong, solid collaboration that we have experienced, especially on the space station, in the last 30 years.”


Audience Engagement and Diverse Perspectives

The discussion included valuable input from international audience members. A representative from Saudi Arabia working in AI investment raised specific questions about physical AI and autonomy in space operations. Jennifer Rogers from Ireland, working between arts and business communications, asked how “storytellers and cultural creators should prepare society for space-based realities like organ printing and manufacturing.”


Sylvia Kohlmann, formerly with GNSS Galileo and the German Aerospace Center, raised questions about European competitiveness, whilst Dragana Popovic-Renela from CENIS in Switzerland highlighted challenges facing small and medium enterprises in the space supply chain.


Key Areas of Consensus and Disagreement

Areas of Agreement

All panellists agreed that current space development differs fundamentally from Cold War-era competition, now involving commercial partnerships and practical applications. They demonstrated consensus that space technology serves as critical infrastructure for Earth-based optimisation and that international collaboration remains essential despite competitive dynamics.


Both speakers with direct ISS experience confirmed capacity constraints necessitating commercial space station development.


Fundamental Disagreements

The most significant disagreement centred on characterising the current space race. John Gedmark’s emphasis on US-China geopolitical competition contrasted with Dylan Taylor’s commercial “8th continent” framing and other panellists’ focus on collaborative development.


European panellists disagreed on optimal approaches for improving competitiveness, with different emphasis on risk-taking, sovereign capabilities, and structural reforms.


Future Challenges and Implications

Unresolved Policy Questions

Critical questions remain about balancing the European Space Agency’s geo-return principle with commercial procurement, establishing international standards across regions, and transitioning from government-supported to private sector-driven space economy.


John Gedmark praised “Jared Eisenman as the new NASA head,” suggesting optimism about US space policy direction, though coordination challenges between Western partners and China remain unresolved.


Strategic and Technical Challenges

The optimal balance between human control and AI autonomy in space operations remains an open question. Scaling connectivity solutions to serve billions without reliable broadband access requires significant technical and commercial breakthroughs.


Dylan Taylor’s fundamental question about whether space development will follow peaceful or militarised paths remains unanswered but will determine the trajectory of human space presence.


Conclusion

This discussion revealed a space industry in fundamental transition, with panellists offering competing visions of current dynamics and future directions. Whilst agreement exists on the transformative nature of technological breakthroughs and the importance of international collaboration, significant disagreements persist about competitive dynamics, strategic priorities, and optimal development approaches.


The conversation highlighted both tremendous potential for space technology to benefit Earth and the critical importance of choices made today by industry leaders and policymakers. As Dylan Taylor noted, current stakeholders can “help shape the answer” to fundamental questions about humanity’s future in space, emphasising both the opportunity and responsibility facing the space community in determining whether space becomes a domain of peaceful collaboration or strategic competition.


The diversity of perspectives represented—from geopolitical competition to commercial collaboration, from European institutional challenges to American commercial innovation—reflects the complexity of contemporary space development and the need for continued dialogue among stakeholders with different priorities and approaches.


Session transcript

Lara Abrash

This is a work of fiction. Any resemblance to anyone, living or dead, is coincidental and unintentional. This is a work of fiction.

Any resemblance to anyone, living or dead, is coincidental and unintentional. This is a work of fiction. Any resemblance to anyone, living or dead, is coincidental and unintentional.

This is a work of fiction. Any resemblance to anyone, living or dead, is coincidental and unintentional. Good morning.

My name is Lara Abrash. I’m the chair of Deloitte in the U.S. and I’m really excited to be here with all of you today to talk about Beyond Earth, the next space race.

Likely, like many of you in this audience, I grew up in a time that we got to watch rockets take off. We got to see them land on various planets. We got to see space exploration all through the eyes of what a government or a country were doing when they would put a flag down and start to explore.

What we’re going to talk about today is some fundamental changes about how we’re thinking about space today and the experiences this incredible panel is going to bring to you. We’re seeing an incredible transition from government, countries, flags, with that same excitement, to real commercial opportunity. And it’s not just a space industry opportunity.

We’re seeing every industry take advantage of what space can offer them. We see it in all of our clients here at Deloitte, solving so many different issues to make sure they’re taking advantage of what space can offer. They’re looking at strategies, opportunities.

What are the risks? They’re thinking through things like, what do I need to do to tech enable? How do I address cyber?

How could I collect immense amounts of data and leverage AI all in the real time? Things like taxes. All of that is being considered by organizations around the world.

We at Deloitte even launched our own satellite, Deloitte One, which is super, super exciting. So today we’re going to talk about what we’re all seeing. I’ve got a laugh over there.

Is it that we have a satellite? Was that the laugh? Or the name of it?

It wasn’t original. We could have done a Deloitte Two, but I don’t know. Then people would have thought there was one.

We got a laugh over the fact that we have a satellite. I love that. So anyway, let’s get started with our panelists.

I’m going to ask each of them to share a bit about their background, and we’ll start with you, John.

John Gedmark

Yeah, I’m John Gettmark. I’m the co-founder and CEO of a company called Astronis. Astronis builds a new class of satellite.

These are very small and very powerful satellites for high orbit, so geostationary orbit, some other specialized orbits. We do that to provide an array of services for different customers around the world. With geostationary orbit, you can actually park a satellite overhead over a country and have that satellite be this dedicated asset for just a single country or customer.

That’s allowed us to put up satellites that are providing this very unique kind of sovereign service for different countries around the world. We also work with NASA and Space Force for similar missions.

Lara Abrash

Great. Samantha?

Samantha Cristoforetti

Yes, good morning. My name is Samantha Cristoforetti. I’m an astronaut with the European Space Agency, originally from Italy.

But since I’ve become an astronaut, I live in Germany with my family. I’ve had the amazing opportunity of spending twice half a year in space on the International Space Station. The last time was a few years back, was in 2022.

I’m not sure whether I’ll have a chance to fly to space again, but who knows? It’s not impossible. In the meantime, for the last couple of years, I’ve been working on spacecraft development, actually, in part with the lady over there.

I’ve been responsible for a project which is called, stay with me, LEO cargo return service. A bit of a mouthful, but LEO is lower orbit, so very different from geostationary. LEO is about 400 kilometers.

That’s where we have the International Space Station, where we’ll have future space stations. And we want to develop in Europe vehicles that are able to fly cargo there and back, and maybe hopefully one day also humans.

Lara Abrash

Great. Dylan?

Dylan Taylor

Wonderful. Hi, I’m Dylan Taylor, chairman and CEO of Voyager Technologies. We’re an aerospace, national security, and traditional space company listed on the New York Stock Exchange, based in the U.S.

The signature infrastructure project we’re working on is a space station called Starlab. That’s in partnership with Airbus, Mitsubishi, and several other companies around the world. And we hope that will be a replacement to the International Space Station in orbit in 2029.

I also had the privilege of seeing the Earth from space. I did a suborbital flight in December of 2021. It changed my life.

So I’m here to tell you the overview effect is real. And when you’re up there, you realize there is no other place or other people. There’s only here and there’s us.

That’s what we are. The other thing, I founded a nonprofit called Space for Humanity that’s worth mentioning. We send people to space for free in exchange for them doing something positive for the Earth.

So we’ve sent the first Mexican-born female to space, the first Arab-born female to space. We sent Ed Dwight to space. He’s notable because he was the first astronaut selectee by President John F.

Kennedy. Did not get a chance to go to space for unfair reasons, in my view, and at age 92 was able to see the Earth from space on a suborbital flight. And we participated in helping him do that.

So very passionate about space. I believe space is a tool for transformation. I think it’s a way for us to reimagine what’s possible as a species.

And I think it’s the best of us, represented by people like Samantha. The best technology, the best people, and I think the best values being projected out there. So I look forward to the conversation.

Lara Abrash

Great. Helene?

Hélène Huby

Hello, my name is Hélène Hubie. So I’m the founder and CEO of the Exploration Company, which is a space transportation company. Our mission is to build space vehicles for humanity.

This means that every space vehicle we built, we built it across nations to foster collaboration and peace. The first vehicle we are working on is a space capsule. I have the pleasure and the honor to work together with Samantha.

We start with a cargo capsule so that we can bring things like food, things like water, things like loose solar panels to a space station, which is like a house. We need to take care of the house, so we need food and beverage for the astronauts. We need experiments for the astronauts.

And we also repair pieces for the station, like in a house. And we’ve sent already two capsule prototypes to space. None of the flights were fully successful, but we are learning super fast and implementing the learnings on the final recurring vehicle that shall fly as per our schedule to the International Space Station in 2028.

And, of course, our mission is more than that. We want to build a human-rated capsule. So let’s see what we can do together between Europe and the United States.

And, of course, we want to build a rocket. Some of you, I don’t know, might have seen in the press yesterday that actually we’re in the process of buying a small rocket company so that we can have a full pack capsule rocket. And, again, the rocket will be built across country to foster collaboration and peace.

And this is something very close to my heart in parallel to this job of CEO and founder of the company. of the Exploration Company actually founded, before that company I founded a foundation called Kermade Project, where every year we invite 15 people from all nationalities, top space leaders, and they start dreaming together about what they can do together, they start building trust, because people who change the world is actually a small group of people and they get to know each other, they dream together, they trust each other, and then they start a project.

So we hope to plant the seeds of future collaboration. On the private side, with the Exploration Company, which is one of the fastest growing companies in Europe, we’ve been able to raise the biggest seed, biggest series A, biggest series B, so like biggest fundraise of Europe.

We are working together with the European Space Agency as an anchor client, this means that the European Space Agency is buying our missions, and because they buy our missions then we can raise private money to finance the company.

So this is for the private side, and let’s say non-profit side, this is this foundation, but you see we have the same objective, because space is our future, and I really, really want that we build this future together, in collaboration.

Lara Abrash

Renato?

Renato Krpoun

Yes, good morning, my name is Renato Krpoun and I’m heading the Swiss Space Office, which is part of the Swiss State Secretariat for Education, Research and Innovation. I’m currently also chairing the Council of the European Space Agency at delegate level, and I want to give you some insight what the Swiss Space Office actually does. We’re responsible in Switzerland for space policy and space law, so Switzerland is currently drafting a new space law, which hopefully will be in parliament by the end of this year.

We’re also responsible, and this is a big part also of our work, the Swiss portfolio towards the European Space Agency, so basically what programmes Switzerland wants to participate. As you might be aware, the European Space Agency has a mandatory and an optional programme, so we work a lot on the optional programme, which subscriptions we want to do, how do we want to participate in these different programmes, how do we enable the industry and create a good ecosystem for industry in Switzerland.

Lara Abrash

Great, thank you, thank you all. So we’re going to spend a little bit of time with some set questions, and then we’re going to have an opportunity to open it up for questions later for all of you, so be thinking about your questions. This one is going to be for all of you, and I’m going to ask that we try to keep our answers a little condensed so that we can get through as much.

I’ll start with you, Renato, and come back. How do you define this next space race, and how do you think it’s different than the last one?

Renato Krpoun

I think the last one, the last space race was about the systems, communism towards capitalism, who is better, who is more performant, and now we’re in a different logic. We want to go to places like the moon, the low Earth orbit, and we want to stay on a much longer basis.

Hélène Huby

To add a pair of things to you, it’s true that at the beginning we wanted to discover, this is still true for Mars, we’ve not yet sent humans to Mars, but the big revolution is for moon and low Earth orbit, so around the Earth is really to have a sustainable presence, which was already true for low Earth orbit with the International Space Station, and also I think the very important difference is that now we have this mix of private financing and public financing, so it means that space becomes a business that can be commercialized.

I’m sure you’re going to tell more about that, and this is happening now in low Earth orbit, not yet at the moon, but in low Earth orbit.

Dylan Taylor

Great. Yeah, well I think it’s defined by commercial partnerships, public-private partnerships, but probably more fundamentally is the technology has matured and has converged. The way I like to think about space is really not as an industry, but really as an 8th continent.

Think of it as a domain. I think you probably all have your phones with you. Your phones really don’t work without the GPS constellation, right?

Your telecommunications don’t work without satellite-based data. All our climate data, how we know and understand the Earth is coming from space-based assets. In the future, probably all internet access will ultimately be coming from space-based assets.

There’s talk about moving data centers from the Earth to space. There’s this beautiful vision for space that Jerry O’Neill, a Princeton professor, had, which is we can get all our heavy industry off the Earth, put that in space, and the Earth becomes essentially a national park, if you will, a utopia that we can preserve and cherish.

I kind of like that vision. But I think this convergence of different industries, whether it’s telecommunication, data sciences, biopharma, which I know we’ll get to, because there’s a big revolution in microgravity research as well.

I think all of those things converging, I think, really defines this race. So it’s less political, and it’s more, we go to space to benefit Earth. It’s more a matter of convergence of industries and technologies, which I think is super exciting.

And I think, by the way, that’s why a lot of capital is flowing into it, because they see the business case as well.

Lara Abrash

Sveta?

Samantha Cristoforetti

Yeah, I mean, I think that on the one side, we can frame the space race as normal commercial business competition and reflect the fact that this vision of especially low-Earth orbit becoming a thriving economy is starting to take shape and materialize.

So on the one hand, it’s like, OK, this bit of space very close to us, low-Earth orbit, it’s becoming a place where people compete commercially, like in any other domain. And the frontier goes a little bit further out towards the moon, further out in the solar system. I think that when a lot of you hear about the space race, maybe in the media and the news, what you probably hear is more about this competition, especially between the US and China, about who gets first to the moon, right?

And that, I think, is still very much political and geopolitical. What is important for me to say as a message is like, it can be an opportunity. I mean, competition, also this type of competition, has driven fast-paced progress.

I think it builds on a strong backbone of very strong, solid collaboration that we have experienced, especially on the space station, in the last 30 years. So it’s OK. Let’s not worry about it too much.

I mean, these are cycles, cycles of extreme competition and then cooperation that consolidates those gains. So, you know, I’m trying to see it as an opportunity and not worry about it too much.

Lara Abrash

John?

John Gedmark

Oh, I think this is very interesting, because it seems like we have different definitions of what is the space race, who’s racing, who against who. I think it’s very clear. The West absolutely is in a race with China to get back to the moon right now.

China’s been very consistent in their objectives. They’ve said, here’s the exact things we want to do. Here’s the technologies we want to demonstrate.

Then we want to put people on the moon, then we want to put a permanent base on the moon. And they have begun, over the course of years, they’ve been very consistently executing along that timeline. The West, for all the great things that we have, and I think the US and Europe are partners in this, we have been less consistent.

We’ve been sort of all over the place. So, you know, I think it’s a very real open question today as to what’s going to happen. We honestly, I don’t think we can, I don’t think we can predict.

I think there’s plenty of people out there that would say China is absolutely going to win given what they’ve demonstrated to date. I think the US and Europe has a key advantage, though, actually, maybe two. And that is, the first one is the commercial space industry that we’ve mentioned, and that is the big difference from the last space race, right?

In the last space race, it was 100% government run, 100% government driven, and this is just a completely different situation. I think you can, arguably, you’re seeing for the first time more money, more spending happening in space by the private sector than by the government. And then the second, the second key advantage I think we have is our new head of NASA, Jared Eisenman, in the United States, who is just absolutely incredible, the best, I think it’s the best candidate we’ve ever had for that position.

And I think we’re going to see things move out very quickly in a way that I think will put the United States in a very good position in this race.

Lara Abrash

Thanks for pointing it out. As I was listening to everybody, it was, you are not aligned, so that’s OK, which is actually that’s going to make it more interesting. But let’s stick on the commercial aspect for a moment.

Maybe Dylan, I’ll come to you. You did talk about it, and you talked about the increasing role in the commercial space. What do you look at from a demand from private to determine where investment’s coming from and where it’s going from a commercial perspective?

What are some of the signals you’re seeing?

Dylan Taylor

Yeah, well, a lot of it has to do with data processing. So again, because we built the capacity to get hardware to orbit, and here we have to credit SpaceX, we have a reliable, reusable, and probably more importantly, high cadence launch. So humanity’s launching.

There’s a lot of stuff coming up. We’re launching about every 48 hours to space right now, which is really unheard of. So we have now the elevator, if you will, that can get hardware to orbit.

And so what has happened is there’s been a flourishing of satellites. Even Deloitte has a satellite, as was mentioned earlier. Even Deloitte.

And Deloitte. Even Deloitte. And there’s a Deloitte 1, and I’m sure there’ll be a Deloitte 2.

Yes, there you go. There were more satellites launched last year than the entire history of humanity through the end of 2024. So we are going vertical.

Now, a lot of those satellites are Starlink, building out the internet constellation. But there are many other business plans that now close. So a lot of this has to do with data collection and data processing and perfect information about the Earth to make the Earth economy more efficient, more secure.

There’s a lot of defense applications associated with this data. The next revolution on the data piece is doing the compute and data processing in space. So an entire technology stack is being driven around not taking the data, transmitting it to Earth, putting it in a cloud, putting AI and machine learning on it, getting an answer and sending it to the customer.

Why not just do all of that in space and just literally transmit the answer? So that’s the next revolution happening. And if you look at capital flows, typically data is something they understand very well.

It’s a very capitally efficient market, typically. And that’s where you’re seeing the massive capital flows. So SpaceX, for example, is going to murmur to go public later this year.

As important as their heavy lift rocket capability is, the main thing investors are interested in is Starlink because it generates huge amounts of revenue, huge amounts of cash flow. So think of data as being the real driver, enabled by the hardware, enabled by launch. That’s really what’s happening.

Lara Abrash

I’m glad you mentioned that. I was rattling off the things that we’re seeing in clients. That drives a big focus on cyber and protection because, like here on Earth, when you have that much data flowing and you’re doing compute, you also have to make sure that it’s safe and secure.

Dylan Taylor

And just on that point quickly, that’s another reason why you want to do the compute in space. Because if you’re doing a data stream, it can be jammed. It can be interfered with.

It can be manipulated. So that’s another reason to do it in space.

Lara Abrash

By the way, that’s what our Deloitte 1, one of the things we’re doing is actually testing a cyber shield in space. So anyway, enough about the Deloitte 1. So we’re seeing much more momentum here in Europe from a commercial perspective as well.

So maybe this is a question for Alin, Samantha, and Renato. What shifts do you think need to occur to help expand this even more and to create more globalization? Whether it’s regulatory, capital market, industrial, what other shifts do you think are going to need to happen to enable this type of growth?

I’ll start with you, Renato.

Renato Krpoun

I think we have to understand, first of all, what commercialization means. Or at least our understanding at the moment is commercialization is you’re giving responsibility from the agencies towards the company. So they have the responsibility.

They’re taking more risk. They own the assets at the end. But they also have the accountability.

And this is something the agencies are struggling with. I think we have seen NASA has a very good model, which they put in place. And now ESA is trying to replicate this model.

We heard about the LEO cargo service, which is being put in place. I never know the abbreviation. It’s so complicated.

But the idea is really how can the agency, instead of designing, being the master of the architecture, transfer the design towards the companies. And I think this is really the challenge. In Europe, we have an additional challenge because within the European Space Agency, we have the geo-return principle.

And if you buy services in the future, it’s who is going to pay for these services. And how do we have a return into the different member states? So this is something we’re discussing.

We’re trying to find new models. But this is also an important part. Because if you want to invest as a country, and European Space Agency has 23 countries, all of them want to have some form of return, either on the utilization side or on the hardware side.

Lara Abrash

Great. Helene?

UNKNOWN

Yeah, just before I answer your question, I’d like to take just a few seconds so that everybody understands this commercialization and why it occurs. Because I think that’s really important. Before, it was like crazy expensive to send stuff to space.

So I’m caricaturing, but then only government basically could afford it. And they would send satellites to space to have imageries of what is happening in the countries where they want to have information about for defense purposes. Or they would send satellites to make sure they can communicate in a secure manner with, for example, aircrafts, and fighter aircrafts, and satellites.

And they would send satellites also like the GPS constellation to make sure they can position, they can understand where they are, thanks to this satellite. And what has happened is that the cost of sending things to space has significantly been brought down, as you mentioned, thanks to SpaceX. And instead, before it was like 25,000 euro to send something to space, one kilogram.

Now it’s about 2,500 to send one kilogram to space. And with the Starship, the next big rocket of SpaceX, it will be about 250 euro or dollar to send something to space. So it’s much cheaper.

On the other hand, if we look at the basic needs we have on Earth, we need to protect the Earth. So we have a need for data to master, or fight against, or do better with climate change. We have a need to optimize our activities, like agriculture, use less water, use less fertilizers.

For that, we need imagery. We want to reduce leaks in pipelines. For that, we need imagery.

We want to optimize logistics so that container ships, they don’t wait days before they can go to the harbor. For that, we need imagery. We need imagery in Africa so that the yogurt, we can bring the right amount of the right quantity to the market.

So we need to understand how many people are in the market. So very, very concrete stuff.

Hélène Huby

We need access to the internet everywhere in the world. Space is great for that, of course. And we need positioning with GPS, et cetera.

So there is a big demand from each of you, also from machines moving everywhere, et cetera. And space, because now it has become affordable, can answer these demands. Hence, big market.

Hence, private investors coming into space business to finance new ventures, new companies who can build new products on the Earth to answer these demands about data, to serve agriculture, to serve transportation, and also to serve communication.

So I just wanted to make it very clear. Now, so in Europe, what do we need? Three things, I think, so that we can really embrace this commercialization, because we are lagging behind top companies in the world who are based in the US.

Number one, I think we need more ambition. For me, a European company shall not only aim at serving the European market, because European market is much smaller than American market. So when we start a company, we must aim at serving the world as much as possible.

Europe has a collaborative spirit, and we can scale it to the world. And there are also other markets, MENA, Africa, Oceania, where we have a competitive advantage vis-a-vis the US. And for certain products, like, OK, we are building a capsule, there is a big need in the United States for additional space capsules.

And the United States are very happy, actually, that we are bringing also to the American market an additional facility, because the more capsules we have, the safer it is to send astronauts, to send cargo, to space stations.

So we need to think bigger. And this is true for the institutions, and it’s true for the entrepreneurs. Number two, and this is what I’m super proud and very grateful to the European Space Agency, the public money.

We don’t need that much subsidies. But we need the public institutions, like European Space Agency or the governments, to act as a client. I’ll take one example.

The European Space Agency has decided to buy missions. That is to say, to say, hey, I am the client, and I am going to buy a mission. Like, you go to the post office, and you buy from DHL or ChronoPost a mission to send the gift you want to send to your grandma.

And basically, the DHL is doing that logistics for you. So the European Space Agency is acting as an on-call client, saying, hey, I want to send cargo to the International Space Station, and I’m going to choose companies to do that for me. And they organize a competition, and they choose companies.

And we’re going now to bring this cargo to the space station, like DHL. We got, for the time being, $25 million from the European Space Agency. But what we’ve done with this $25 million, of course, we’ve been working on our vehicle.

But we’ve told investors, look, we have now a client. And if we succeed with our first flight, they’re going to buy more and more. And by the way.

They just said that if we succeed, they can buy the mission number 2 and number 3. And because only with this 25 million, we’ve been able to raise more than 300 million. So you see the leverage effect of public money when the institution acts as an uncle client.

And this is what NASA has been doing in the past 15-20 years, and this is where now we are going with the Open Space Agency, and this is super important because you, as taxpayer money, we need to make sure that your money is invested in the most efficient way.

And last but not least, where we really also need to improve actually is speed and cost. We have a cost advantage because engineers in Europe are much cheaper, much more affordable than engineers in the United States. But we’re too slow, and we accept to pay for programs which are still too expensive.

So that’s also coming to the first point, the mindset question, where we shall be adamant with ourselves regarding cost and speed, so that we prefer things being done faster, with a bit more risk, and cheaper, with a bit more risk.

But the faster we go, the faster we learn, the faster we adapt, and the faster, step by step, we get a product which is one of the best in the world.

Lara Abrash

Great. Thank you. Samantha?

Samantha Cristoforetti

Yeah, I mean, a lot has been said, but yeah, maybe what I can add is that I think we’re trying, and Renato, correct me if I’m wrong, but I think that from the space agency side, we’re trying to square a little bit the circle between needs that are very real and concrete for our industry and for our member states, and sometimes they come into conflict.

Because on the one hand, I’m absolutely aligned with what Elana said. I think that speed and cost should be our polar stars. If we want to come onto the world stage with our European industry, with products and services that are competitive, on the other hand, there is a lot of talk about sovereign capabilities, about bridging this gap that we have, in particular to the United States, because choices were made historically to maybe focus on niche capabilities, and we’ve neglected a little bit those strategic capabilities like transportation, and so those capabilities right now are seen as absolutely strategic.

So, on the one hand, we want to focus on cost and speed and take risks, maybe also with new companies like Helene’s company. On the other hand, we don’t want to take too much risk, because we want to make sure that at the end those capabilities do exist, because we consider those strategic. So, it’s a fine balance that we have to work together with our member states, and we’re doing our best, and I’m confident we’ll be able to do it in the best possible ways.

It’s very encouraging, I think, that our industry is diversifying. I mean, we see a lot of new companies popping up, not only the exploration company, a lot of actual access to space, like rockets was mentioned. There’s a lot of new rocket companies popping up in Europe, and there’s actually a lot of private investment.

I mean, I think that the global, let’s say, capital is rediscovering Europe also in the space sectors. If we look at the trends of the last few years, the percentage of private capital that Europe has captured globally has increased dramatically. So, I think that there is a recognition also from smart capital and smart money that there are a lot of untapped opportunities here in Europe.

Lara Abrash

Great. Well, thank you, the three of you, for a very comprehensive view of Europe. John, I’m going to come to you.

Astronis has been significantly expanding Internet access through satellite. How do you think that’s going to reshape the global digital access, and what do we need to do to scale this?

John Gedmark

Yeah, I did want to just touch on the global space piece first, actually. So, I think it’s very interesting. To me, we’ve seen this play out quite successfully in the United States, so there’s a lot that can be learned from that.

The key, in my mind, is encouraging an industry that is dual-use. Dual-use means you have the developing capabilities that are used by the government in place of the government having that as just a purely government-run program. But they also have commercial customers.

They have customers in the private sector, and ideally you are developing technologies and capabilities that are being used, the exact same thing or very close to it, in both for government customers and then also commercial customers.

It’s actually a hard thing to do. It’s harder than people think. To me, it should be the objective.

That’s how you get the private sector capital really coming in as they see a larger set of customers than just the government for a particular company or product. That is also how the government gets this benefit of really reduced costs because they’re really sharing across as just one customer. Then they, in many cases, can completely change the business model so they can move over to being a buyer of services instead of a buyer of physical assets that they take possession of and then they do with it what they want.

I’m very encouraged by some of the things we’ve seen in Europe. There’s been some fantastic space startup success stories. iSci is one that comes to mind.

I’m very encouraged by how things have begun to play out here. It’s very nice to hear some of the things from my fellow panelists that I think we’re on a very good path there. When it comes to connectivity, we still have a huge problem worldwide.

We do still have, with all the wonderful things that have been launched and are operating today to provide connectivity, we still have 4 billion people that don’t have reliable broadband connectivity access.

It’s quite a shocking number, actually, when you think about it. People think of Starlink as this fantastic success, which it is. Primarily, the goal is large amounts of revenue to then support missions to Mars.

That was always the stated goal. But they actually only have a few million customers and users around the world. If you think about it, that’s a rounding error on the 4 billion people that we need to get connected.

The amount of scaling that is required and the amount of connectivity across many different platforms, that includes ours in geostationary orbit where we’re scaling up, building many dozens and then hundreds of these satellites, that’s other connectivity solutions.

There’s a whole array that are being developed. We’re really just getting started solving this problem. I truly think it’s one of the most epic challenges that we’ve ever had, which is to try and solve this problem worldwide of giving people the connectivity they need.

Lara Abrash

Great. Thank you. Maybe I’ll pivot us a little bit.

Let’s go a little bit deeper into space now. I’m going to start with you, Dylan. You’ve been quoted as saying space is essentially a general purpose technology.

We talked a little bit already about some of the commercial opportunities that exist. What sectors outside of aerospace do you think will first benefit, feel the impact from space and why?

Dylan Taylor

We talked a little bit about data, but maybe I’ll focus on another one, which I think is relevant hopefully to everyone in this room, and that would be biopharma. For those of you who don’t know, microgravity is sort of a magic laboratory. To be clear, when we say microgravity, we’re talking about roughly 400 kilometers above the Earth, the orbit of the International Space Station in freefall.

When you’re in freefall, you’re not experiencing the effects of gravity. What’s interesting about that is you don’t have the convection and you don’t have the weight of gravity. So you can do some really, really unique things that you can’t do here on Earth.

For example, you can grow perfect crystals. When I say perfect, I mean perfect, no defects. You can extrude perfect optical fiber.

You can make essentially perfect silicon wafer chips. You can do unique protein folding and molecular biology that you can’t do here on Earth. You can actually print, and I know this sounds crazy, but print organelles, print a meniscus, ultimately print an organ.

in microgravity. So part of the reason commercial space stations are a thing is we’re really at capacity on the International Space Station, both in terms of space for lab experiments, but also astronaut time and things like that.

So think of lots of laboratories, special purpose for a lot of these biopharma applications that would not only do the science to make sure we perfect the power of microgravity, but then ultimately scale that up to do in-space manufacturing on a lot of these promised technologies.

And imagine a future, I don’t know what the median age in the room is, but I’ll assume it’s 40 years old. Imagine a future in 25 years where you need a new organ and your stem cells could be transmitted to an orbital space station and you could get a perfect organ printed that’s gonna match your biology, that won’t be rejected because it’s gonna match your DNA.

And that can be printed in microgravity. And of course, once it’s completed, then you can put it in gravity because it won’t collapse. And then it could be inserted in your body.

So I know this sounds crazy. It sounds like science fiction, but we have the technology to do this. It’s a matter of perfecting it and then ultimately scaling it up.

So if you look at biopharma, whether it’s Merck or Pfizer, and of course, Switzerland’s one of the key biopharma capitals of the world, there are billions and billions and billions of dollars of capital focused on drug development.

Katruda, which is a breakthrough lung cancer drug, was primarily developed on the International Space Station. So I see huge promise in biopharma. And it’s not only, again, I wanna come back to the theme.

We go to space to benefit life here on earth. Yes, there’s a business case. Yes, people will make money, but fundamentally, it’ll make humans quality of life better and minimize suffering.

And that’s really the key thing. I go back to John’s point on internet access. Why?

Is it to surf TikTok? No, it’s to unlock this human potential for people who don’t have broadband access. And ultimately, that benefits the world.

And I really wanna emphasize that. We go to space to benefit earth.

Lara Abrash

Thank you so much for sharing, even though for some of us, it may seem a little bit out there. But it is a really specific example for people to really start to understand. These are really different and unique opportunities, and we need all of you to help us get there.

So that’s amazing. Maybe, John, I’ll come to you. What do you see as sort of the next breakthrough that we can do?

We got a little bit of the biopharma, but let’s use a five-year timeframe. What’s the next transformation that you see? John, you might have dropped your mic.

John Gedmark

No. So certainly, the single biggest change agent, the single biggest thing that has had an impact for just across the space industry is the reduction in launch prices that we’ve seen over time. And that has come about primarily due to reusability.

You could just go back not that long ago, and people thought this was a far-off, completely unthinkable thing. And then, of course, first SpaceX proved it out with the Falcon 9 rocket, and they now do that almost every single day. And now other companies are starting to do it for the first time.

So now we’re looking at them scaling up with Starship. And Starship is just the reusability that they are achieving there. It’s actually a new kind of reusability.

And there’s other companies that are doing this as well. A friend of mine runs a company called Stokespace, which is also doing full reusability. Full reusability means they are reusing both stages of the rocket.

And that is actually another unlock for even instead of just reusing the first stage, throwing away the upper stage, now this is an even further unlock for launch prices coming down. And then, of course, there’s the sheer scale of the activity that’s happening, whether it be the scaling up of size of Starship or the increased launch cadence of other rockets around the world is just having already a dramatic impact.

Lara Abrash

Wow, amazing. Okay, maybe we’ll do one for all of you. We’ve talked a lot already about some of the benefits that are out there.

And we touched a little bit on this, but Renato, I’ll start with you. How do we, or how do you think we need to evolve these private and public partnerships to make sure we achieve these benefits globally? We’ve talked a bit about that, but maybe you can expand and then we’ll go through everybody.

Renato Krpoun

I mean, from our side, this is a very important question because, I mean, let’s say on a national scale, we’re trying to position the ecosystem, but also support through our ESA participation, the European scale.

So for us, the question is really, we see this future coming. You mentioned the organs in orbit, the pharma opportunities we will have. And for us, there is still a gap in between.

And I think there is a lot of research which needs to be done. There is also the right facilities which need to be available. And this gap we will need to bridge over the next years.

And also the question of availability. We need to be able to launch as quickly as possible to get to the speed necessary to evolve the technologies and to evolve also the products. We have to move from an economy at the moment, which is very strongly supported by government to an economy which then, a space economy, which is then supported by the private sector, where the private sector will be the final customer.

And I think this is the step we’re trying to do.

Lara Abrash

Great. Anything to add?

Hélène Huby

No, because I’ve spoken too much before, so.

Lara Abrash

Okay. Dylan, anything you want to add here?

Dylan Taylor

No, I think it’s been covered.

Lara Abrash

Okay, great. Okay, then I’m going to pivot to Samantha. We have an astronaut.

I was going to say that not a lot of people have actually spent a year on Earth that are actually still alive. Until I found out you actually went up, I was going to say on the stage at all, but a year out there. I mean, how do you see the future of human space flight?

And maybe just a little bit of your own story here would be interesting to hear.

Samantha Cristoforetti

Yeah, absolutely. So I’m, yeah, a little bit of the classic astronaut story. So I dreamt, I grew up in a tiny little village in the mountains in Italy, so maybe not so obvious that you end up becoming an astronaut.

But I do think that it set me on the right path because you grow up in a place very much like Davos, maybe not so glamorous, but very similar in the landscape and size and remoteness. But it set me on the right path because I had a very direct connection to the night sky, very little light pollution, and it was a very strong presence. And then that, I think, triggered my fascination, but then, of course, I had all the opportunities that, you know, school and books and TV shows, and then all of that offers you, even if you grew up in a remote location, to connect to that amazing human adventure, which is space flight.

And, you know, I grew up in the 80s and the space shuttle was flying and there were men and women going back and forth all the time, and somehow it was crazy enough to assume that, you know, I’ll do that as well one day.

And somehow it didn’t happen. The first time I went to space station was in 2014, 15, on a Russian Soyuz vehicle. So it seems a completely different age.

It was, all of these changes we’ve talked about were obviously in the making, but I certainly wasn’t particularly aware of them, right? I was focused on my mission training. It was a very long training flow, and I was learning Soyuz, which is a vehicle, very much a legacy vehicle from the 70s, 80s, modernized over time, but very much that legacy vehicle.

And that was space flight for me. And then I served a year on the International Space Station. And again, it was before we started seeing all this trend towards commercialization.

And then boom, I mean, I think all those changes that had been in the making kind of like all came together and started materializing. So when I flew in 2022, the landscape, the context had changed significantly, I would say. I mean, the space station is still the space station, but boy, there was so much more going on.

And you could tell just by the, you know, on my first flight, if I wanted to find a corner on the space station to, I don’t know, set up my own private little experiment or something, right? That wouldn’t bother anyone, it was fine. I mean, you could find little corners like that on the floor, on the wall, wherever, it doesn’t matter.

But in 2022, it was hard because every little, you know, square centimeter or square foot, I mean, not square, cubic, cubic centimeters, cubic foot was taken, that the sheer amount of activities research facilities had incredibly increased.

So when you say we’re out of capacity, I can definitely testify to that. The other thing that had changed is that we had started to to see a lot more of those commercial, we call them payloads because this in the end are the ones that you know, in theory pay the bills, right?

Because they are the actual useful stuff that you get out of space station as outcomes of experiments. So with this fancy word payloads, we started to see a lot more of those commercial payloads. How did we even know as astronauts that they were commercial?

Because maybe there were more restrictions on taking pictures and sharing data, which is normal, right? I mean if you have a commercial customer who flies their experiments, they suddenly want to own the outcome and the data because they’re paying for that and they want to return on their investment with the proprietary technology at the end or a proprietary product.

So we certainly saw a lot of that going on, which I think is, you know, is showing this trend. And then of course, I flew to station not on a Soyuz rocket and vehicle, but on a Falcon 9 and a Dragon spacecraft, which is, you know, much more, you know, it’s a spacecraft of the 21st century, so much more comfortable for sure as an experience.

And also much more automated. And then the other thing that I will mention is that again, from personal anecdote, when I flew with my crew from Houston to Cape Canaveral to Florida to launch, we were supposed to be launching after four days.

That’s the usual timeline. Four days before launch, you fly from Houston to Florida and you get, you know, those final activities and then you launch. And it can happen, of course, that you get delayed for a number of reasons.

Usually it’s weather. Usually it’s launch weather. You don’t have good weather to launch either on the launch site or somewhere in the ascent corridor.

The weather is so bad that if you had to abort the launch and, you know, the rescue folks would have a hard time getting to you. So that’s usually what drives the weather situation, right? But what delayed us by a whole week was actually landing weather, splashdown weather.

Not for us, not for a NASA or government crew, but for Axiom One. They were the very first purely private mission to the International Space Station. So the mission was commanded by a former NASA astronaut, but the other three gentlemen on board were paying customers who had bought themselves a ticket to go to the space station.

And they didn’t have good weather for splashing down and they had their parking spot up there, our docking port, so we couldn’t launch if they didn’t come back. And so we were stuck there for over a week waiting for them to come back. But that’s also a significant change, right?

When I became an astronaut in 2009, I would have never imagined something like that, right? So just to give you an idea of how things are evolving fast.

Lara Abrash

So I’m about to open up to questions. I could listen to these stories all day, but I just want to ask you, as you were coming back, what was like the one thing you were like, oh God, thank God I’m coming back to Earth because I get to… Take a shower.

Take a shower. Fair enough. All right.

I see already a question over here. Let’s just let you get a mic, if that’s okay. And if you could maybe just introduce yourself, we’d appreciate that, where you’re from.

Audience

Yeah, I’m Sylvia Kohlmann from Rostock, Germany, and thank you so much for the inspiring panel. I used to work for the GNSS Galileo, for the German Aerospace Center and for Airbus as well, under Professor Werner, who later was then the director of the ESA. And my question is going to Mrs.

Christoforetti and Mr. Taylor, because I found your insights very inspiring. And maybe if you’d like to share what kind of recommendation or clue would you give your younger ten-year-old?

Because I’d like to learn a little bit more from your experience. Thank you so much. Thank you.

Samantha Cristoforetti

I think that was for you, Smyrna. Yeah. Well, I happen to have an almost ten-year-old.

Oh, my own younger self. Oh my God. I’m so happy with my life overall, that I wouldn’t change anything, because you think you’re improving something, but you never know what really what really happens.

So maybe I’ll stick to my own ten-year-old and any other ten-year-olds. I mean, I think what’s really important at that age is to let them try things out and see and understand where their passions and their talents are. Because I’ve, you know, astronauts specifically, they come from all walks of life, but they’re usually fairly happy and fairly happy people, and they’re really usually pretty good at whatever they were doing before.

And I don’t think you can do that unless you find some kind of passion or something that you’re really passionate about. So, you know, ten years old, I mean, I try to influence my daughter as little as possible, but give her all kinds of opportunities to just try out and see what she’s gonna be passionate about.

Lara Abrash

Thank you. I’m gonna go to the back over here with the white jacket, and then I’ll go over over here next.

Audience

Thank you very much for this very interesting panel. I’m Dragana Popovic-Renela from CENIS in Switzerland. We supply precision magnetometers also to the space industry.

And my question is, if we are moving towards a cooperative, responsible space model, what do you think will be the main constraints, systemic constraints for small, medium suppliers? So will that be like qualifications, requirements, or simply procurement pathways? And how can public agencies support SMEs in moving faster or scaling into these global missions?

Thank you.

Lara Abrash

Who wants to take a shot at that?

Dylan Taylor

I’ve got one thought on the topic. I would say standards. So part of the reason we can’t, we, the royal we meaning humanity, can’t move quicker on some of these supply chain issues, whether it’s in the US or Europe or elsewhere, is we don’t necessarily have all the right standards that we can all agree on.

And I think if we had a governing body, and I would welcome the WEF’s participation on this, I’ve brought it up to the WEF in the past, we don’t really have a overall governing body that can weigh in on some of these standards.

And so we have European standards, we have an American standard, but I think the more standards we have, the more alignment we can have, the more, the faster we can go. Costs would also be reduced pretty dramatically, and I think it would help out a lot of mid to small suppliers to plug into a larger ecosystem. So that would be one suggestion I would have.

Hélène Huby

Perhaps just to complement, because the question was also about the role of the agencies, it’s to basically support the companies to actually meet with these standards, if we can come to international standards.

To give you a very concrete example, where we are building right now with the support of the European Space Agency, the capsule that’s going to dock to the International Space Station, and for that we need to meet the American safety standards, because of course we shall never collide with the station.

And we know very little about human safety in Europe, because we never built a vehicle that would fly humans, like for real. We had projects, but we never built a vehicle that actually came to flight. And the collaboration we are having with NASA and with the European Space Agency is for us extremely important, so that we can understand what is the intent of these standards, and how we’re going to meet them, so that ultimately we can fly.

And if we cannot meet the safety standard, there is no chance that we’re going to fly. So I think this is the role of the agencies, to be these translators, to support the industry understanding and building spacecraft that really meet the standards. Great.

Thank you.

Lara Abrash

Back there with the glasses.

Audience

Yeah, that’s here. Hello everybody, and thank you for a very stimulating conversation this morning. My name is Jennifer Rogers.

I come from Ireland, and I work between arts and business communications. My question today is for Taylor. I found your proposition of microgravities and the possibilities for stem cell regeneration and printing human organs absolutely inspiring.

And my question to you today is, how do we, as storytellers, as cultural creators, have to start thinking about managing these realities that are going forward? What can we do today to empower our people to work in these cultures of the future? Yeah, it’s a brilliant question,

Dylan Taylor

and I do think about this a lot, because I think space is going to happen, whether we want it to happen or not. And I think it could be an extremely positive influence on the future of humanity, but we have to shape it. And to your point, you know, escape from Earth, kind of billionaire boys club, is one narrative.

The other narrative is this power to benefit life here on Earth. And I think microgravity research is something that we, the world, can really rally around. So I would encourage you, you know, there’s quite a few companies out there doing real research on the International Space Station today.

We have a partnership actually with several universities, one of which is the University of Zurich, and there’s a research consortium called Vista, and it’s Ohio State University, University of Zurich, and others.

And the whole idea is to do the real work on research areas, whether it’s biopharma or ag tech or other research areas, and take that research docket, if you will, and translate it to real missions, real payloads, real science, in microgravity to benefit life here on Earth.

So those stories are out there, and I would encourage you to, and if you want to follow up with me directly, I can point you in the right direction, but I think it’s really, really, really important that we start talking about the promise of space.

You know, a thought experiment that I’ll just share with you that I like to use, because we have a bit of militarization in space as well, right? So to me, the future of humanity in space really will be determined by the answer to a question, and that question is, what will happen first? The first human born in space, or the first combat fatality in space?

Right? And I think we, in this room, can help shape the answer to that question. I hope it’s the former, not the latter.

But to do that, we have to do the science, and we have to, and I just want to brag on Samantha for a moment. You asked the 10-year-old a question, which is a brilliant question. My advice, if you want to be a professional astronaut, be collaborative, be an abundance thinker, because every astronaut I’ve met, whether they’re Russian, Korean, European, male, female, fighter pilot, which Samantha is, or a scientist or artist, they are some of the most collaborative, I would say, collegial people you’ll ever meet, because if you are a chest-pounder and a me-first person, you will not make it through the astronaut corps.

And so when I talk about us projecting the best of humanity into space, I’m talking about people like Samantha, in this notion that we, as a species, really have a duty to each other to make the world a better place.

And I think that’s really what space is all about.

Lara Abrash

That’s amazing. Okay, who’s next? I’ll take this gentleman here.

Audience

Hi, I came from Saudi Arabia, mostly working in AI investment and as an advisor. So my question, actually, to Ms. Taylor, that also touches some points that Samantha has mentioned, which is the moment that people speak about physical AI and they want to move into a physical AI, where robots can actually handle a complete ecosystem.

The first application that came to my mind, actually, is space. Because it’s so difficult to send a human, there are many constraints, and Samantha, I know, many of these. But then I realized that people want to go to space.

So there is a huge race of people going to space in a state of building this physical AI and leveraging it to go to the space. So from a commercial point of view, to Taylor and also to Samantha, what do you think about what’s going to be in the future? Samantha, touch a point, is the new rocket, it’s become more autonomy.

But are we going to reach where there is a full autonomy in the space industry or not?

Dylan Taylor

Yeah. So the notion is send humans or send robots. In some cases, you might be able to do both.

Because imagine you’re an avatar and you’re manipulating a robot that’s on the moon, for example. So that’s one way to go. The hold back for doing, I would say, physical AI in space has been latency.

Right? Because you have the speed of light, even in the moon, there’s some time lag there. But with intelligence, evolving as rapidly as it is, and you can actually have autonomy because the piece of hardware can actually make decisions on its own based upon input.

I’m in the camp that says there’s going to be much more autonomous physical AI doing a lot of the hard jobs on the moon. So for example, Helium-3 is on the moon. Helium-3 is relevant for quantum computing.

Helium-3 is relevant for fusion. You could send a bunch of humans up there to mine Helium-3, or you could send a bunch of autonomous, intelligent, physical AI robots to do that kind of work as well, under human supervision as well. So don’t think evil robots taking over the moon.

But I think that’s likely where things are going to go. And the technology, as you know, is evolving incredibly rapidly. But the part that people didn’t anticipate, let’s say, five years ago, is how much intelligence you can embed on the physical AI.

That’s what’s changed the game, I think, fundamentally.

Samantha Cristoforetti

Yeah, I fully agree. I mean, this is really an open question. It will be up to us, collectively, as humanity, as these intelligent robots evolve to understand, decide, shape what we want to hand over to them, as opposed to keep us all prerogative, and not only in space, but I suspect on Earth as well.

I will share one anecdote, though, that… Actually, two things I’d like to share. One is, when I came back from my first mission, you know, one of the things we like to do as astronauts in space, as you might know, is, you know, free time.

There’s not a whole lot of things to do. You can’t go to the movies. You can’t go out for a walk.

One of the things we do a lot is, like, take pictures. You have this amazing view of the Earth, and we try to capture and share that. And so, you know, in my first mission, just like on my second, I took probably thousands of pictures, and maybe hundreds of those were posted on social media for, you know, to share with the world.

And I remember coming back from my first spaceflight and doing, you know, what we call the post-flight tour in my home country, in Italy, go out and, you know, meet people and talk about my experience.

And something I heard constantly from people were, like, we miss your pictures so much. And this really struck me, because, like, my answer was, like, I mean, there’s people on board now that are taking just as good pictures as I did, and they’re sharing them. So why are you missing pictures?

I mean, there’s so many pictures. I was like, it’s not the same. We wanted your pictures.

So, you know, because, of course, it was my home country that had developed a personal relationship with me. And so for them, my pictures were special. And then somebody else’s pictures might be special to somebody else.

But in general, I think it’s also not the same, a picture taken by an astronaut, maybe with a commentary, how that made you feel when you saw it, as opposed to all the gazillion pictures, better pictures, by the way, optically better pictures that satellites download all the time, right?

You could look at the pictures of satellites, but very few people do that, while a lot of people are passionate about the pictures taken by humans. So is that going to remain relevant? I mean, it obviously was in 2016, after my first mission.

I think it still is now. Is this still going to be relevant for new generations who are, like, native, you know, AIs, citizen? I don’t know.

Maybe, indeed, it will become, for people in the future, 100 years from now, you know, experiencing, I don’t know, the Moon and Mars through an avatar will be enough, or will be, to them, just as significant as it is for us to be there, you know, having a human there.

That I really, really cannot predict to me. That is very much an open question. But I’d like to share something else, which is somewhat related, but it came up in a panel yesterday, and I thought it was fascinating, which was this idea of expanding, you know, human intelligence and human civilization, if you want, beyond the solar system.

It’s very, very unlikely that, in the foreseeable future, we’re going to be able to send actual human beings, right, beyond the confines of our solar system. But maybe one way is to send a robotically embodied intelligence that represents our collective human intelligence and knowledge and culture, kind of like with the Voyager and the disk, right, but kind of like a more advanced instantiation of that.

And so that might be a way of us, yeah, in some way, reaching out beyond the solar system.

Lara Abrash

Thank you for that. I actually think this exchange is a broader change around, like, what will humans do versus the physical AI in the future? And what is that special thing that people just want to get from humans?

Well, we’re out of time, which I can’t believe. I hope, as you leave here today, you think about our theme of the week here in Davos. This is about a spirit of dialogue.

That’s what we had today, a lot of different perspectives. But when we think about space, this is going to be what’s necessary. We’re going to need to do this together.

We will go farther together. So I would like you all to give a big thank you to our panelists, please. And enjoy the rest of your time here.

Thank you. Sorry, we’ve run out of time. So sorry.

H

Hélène Huby

Speech speed

191 words per minute

Speech length

1607 words

Speech time

504 seconds

The new space race is about sustainable presence rather than just discovery, with a mix of private and public financing making space a commercializable business

Explanation

Huby argues that unlike the early space race focused on discovery, the current space race emphasizes establishing a sustainable presence in space. This shift is enabled by the combination of private and public financing, which transforms space from a purely government endeavor into a viable commercial business opportunity.


Evidence

She mentions that this is already happening in low Earth orbit with the International Space Station, and notes the dramatic cost reduction from 25,000 euros to 2,500 euros per kilogram to space, with SpaceX’s Starship potentially reducing it further to 250 euros/dollars


Major discussion point

The Nature of the New Space Race


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Dylan Taylor
– Renato Krpoun
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Agreed on

The current space race is fundamentally different from the previous one, characterized by commercial partnerships and sustainable presence rather than ideological competition


Disagreed with

– John Gedmark
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Dylan Taylor
– Renato Krpoun

Disagreed on

Definition and nature of the current space race


Space provides immense data collection capabilities for Earth optimization, from agriculture to logistics, enabled by dramatically reduced launch costs

Explanation

Huby explains that space technology now provides critical data for optimizing Earth-based activities including agriculture, logistics, and infrastructure management. The dramatic reduction in launch costs has made these applications commercially viable and accessible to private companies.


Evidence

Specific examples include using imagery to optimize agriculture with less water and fertilizers, reduce pipeline leaks, optimize container ship logistics, determine market populations in Africa for supply planning, and provide global internet access


Major discussion point

Commercial Space Development and Opportunities


Topics

Economic | Development | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Dylan Taylor
– John Gedmark

Agreed on

Space technology provides critical data and services for Earth-based optimization and problem-solving


Europe needs more ambition to serve global markets, public institutions acting as anchor clients, and faster development with acceptable risk tolerance

Explanation

Huby identifies three key requirements for European space industry success: thinking beyond European markets to serve global customers, having public institutions like ESA act as anchor clients to leverage private investment, and accepting more risk to achieve faster and cheaper development cycles.


Evidence

She provides the example of ESA giving her company $25 million as an anchor client, which enabled them to raise over $300 million in private investment, demonstrating the leverage effect of public money when institutions act as clients


Major discussion point

European Space Industry Challenges and Solutions


Topics

Economic | Development | Legal and regulatory


Developing reusable space capsules for cargo and eventually human transport to space stations, with missions planned to ISS by 2028

Explanation

Huby describes her company’s work developing space capsules that can transport cargo and eventually humans to space stations. The company has already sent two prototype capsules to space and is working toward operational missions to the International Space Station.


Evidence

She mentions sending two capsule prototypes to space (though not fully successful), learning from these experiences, and having a scheduled mission to the International Space Station in 2028


Major discussion point

Space Infrastructure and Transportation


Topics

Infrastructure | Economic


Space should foster collaboration and peace through vehicles built across nations, supported by foundations that bring space leaders together

Explanation

Huby advocates for international collaboration in space development as a means to promote peace and cooperation. She believes space vehicles should be built collaboratively across countries, and that bringing space leaders together helps build trust and future partnerships.


Evidence

She mentions founding the Kermade Project foundation that annually brings together 15 top space leaders from all nationalities to dream and build trust together, and her company’s mission to build space vehicles across nations


Major discussion point

International Collaboration and Standards


Topics

Sociocultural | Development


Space agencies must support companies in understanding and meeting international safety standards for successful missions

Explanation

Huby emphasizes the critical role of space agencies in helping companies understand and implement complex international safety standards. Without meeting these standards, particularly for human spaceflight, missions cannot proceed.


Evidence

She provides the specific example of building a capsule to dock with the International Space Station, requiring compliance with American safety standards, and how collaboration with NASA and ESA is essential for understanding and meeting these requirements


Major discussion point

International Collaboration and Standards


Topics

Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Dylan Taylor

Agreed on

International standards and collaboration are essential for space industry development


D

Dylan Taylor

Speech speed

175 words per minute

Speech length

2476 words

Speech time

847 seconds

This space race is defined by commercial partnerships and technology convergence, viewing space as an 8th continent rather than just an industry

Explanation

Taylor argues that the current space race is fundamentally different because it’s driven by commercial partnerships and the convergence of multiple technologies and industries. He conceptualizes space not as a separate industry but as an additional domain or continent where various Earth-based industries can operate.


Evidence

He notes that phones don’t work without GPS constellations, telecommunications rely on satellite data, climate data comes from space assets, and envisions moving data centers and heavy industry to space while preserving Earth as a national park


Major discussion point

The Nature of the New Space Race


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Hélène Huby
– Renato Krpoun
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Agreed on

The current space race is fundamentally different from the previous one, characterized by commercial partnerships and sustainable presence rather than ideological competition


Disagreed with

– John Gedmark
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Hélène Huby
– Renato Krpoun

Disagreed on

Definition and nature of the current space race


Data processing and satellite constellations are driving massive capital flows, with the goal of doing compute in space rather than transmitting raw data to Earth

Explanation

Taylor explains that the space economy is increasingly driven by data collection and processing capabilities. The next evolution involves performing computation and AI processing in space rather than transmitting raw data to Earth for processing, which is more efficient and secure.


Evidence

He mentions that more satellites were launched in 2024 than in all of human history combined, SpaceX’s potential IPO being valued primarily for Starlink revenue rather than rockets, and the advantage of space-based computing to avoid data transmission vulnerabilities


Major discussion point

Commercial Space Development and Opportunities


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure | Cybersecurity


Agreed with

– Hélène Huby
– John Gedmark

Agreed on

Space technology provides critical data and services for Earth-based optimization and problem-solving


Microgravity enables unique manufacturing capabilities including perfect crystal growth, protein folding, and potentially organ printing using patient stem cells

Explanation

Taylor describes how the microgravity environment in space allows for manufacturing processes impossible on Earth, including growing perfect crystals, unique protein folding, and potentially printing human organs. This represents a revolutionary application of space technology for healthcare.


Evidence

He provides specific examples including perfect crystal growth with no defects, perfect optical fiber extrusion, unique molecular biology, and the potential to print organs from patient stem cells that won’t be rejected. He also mentions that Keytruda, a breakthrough lung cancer drug, was primarily developed on the International Space Station


Major discussion point

Space Applications Beyond Aerospace


Topics

Economic | Development


The International Space Station has reached capacity for both laboratory space and astronaut time, driving the need for commercial space stations

Explanation

Taylor explains that the current International Space Station cannot accommodate the growing demand for space-based research and manufacturing. This capacity constraint is driving the development of commercial space stations to provide additional laboratory space and capabilities.


Evidence

He mentions his company’s Starlab project as a replacement for the ISS by 2029, in partnership with Airbus and Mitsubishi, and describes the ISS capacity limitations for both physical space and astronaut time


Major discussion point

Future of Human Spaceflight and Automation


Topics

Infrastructure | Economic


Agreed with

– Samantha Cristoforetti

Agreed on

The International Space Station has reached capacity limits, driving the need for commercial space stations


Building Starlab space station as ISS replacement by 2029 in partnership with international companies

Explanation

Taylor describes his company’s major infrastructure project to develop Starlab, a commercial space station intended to replace the International Space Station. This represents a shift from government-operated to commercially-operated space infrastructure.


Evidence

He specifically mentions the partnership with Airbus, Mitsubishi, and other international companies, with a target operational date of 2029


Major discussion point

Space Infrastructure and Transportation


Topics

Infrastructure | Economic


Physical AI and autonomous robots will likely handle dangerous space work like lunar mining, with humans providing supervision rather than direct labor

Explanation

Taylor predicts that autonomous AI-powered robots will perform much of the dangerous physical work in space, such as mining operations on the Moon. Humans will maintain supervisory roles rather than directly performing hazardous tasks, enabled by advances in AI that allow autonomous decision-making.


Evidence

He provides the specific example of Helium-3 mining on the Moon for quantum computing and fusion applications, noting that autonomous robots could perform this work under human supervision rather than sending humans to do dangerous mining work


Major discussion point

Future of Human Spaceflight and Automation


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Standardization across regions is crucial for faster development and cost reduction, requiring international governing bodies for alignment

Explanation

Taylor argues that the lack of unified international standards in the space industry creates inefficiencies and slows development. He advocates for international governing bodies to establish common standards that would reduce costs and accelerate progress for suppliers of all sizes.


Evidence

He notes the current situation where European and American standards differ, and suggests that the World Economic Forum could play a role in establishing unified standards


Major discussion point

International Collaboration and Standards


Topics

Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Hélène Huby

Agreed on

International standards and collaboration are essential for space industry development


J

John Gedmark

Speech speed

144 words per minute

Speech length

1215 words

Speech time

503 seconds

The current race involves geopolitical competition between the West and China for lunar dominance, with the West having advantages in commercial space industry and new NASA leadership

Explanation

Gedmark frames the space race as a clear geopolitical competition between Western nations and China for lunar exploration and settlement. He argues that while China has been more consistent in execution, the West has key advantages in commercial space capabilities and leadership.


Evidence

He notes China’s consistent timeline and objectives for lunar missions and permanent base establishment, contrasts this with the West’s inconsistent approach, and highlights the commercial space industry and new NASA administrator Jared Eisenman as key Western advantages


Major discussion point

The Nature of the New Space Race


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Small, powerful satellites in geostationary orbit can provide dedicated sovereign services for individual countries and customers

Explanation

Gedmark describes his company’s approach of building small but powerful satellites for geostationary orbit, which allows them to provide dedicated services to specific countries or customers. This represents a shift toward more personalized and sovereign space capabilities.


Evidence

He explains that geostationary orbit allows satellites to be parked overhead over specific countries, providing dedicated sovereign services, and mentions working with NASA and Space Force for similar missions


Major discussion point

Commercial Space Development and Opportunities


Topics

Infrastructure | Economic


Satellite connectivity still needs to serve 4 billion people without reliable broadband access, requiring massive scaling across multiple platforms

Explanation

Gedmark emphasizes that despite recent advances in satellite internet, there remains a massive global connectivity gap. He argues that solving this problem will require unprecedented scaling across multiple satellite platforms and technologies.


Evidence

He provides the specific statistic that 4 billion people still lack reliable broadband connectivity, notes that Starlink only has a few million customers (a ’rounding error’ compared to the need), and describes this as ‘one of the most epic challenges we’ve ever had’


Major discussion point

Space Applications Beyond Aerospace


Topics

Development | Digital access | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Hélène Huby
– Dylan Taylor

Agreed on

Space technology provides critical data and services for Earth-based optimization and problem-solving


S

Samantha Cristoforetti

Speech speed

175 words per minute

Speech length

2672 words

Speech time

912 seconds

The new space race represents both commercial competition in low-Earth orbit and continued geopolitical competition for lunar exploration

Explanation

Cristoforetti provides a nuanced view of the space race, recognizing both the commercial competition emerging in low-Earth orbit as it becomes a thriving economy, and the continued geopolitical competition, particularly between the US and China, for lunar exploration and dominance.


Evidence

She describes low-Earth orbit becoming a place where people compete commercially like any other domain, while noting the political competition for lunar missions that receives media attention


Major discussion point

The Nature of the New Space Race


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Hélène Huby
– Dylan Taylor
– Renato Krpoun

Agreed on

The current space race is fundamentally different from the previous one, characterized by commercial partnerships and sustainable presence rather than ideological competition


Disagreed with

– John Gedmark
– Dylan Taylor
– Hélène Huby
– Renato Krpoun

Disagreed on

Definition and nature of the current space race


Europe must balance speed and cost efficiency with sovereign capability requirements while diversifying industry and attracting private investment

Explanation

Cristoforetti acknowledges the challenge European space agencies face in balancing the need for fast, cost-effective development with the requirement to maintain sovereign capabilities. She notes the tension between taking risks for competitiveness and ensuring strategic capabilities are successfully developed.


Evidence

She mentions the diversification of European space industry with many new companies, increased private investment in Europe, and the challenge of balancing speed/cost with strategic capability requirements


Major discussion point

European Space Industry Challenges and Solutions


Topics

Economic | Legal and regulatory | Development


European development of LEO cargo return services to provide independent access to space stations

Explanation

Cristoforetti describes her work on developing European capabilities for transporting cargo to and from low Earth orbit space stations. This represents Europe’s effort to develop independent space transportation capabilities rather than relying on other nations.


Evidence

She mentions working on the ‘LEO cargo return service’ project, explaining that LEO refers to low Earth orbit at about 400 kilometers where the International Space Station operates and future space stations will be located


Major discussion point

Space Infrastructure and Transportation


Topics

Infrastructure | Economic


Human presence in space remains uniquely valuable for personal connection and experience sharing, though future generations may find avatar experiences sufficient

Explanation

Cristoforetti reflects on the irreplaceable value of human experience in space, particularly for emotional connection and storytelling. However, she acknowledges that future generations who grow up with AI and avatar technology may find remote experiences equally meaningful.


Evidence

She shares the anecdote of people specifically missing ‘her pictures’ from space rather than generic satellite imagery, and discusses how human-taken photos with personal commentary have special meaning that automated systems cannot replicate


Major discussion point

Future of Human Spaceflight and Automation


Topics

Sociocultural | Human rights


R

Renato Krpoun

Speech speed

171 words per minute

Speech length

662 words

Speech time

231 seconds

The previous space race was about ideological systems competition, while the current one focuses on establishing long-term presence in space destinations

Explanation

Krpoun distinguishes the historical space race as fundamentally about proving the superiority of different political and economic systems (communism vs capitalism), while the current space race is more focused on practical goals of establishing sustainable, long-term human presence in space locations like the Moon and low Earth orbit.


Major discussion point

The Nature of the New Space Race


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Agreed with

– Hélène Huby
– Dylan Taylor
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Agreed on

The current space race is fundamentally different from the previous one, characterized by commercial partnerships and sustainable presence rather than ideological competition


Disagreed with

– John Gedmark
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Dylan Taylor
– Hélène Huby

Disagreed on

Definition and nature of the current space race


European Space Agency is transitioning from designing systems to buying services, but faces challenges with the geo-return principle across 23 member states

Explanation

Krpoun explains that ESA is attempting to shift from the traditional model of designing and controlling space systems to purchasing services from commercial providers. However, this transition is complicated by the geo-return principle, which ensures that member countries receive economic benefits proportional to their contributions.


Evidence

He mentions that NASA has a good model that ESA is trying to replicate, specifically referencing the LEO cargo service, and explains the challenge of ensuring return to different member states when buying services rather than hardware


Major discussion point

European Space Industry Challenges and Solutions


Topics

Legal and regulatory | Economic


L

Lara Abrash

Speech speed

188 words per minute

Speech length

1486 words

Speech time

474 seconds

Deloitte launched its own satellite to test cyber security capabilities in space, demonstrating how non-aerospace companies are leveraging space technology

Explanation

Abrash reveals that Deloitte, a consulting firm, has launched its own satellite called ‘Deloitte One’ to test cybersecurity capabilities in space. This demonstrates how companies outside the traditional aerospace industry are directly engaging with space technology for their business needs.


Evidence

She mentions that one of the things Deloitte One is doing is testing a cyber shield in space, and notes that clients across industries are looking at space strategies, opportunities, risks, tech enablement, cyber security, data collection, and AI applications


Major discussion point

Commercial Space Development and Opportunities


Topics

Cybersecurity | Economic | Infrastructure


A

Audience

Speech speed

150 words per minute

Speech length

471 words

Speech time

187 seconds

Small and medium suppliers face systemic constraints in qualification requirements and procurement pathways when moving toward cooperative space models

Explanation

An audience member from CENIS Switzerland, which supplies precision magnetometers to the space industry, raises concerns about the barriers that SMEs face in scaling into global space missions. They question whether the main constraints are qualification requirements or procurement pathways and how public agencies can support faster scaling.


Evidence

The speaker identifies as being from CENIS in Switzerland, which supplies precision magnetometers to the space industry, providing real-world context for the concern


Major discussion point

International Collaboration and Standards


Topics

Legal and regulatory | Economic


Cultural creators and storytellers need to prepare people for future space realities, particularly around microgravity applications like organ printing

Explanation

An audience member working in arts and business communications from Ireland asks how storytellers and cultural creators should think about managing the realities of space advancement. They specifically reference the inspiring possibilities of microgravity for stem cell regeneration and organ printing, questioning how to empower people to work in these future cultures.


Evidence

The speaker identifies as working between arts and business communications and coming from Ireland, providing context for their perspective on cultural communication


Major discussion point

Space Applications Beyond Aerospace


Topics

Sociocultural | Development


Physical AI and autonomous systems in space raise questions about the balance between human presence and robotic automation in space exploration

Explanation

An audience member from Saudi Arabia working in AI investment asks about the future balance between sending humans versus robots to space, particularly as physical AI becomes more capable. They note the constraints of sending humans to space while acknowledging that people still want to go to space, creating a tension in space development priorities.


Evidence

The speaker identifies as working in AI investment and being from Saudi Arabia, and references the increasing autonomy in new rockets as mentioned by Samantha


Major discussion point

Future of Human Spaceflight and Automation


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


U

UNKNOWN

Speech speed

174 words per minute

Speech length

342 words

Speech time

117 seconds

Space commercialization requires understanding the dramatic cost reduction that has made space accessible to private companies and created new market opportunities

Explanation

The speaker explains that commercialization occurred because launch costs dropped dramatically from 25,000 euros per kilogram to 2,500 euros, with SpaceX’s Starship potentially reducing it to 250 euros. This cost reduction has made space accessible beyond just government applications to serve concrete Earth-based needs like climate monitoring, agriculture optimization, and global communications.


Evidence

Specific cost figures showing the dramatic reduction in launch costs, and examples of Earth applications including agriculture optimization, pipeline leak detection, logistics optimization, and internet access provision


Major discussion point

Commercial Space Development and Opportunities


Topics

Economic | Development | Infrastructure


Agreements

Agreement points

The current space race is fundamentally different from the previous one, characterized by commercial partnerships and sustainable presence rather than ideological competition

Speakers

– Hélène Huby
– Dylan Taylor
– Renato Krpoun
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Arguments

The new space race is about sustainable presence rather than just discovery, with a mix of private and public financing making space a commercializable business


This space race is defined by commercial partnerships and technology convergence, viewing space as an 8th continent rather than just an industry


The previous space race was about ideological systems competition, while the current one focuses on establishing long-term presence in space destinations


The new space race represents both commercial competition in low-Earth orbit and continued geopolitical competition for lunar exploration


Summary

All speakers agree that the current space race differs fundamentally from the Cold War era competition, now focusing on commercial partnerships, sustainable presence, and practical applications rather than purely ideological competition between political systems.


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Space technology provides critical data and services for Earth-based optimization and problem-solving

Speakers

– Hélène Huby
– Dylan Taylor
– John Gedmark

Arguments

Space provides immense data collection capabilities for Earth optimization, from agriculture to logistics, enabled by dramatically reduced launch costs


Data processing and satellite constellations are driving massive capital flows, with the goal of doing compute in space rather than transmitting raw data to Earth


Satellite connectivity still needs to serve 4 billion people without reliable broadband access, requiring massive scaling across multiple platforms


Summary

Speakers agree that space technology serves as a critical infrastructure for collecting and processing data to optimize Earth-based activities, from agriculture and logistics to global connectivity, representing a major commercial opportunity.


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure | Development


The International Space Station has reached capacity limits, driving the need for commercial space stations

Speakers

– Dylan Taylor
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Arguments

The International Space Station has reached capacity for both laboratory space and astronaut time, driving the need for commercial space stations


The sheer amount of activities research facilities had incredibly increased. So when you say we’re out of capacity, I can definitely testify to that


Summary

Both speakers confirm from direct experience and business perspective that the ISS has reached its capacity limits for research activities, necessitating the development of commercial space stations to meet growing demand.


Topics

Infrastructure | Economic


International standards and collaboration are essential for space industry development

Speakers

– Dylan Taylor
– Hélène Huby

Arguments

Standardization across regions is crucial for faster development and cost reduction, requiring international governing bodies for alignment


Space agencies must support companies in understanding and meeting international safety standards for successful missions


Summary

Both speakers emphasize that unified international standards and collaborative support from agencies are critical for enabling faster, more cost-effective space industry development while ensuring safety and interoperability.


Topics

Legal and regulatory | Infrastructure


Similar viewpoints

European space industry faces unique challenges in balancing commercial competitiveness with sovereign requirements and member state interests, requiring strategic shifts in approach, risk tolerance, and institutional support mechanisms.

Speakers

– Hélène Huby
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Renato Krpoun

Arguments

Europe needs more ambition to serve global markets, public institutions acting as anchor clients, and faster development with acceptable risk tolerance


Europe must balance speed and cost efficiency with sovereign capability requirements while diversifying industry and attracting private investment


European Space Agency is transitioning from designing systems to buying services, but faces challenges with the geo-return principle across 23 member states


Topics

Economic | Legal and regulatory | Development


Both speakers acknowledge the evolving role of humans versus AI in space, recognizing that while automation will handle dangerous tasks, human presence retains unique value for experience and connection, though this may change with future generations.

Speakers

– Dylan Taylor
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Arguments

Physical AI and autonomous robots will likely handle dangerous space work like lunar mining, with humans providing supervision rather than direct labor


Human presence in space remains uniquely valuable for personal connection and experience sharing, though future generations may find avatar experiences sufficient


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure | Sociocultural


Unexpected consensus

Space as a tool for peace and collaboration rather than competition

Speakers

– Hélène Huby
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Dylan Taylor

Arguments

Space should foster collaboration and peace through vehicles built across nations, supported by foundations that bring space leaders together


Competition has driven fast-paced progress. I think it builds on a strong backbone of very strong, solid collaboration that we have experienced, especially on the space station, in the last 30 years


We go to space to benefit Earth… when you’re up there, you realize there is no other place or other people. There’s only here and there’s us


Explanation

Despite acknowledging geopolitical competition in space, speakers unexpectedly converge on viewing space as fundamentally a collaborative endeavor that should promote peace and benefit all humanity, drawing from the successful model of International Space Station cooperation.


Topics

Sociocultural | Development


Non-aerospace companies directly engaging with space technology

Speakers

– Lara Abrash
– Dylan Taylor

Arguments

Deloitte launched its own satellite to test cyber security capabilities in space, demonstrating how non-aerospace companies are leveraging space technology


Data processing and satellite constellations are driving massive capital flows, with the goal of doing compute in space rather than transmitting raw data to Earth


Explanation

The consensus that traditional non-aerospace companies like consulting firms are now directly launching satellites represents an unexpected democratization of space access, showing how space has become a general-purpose technology platform rather than a specialized industry.


Topics

Cybersecurity | Economic | Infrastructure


Overall assessment

Summary

Speakers demonstrated strong consensus on the fundamental transformation of space from government-dominated exploration to commercial-driven sustainable development, the critical role of space technology for Earth optimization, capacity constraints driving commercial space station development, and the need for international collaboration despite competitive dynamics.


Consensus level

High level of consensus with complementary rather than conflicting perspectives. The agreement spans technical, commercial, and policy dimensions, suggesting a mature understanding of space industry evolution. This consensus implies that space development will likely proceed along collaborative commercial lines with strong international cooperation, even amid geopolitical competition. The shared vision provides a foundation for coordinated policy and investment decisions across regions.


Differences

Different viewpoints

Definition and nature of the current space race

Speakers

– John Gedmark
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Dylan Taylor
– Hélène Huby
– Renato Krpoun

Arguments

The West absolutely is in a race with China to get back to the moon right now. China’s been very consistent in their objectives… The West, for all the great things that we have, and I think the US and Europe are partners in this, we have been less consistent


The new space race represents both commercial competition in low-Earth orbit and continued geopolitical competition for lunar exploration


This space race is defined by commercial partnerships and technology convergence, viewing space as an 8th continent rather than just an industry


The new space race is about sustainable presence rather than just discovery, with a mix of private and public financing making space a commercializable business


The previous space race was about ideological systems competition, while the current one focuses on establishing long-term presence in space destinations


Summary

Speakers fundamentally disagreed on how to characterize the current space race. Gedmark emphasized geopolitical competition with China, Cristoforetti saw both commercial and geopolitical elements, Taylor focused on commercial convergence and technology, Huby emphasized sustainable presence and commercialization, while Krpoun contrasted it with historical ideological competition.


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Unexpected differences

Fundamental framing of space race priorities

Speakers

– John Gedmark
– Dylan Taylor

Arguments

The West absolutely is in a race with China to get back to the moon right now


This space race is defined by commercial partnerships and technology convergence, viewing space as an 8th continent rather than just an industry


Explanation

Despite both being from the US commercial space sector, Gedmark and Taylor had surprisingly different perspectives on what defines the current space race. Gedmark focused heavily on geopolitical competition with China, while Taylor emphasized commercial and technological convergence. This disagreement is unexpected because both represent the US commercial space industry but have fundamentally different views on whether the space race is primarily geopolitical or commercial in nature.


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure


Overall assessment

Summary

The main areas of disagreement centered on the fundamental nature and definition of the current space race, with speakers offering competing frameworks ranging from geopolitical competition to commercial convergence. Additional disagreements emerged around European space industry development approaches and the future balance between human and AI roles in space.


Disagreement level

Moderate to high disagreement level with significant implications. The lack of consensus on what defines the current space race suggests different strategic priorities and approaches among key stakeholders. This could lead to misaligned policies, resource allocation, and international cooperation efforts. However, the disagreements appear to be more about emphasis and framing rather than fundamental opposition, suggesting potential for finding common ground through dialogue and shared objectives.


Partial agreements

Partial agreements

Similar viewpoints

European space industry faces unique challenges in balancing commercial competitiveness with sovereign requirements and member state interests, requiring strategic shifts in approach, risk tolerance, and institutional support mechanisms.

Speakers

– Hélène Huby
– Samantha Cristoforetti
– Renato Krpoun

Arguments

Europe needs more ambition to serve global markets, public institutions acting as anchor clients, and faster development with acceptable risk tolerance


Europe must balance speed and cost efficiency with sovereign capability requirements while diversifying industry and attracting private investment


European Space Agency is transitioning from designing systems to buying services, but faces challenges with the geo-return principle across 23 member states


Topics

Economic | Legal and regulatory | Development


Both speakers acknowledge the evolving role of humans versus AI in space, recognizing that while automation will handle dangerous tasks, human presence retains unique value for experience and connection, though this may change with future generations.

Speakers

– Dylan Taylor
– Samantha Cristoforetti

Arguments

Physical AI and autonomous robots will likely handle dangerous space work like lunar mining, with humans providing supervision rather than direct labor


Human presence in space remains uniquely valuable for personal connection and experience sharing, though future generations may find avatar experiences sufficient


Topics

Economic | Infrastructure | Sociocultural


Takeaways

Key takeaways

The new space race is fundamentally different from the Cold War era – it’s driven by commercial partnerships, sustainable presence goals, and technology convergence rather than pure ideological competition


Space is evolving from a government-dominated industry to a commercialized sector with dual-use capabilities serving both public and private customers


Launch cost reduction (from $25,000 to $2,500 per kg, potentially $250 with Starship) has democratized space access and enabled new business models


Data collection and processing in space represents the primary commercial opportunity, with applications in agriculture, logistics, climate monitoring, and connectivity for 4 billion underserved people


Microgravity manufacturing offers revolutionary potential for biopharma, including perfect crystal growth, protein folding, and potentially organ printing using patient stem cells


Europe faces specific challenges in space commercialization including the need for greater global ambition, faster development cycles, and balancing sovereign capabilities with cost efficiency


International collaboration remains essential for space development, with standardization across regions crucial for faster progress and cost reduction


The International Space Station has reached capacity, driving demand for commercial space stations and new transportation systems


Physical AI and autonomous systems will likely handle dangerous space operations while humans provide oversight and maintain unique value for experiential connection


Resolutions and action items

European Space Agency to continue transitioning from system designer to service buyer, with anchor client arrangements to leverage private investment


Switzerland to finalize new space law by end of year to support commercial space development


The Exploration Company to execute ISS cargo mission by 2028 and develop human-rated capsules for future missions


Voyager Technologies to deploy Starlab space station as ISS replacement by 2029


Industry to work toward international standards harmonization to reduce costs and accelerate development timelines


Unresolved issues

How to balance European Space Agency’s geo-return principle across 23 member states with commercial service procurement models


Whether the West or China will achieve lunar dominance given China’s consistent execution versus Western inconsistency


How to establish international governing bodies for space standards alignment across different regional requirements


The fundamental question of what will happen first: the first human born in space or the first combat fatality in space


How future generations will value human versus AI experiences in space exploration and whether avatar-mediated exploration will be sufficient


How to scale connectivity solutions to serve 4 billion people without reliable broadband access across multiple satellite platforms


How to bridge the gap between current government-supported space economy and future private sector-driven space economy


Suggested compromises

Accepting higher risk tolerance in European space development to achieve faster timelines and lower costs while maintaining safety standards


Balancing sovereign capability requirements with commercial efficiency through public-private partnerships where agencies act as anchor clients


Developing dual-use technologies that serve both government and commercial customers to maximize private investment and reduce government costs


Creating international collaboration frameworks that foster peace while allowing for competitive commercial development


Establishing hybrid human-AI approaches for space operations where autonomous systems handle dangerous tasks under human supervision


Thought provoking comments

I think it’s very clear. The West absolutely is in a race with China to get back to the moon right now. China’s been very consistent in their objectives… The West, for all the great things that we have, and I think the US and Europe are partners in this, we have been less consistent. We’ve been sort of all over the place.

Speaker

John Gedmark


Reason

This comment was particularly insightful because it directly challenged the prevailing narrative about Western space dominance and introduced a sobering geopolitical reality check. While other panelists were discussing collaboration and commercial opportunities, Gedmark forced the conversation to confront the competitive aspects and potential vulnerabilities of Western space programs.


Impact

This comment created a notable shift in the discussion’s tone from optimistic collaboration to strategic competition. It highlighted the tension between the commercial/collaborative narrative and geopolitical realities, forcing other panelists to acknowledge different definitions of ‘the space race’ and setting up a more nuanced discussion about competition versus cooperation.


The way I like to think about space is really not as an industry, but really as an 8th continent. Think of it as a domain… In the future, probably all internet access will ultimately be coming from space-based assets. There’s talk about moving data centers from the Earth to space.

Speaker

Dylan Taylor


Reason

This reframing was profound because it shifted the entire conceptual framework from thinking about space as a separate industry to viewing it as an extension of Earth’s infrastructure. The ‘8th continent’ metaphor fundamentally changed how the audience could understand space’s role in daily life.


Impact

This comment elevated the discussion from technical details to a broader vision of human civilization’s expansion. It influenced subsequent discussions about data processing, manufacturing, and even the biopharma applications, as other panelists began building on this infrastructure-based thinking rather than viewing space as a separate domain.


We need more ambition. For me, a European company shall not only aim at serving the European market, because European market is much smaller than American market… Europe has a collaborative spirit, and we can scale it to the world.

Speaker

Hélène Huby


Reason

This was a crucial insight because it identified a fundamental strategic limitation in European space thinking. Huby challenged the regional mindset and connected Europe’s collaborative strengths to global market opportunities, offering a concrete path forward for European competitiveness.


Impact

This comment shifted the European-focused discussion from defensive positioning to offensive strategy. It influenced how other European panelists (Samantha and Renato) framed their subsequent responses about European capabilities and partnerships, moving from justifying European approaches to articulating global ambitions.


What will happen first? The first human born in space, or the first combat fatality in space? And I think we, in this room, can help shape the answer to that question.

Speaker

Dylan Taylor


Reason

This thought experiment was exceptionally powerful because it crystallized the moral stakes of space development in a single, stark choice. It moved beyond technical and commercial considerations to fundamental questions about the kind of civilization humanity wants to build in space.


Impact

This comment dramatically elevated the discussion’s moral dimension and sense of urgency. It influenced the subsequent conversation about AI and robotics in space, with Samantha building on the theme of human choice and agency in shaping space’s future. It also reinforced the panel’s closing theme about collaboration and dialogue being essential.


We wanted your pictures… it’s not the same, a picture taken by an astronaut, maybe with a commentary, how that made you feel when you saw it, as opposed to all the gazillion pictures, better pictures, by the way, optically better pictures that satellites download all the time.

Speaker

Samantha Cristoforetti


Reason

This observation was deeply insightful because it identified something fundamental about human connection and meaning that transcends technical capability. In a discussion heavily focused on AI and automation, it highlighted the irreplaceable value of human experience and emotional connection.


Impact

This comment provided a crucial counterpoint to the AI/automation discussion, introducing the concept that human value isn’t just about capability but about meaning and connection. It influenced the final exchange about what roles humans versus AI should play in space exploration, grounding the technical discussion in human values and relationships.


Overall assessment

These key comments fundamentally shaped the discussion by introducing multiple layers of complexity and tension that elevated it beyond a simple celebration of space commercialization. Gedmark’s geopolitical reality check created a productive tension between collaboration and competition themes. Taylor’s ‘8th continent’ reframing provided a unifying vision that influenced how other panelists discussed their work. Huby’s call for European ambition shifted regional discussions toward global strategy. Taylor’s moral thought experiment about space’s future elevated the stakes beyond commercial success to civilizational values. Finally, Cristoforetti’s insight about human meaning versus technical capability provided essential grounding for discussions about AI and automation. Together, these comments created a rich, multi-dimensional conversation that acknowledged both the tremendous opportunities and serious challenges facing space development, while emphasizing the critical importance of human choice and collaboration in shaping space’s future.


Follow-up questions

How to balance speed and cost efficiency with sovereign capabilities and strategic risk management in European space development

Speaker

Samantha Cristoforetti


Explanation

This addresses the fundamental tension between competing fast commercially while ensuring strategic capabilities exist for European space independence


How to implement the geo-return principle when transitioning to service-based procurement models in ESA

Speaker

Renato Krpoun


Explanation

This is a critical policy question for how European countries will maintain fair returns on investment when agencies shift from buying assets to buying services


What international standards are needed to enable faster, more cost-effective supply chains for small and medium space suppliers

Speaker

Dylan Taylor


Explanation

Lack of unified standards creates barriers for SMEs to participate in global space missions and increases costs across the industry


How agencies can better support SMEs in meeting safety standards and qualification requirements for space missions

Speaker

Hélène Huby


Explanation

Small companies need institutional support to understand and implement complex safety standards, particularly for human-rated spacecraft


What will happen first – the first human born in space or the first combat fatality in space

Speaker

Dylan Taylor


Explanation

This fundamental question will determine whether space development follows a collaborative, peaceful path or becomes militarized


How to scale connectivity solutions to reach the 4 billion people without reliable broadband access

Speaker

John Gedmark


Explanation

Despite current satellite constellations, the vast majority of underserved populations still lack connectivity, requiring massive scaling of space-based solutions


What level of autonomy will be optimal for space operations – full automation versus human control

Speaker

Audience member from Saudi Arabia, discussed by Dylan Taylor and Samantha Cristoforetti


Explanation

As AI and robotics advance, determining the right balance between autonomous systems and human involvement in space will be crucial for safety and effectiveness


How to transition from government-supported space economy to private sector-driven space economy

Speaker

Renato Krpoun


Explanation

This represents a fundamental shift in how space activities are funded and operated, requiring new models and frameworks


What research and facilities are needed to bridge the gap between current capabilities and future space-based manufacturing

Speaker

Renato Krpoun


Explanation

Significant research infrastructure is needed to develop technologies for space-based pharmaceutical and manufacturing applications


How storytellers and cultural creators should prepare society for space-based realities like organ printing and manufacturing

Speaker

Jennifer Rogers (audience member from Ireland)


Explanation

Public understanding and acceptance of revolutionary space technologies will require thoughtful cultural and communications strategies


Disclaimer: This is not an official session record. DiploAI generates these resources from audiovisual recordings, and they are presented as-is, including potential errors. Due to logistical challenges, such as discrepancies in audio/video or transcripts, names may be misspelled. We strive for accuracy to the best of our ability.